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8111 Coco Dr
F Composite 29.09
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.1/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.4/10.0
  • DSCR +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.7/15.0

$350,000

8111 Coco Dr · Mount Pocono, PA 18346
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 936 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 34 Days on market
Built 1986 0.30 ac lot Est $304k · 15% over $73/mo HOA · 3% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

WELCOME HOME TO THIS BEAUTIFULLY RENOVATED 4-BEDROOM, 2 BATH BI-LEVEL THAT PERFECTLY BLENDS COMFORT, STYLE, AND FUNCTIONALITY! FROM THE MOMENT YOU PULL INTO THE PAVED DRIVEWAY WITH PARKING FOR UP TO 6 CARS, YOU'LL APPRECIATE THE PRIDE OF OWNERSHIP AND THOUGHTFUL UPDATED THROUGHOUT. INSIDE, YOU'LL FIND SPACIOUS LIVING AREAS, SPACIOUS LIVING AREAS, MODERN FINISHES, AND A LAYOUT IDEAL FOR BOTH EVERYDAY LIVING AND ENTERTAINING. THE HOME FEATURES A NEWER ROOF REPLACED IN 2021, GIVING A BUYERS ADDED PEACE OF MIND. STEP OUTSIDE AND ENJOY YOUR OWN PRIVATE OUTDOOR RETREAT WITH FRONT AND BACK YARDS, PLUS A REAR DECK THAT'S PERFECT FOR GRILLING, RELAXING, AND HOSTING GATHRINGS WITH FAMILY AND FRIENDS.

Key facts

  • 0.3 acre lot
  • 6 parking spots
  • Community pool

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Stillwater Estates; GPS-friendly directions
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with annual fee ($875) covering electricity and security; Community amenities include security and a pool

Exterior

  • Parking: Open parking for 6 vehicles
  • Security: 24-hour security; Carbon monoxide detector; Fire alarm
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; 200+ amp electric service; Phone connected; Cable connected
  • Home design: Single-family house; Residential property
  • Construction: Asphalt roof; DC well pump
  • Exterior features: Deck; Front yard; Paved road; Private maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Portable dishwasher
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Ceiling fans (cooling); Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Fireplace (1)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $350k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-503 ($-6k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $261k (25.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (35.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $225k (35.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#362 in PA, #3,166 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, commute F.
  • Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($340k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $159k; list at $350k implies a 120% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $224,800 (35.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.64%
Cap rate
4.57%
Cash-on-cash
-6.15%
DSCR
0.73
GRM
13.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$304,200
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2150 Vacation Ln 0.29mi 3/1.0 920 (-2%) 23mo $189,900 $206 61
105 Bobcat Trl 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,050 (+12%) 3mo $370,000 $352 51
328 Sidney Ave 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 968 (+3%) 14mo $315,000 $325 44
171 Linden Loop 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-8%) 3mo $190,000 $220 41
1144 Lexington Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,033 (+10%) 12mo $350,000 $339 37
2121 Freedom Way 0.72mi 3/1.0 984 (+5%) 21mo $226,000 $230 37
1172 Lexington Ave 0.71mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (+11%) 8mo $450,000 $433 33
210 Sutton Pl 0.75mi 2/1.0 (-1) 854 (-9%) 14mo $205,000 $240 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.2%
Equity multiple
0.83×
Total profit
$-16,239
Equity at exit
$129,357
10-year hold
IRR
1.7%
Equity multiple
1.22×
Total profit
$21,840
Equity at exit
$179,815

Cash invested: $98,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18346

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
57
Price-to-rent
13.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,248 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,835
Tax from tax record
$224 /mo · $2,691/yr
Insurance
$146
HOA
$73
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$472
Net cashflow
$-503

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,884
Max offer price $261,211
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$87,500
Closing costs
$10,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$73 · $876/yr

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $350,000 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $350,000 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $350,000 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $350,000 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $350,000 Active 30 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $350,000 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $350,000 Active 27 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $350,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $350,000 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $350,000 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $350,000 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $350,000 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $350,000 Active 16 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $350,000 Active 15 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $350,000 Active 14 DOM
  16. 2026-05-17
    listed $399,900 Active
  17. 2026-05-16
    listed $350,000 Active
  18. 2019-04-19
    soldstatus $159,000
  19. 2018-12-20
    listed $162,400
  20. 2018-10-25
    soldstatus $60,100
  21. 2018-07-27
    listed $73,900
  22. 2014-12-08
    listed $88,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,691 · $224/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,111 · $343/mo
Expected delta
+$1,419/yr (+$118/mo · 52.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 6% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,976
− Mortgage interest
−$19,605
− Property taxes
−$2,691
− Insurance
−$1,750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,158
− Management
−$2,158
− HOA
−$876
− Depreciation
−$10,182
Taxable loss
−$12,445
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,987
After-tax cash flow
$-3,045/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pocono Mountain SD
NCES district ID
4219500
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$55,317
Composite
39.91/100
National rank
#3856
State rank
#245 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mount Pocono

Score
77/100
State rank
#362
US rank
#3166

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,316

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 12%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Cuban 2% Dominican 3%
Common ancestry
Russian 8% Romanian 6% Slovak 5%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.54%
Current HPI
189.8011
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+349.8% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-17 Listed $399,900 PMAR
  • 2026-05-16 Listed $350,000 PMAR
  • 2019-04-19 Sold (MLS) $159,000 PMAR
  • 2018-12-20 Listed $162,400 PMAR
  • 2018-10-25 Sold (MLS) $60,100 PMAR
  • 2018-07-27 Listed $73,900 PMAR
  • 2014-12-08 Listed $88,900 PMAR

Property tax history

-1.1%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,691 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…