139 Bell Acres Rd · Maysville, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +5.2/30.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +0.0/10.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
$364,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
For Sale - 4 bed possibly 5 /3 Bath Home on 2 Acres - Beautiful very large manufactured home located in Maysville, Georgia on a private wooded 2-acre lot. Approximately 4 miles from I-85 and the Banks Crossing shopping area. 2005 Palm Harbor Property Features: * 4 Bedrooms 3 Bathrooms * Spacious family room with fireplace * Eat-in kitchen * Separate living room and dining area * Large primary suite with attached room * Second suite with private bath * Two additional bedrooms with shared guest bathroom * Laundry room with private office/play area * Covered front porch * Large rear deck * New flooring throughout (no carpet) * Washer/Drye
Key facts
- 2 acre lot
- Built 2004
- Listed 64 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No HOA
Exterior
- Parking: No parking
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity available; High-speed internet available; Phone service available; Sewer connected; Water available
- Home design: Manufactured single-family residence; One level; Resale property
- Construction: Built in 2004; Aluminum siding and block construction; Composition roof; Manufactured house structure
- Exterior features: Private lot; No specific lot amenities listed
Interior
- Kitchen: Convection oven; Dishwasher; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level)
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning; Heat pump cooling
- Interior features: Double vanity; High ceilings; Separate shower; Soaking tub; Bonus room; Den; Family room; Office
- Laundry & utility: Common area laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $364k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-821 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (39.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (52.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $171k (52.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 3.6% vs local median 2.5% in Maysville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#190 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Banks County (rural): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #75 of 174 in GA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Banks County Primary School (706 students, 56% FRL); Banks County Middle School (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #196 of 470 statewide, top 42%, 641 students, 54% FRL); Banks County High School (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #297 of 424 statewide, top 74%, 857 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 102 units permitted in Banks County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $39k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Banks County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$63k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($342k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $364k implies a 810% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 53% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.47% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- -9.67%
- DSCR
- 0.57
- GRM
- 17.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $425,430
- List price
- $364,000
- Delta
- -14.44%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.43×
- Total profit
- $145,778
- Equity at exit
- $327,920
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 5.61×
- Total profit
- $470,041
- Equity at exit
- $707,172
Cash invested: $101,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30558
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 72
- Price-to-rent
- 17.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,714 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,909
- Tax from tax record
- −$114 /mo · $1,369/yr
- Insurance
- −$152
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$360
- Net cashflow
- $-821
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-615 | -5% $-718 | +0% $-821 | +5% $-924 | +10% $-1,027 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-956 | -5% $-889 | +0% $-821 | +5% $-753 | +10% $-686 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-638 | -0.5pp $-728 | base $-821 | +0.5pp $-915 | +1.0pp $-1,011 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $91,000
- Closing costs
- $10,920
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $364,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $364,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $364,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $364,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $364,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $364,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $364,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $364,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $364,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $364,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $364,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $364,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $364,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $364,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $364,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $364,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $364,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-05-09price $364,000 777-char remark
-
2026-04-17$375,000 New 777-char remark
-
2003-09-01soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,369 · $114/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,349 · $279/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,979/yr (+$165/mo · 144.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,563
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,390
- − Property taxes
- −$1,369
- − Insurance
- −$1,820
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,645
- − Management
- −$1,645
- − Depreciation
- −$10,589
- Taxable loss
- −$16,895
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4,055
- After-tax cash flow
- $-5,796/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Banks County
- NCES district ID
- 1300240
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,507
- Composite
- 27.85/100
- National rank
- #6878
- State rank
- #75 of 174 in GA
Livability — Maysville
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #190
- US rank
- #11767
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 5,562
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,562
Population outlook (Banks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,448 people
- By 2030
- 18,157 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 17,193 · -6.8%
- By 2050
- 15,951 · -13.5%
- By 2075
- 13,472 · -27.0%
- By 2100
- 11,562 · -37.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Banks
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+78.2) · D 10.8% · R 89.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.6pp toward R · 2008: -65.6pp · 2024: -78.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+78.2 2020: R+78.0 2016: R+78.4 2012: R+73.9 2008: R+65.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.76%
- Current HPI
- 322.97
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+810.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $364,000 GAMLS
- 2026-04-17 Listed $375,000 GAMLS
- 2003-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,369 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…