203 N Parkway Dr · Sylvania, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$115,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located in Sylvan Heights is this all brick home with a beautiful pond front view. This home is 1767 square feet with 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. It also has an office space and an extra living area that has new flooring. The back yard contains a spacious 24x20 garage/workshop.
Key facts
- Office space
- Extra living area
- New flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 4.3% in Sylvania — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#259 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, amenities F.
- Screven County (town): math 39% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #66 of 174 in GA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 23 units permitted in Screven County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Screven County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 7 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $54k; list at $115k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.22%
- DSCR
- 1.45
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $222,642
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 Forest Rd | 0.43mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,749 (-1%) | 1mo | $220,000 | $126 | 68 |
| 215 Wildwood Dr | 0.31mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,596 (-10%) | 10mo | $280,000 | $175 | 54 |
| 211 Camelia Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,565 (-11%) | 2mo | $249,000 | $159 | 48 |
| 213 Hobby Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,944 (+10%) | 14mo | $165,000 | $85 | 43 |
| 307 Peachtree Cir | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,542 (-13%) | 21mo | $195,000 | $126 | 36 |
| 226 N Main St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 2,002 (+13%) | 11mo | $250,000 | $125 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-1,148
- Equity at exit
- $17,147
- IRR
- 8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.67×
- Total profit
- $21,558
- Equity at exit
- $9,943
Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30467
- Home prices YoY
- -14.3%
- Active inventory
- 76
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,341 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$134 /mo · $1,612/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $274
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,750
- Closing costs
- $3,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $115,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $115,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $115,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $115,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $115,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $115,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $115,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $115,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $115,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $115,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 283-char remark
-
2026-06-07$115,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,612 · $134/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,612 · $134/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,096
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,442
- − Property taxes
- −$1,612
- − Insurance
- −$575
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,288
- − Management
- −$1,288
- − Depreciation
- −$3,345
- Taxable income
- $1,546
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$371
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,921/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Screven County
- NCES district ID
- 1304500
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,477
- Composite
- 29.72/100
- National rank
- #6447
- State rank
- #66 of 174 in GA
Livability — Sylvania
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #259
- US rank
- #14225
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sylvania, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,606
Population outlook (Screven County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,462 people
- By 2030
- 12,957 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 11,853 · -12.0%
- By 2050
- 10,686 · -20.6%
- By 2075
- 8,272 · -38.6%
- By 2100
- 6,545 · -51.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (53%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 42% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Danish 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Screven
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 37.3% · R 62.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.0pp toward R · 2008: -6.2pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+18.9 2016: R+17.6 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.03%
- Current HPI
- 227.565
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+132.3% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $115,000 FSBO.com
- 2024-02-13 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2024-02-01 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2024-01-06 Price Changed $169,900 GAMLS
- 2023-12-08 Listed $179,900 GAMLS
- 2023-12-08 Listed $179,900 Hive MLS
- 2021-03-02 Sold (Public Records) $54,192 Public Records
- 2021-02-25 Sold (MLS) $80,000 Hive MLS
- 2021-02-25 Sold (MLS) $80,000 GAMLS
- 2020-11-19 Listed $89,000 Hive MLS
- 2020-11-19 Listed $89,000 Hive MLS
- 2020-11-19 Listed $89,000 GAMLS
- 2015-04-16 Listing Removed — Hive MLS
- 2014-04-16 Listed $94,900 Hive MLS
- 1992-10-27 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,612 · -12.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…