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139 Bell Acres Rd
D Composite 40.31
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +5.2/30.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +0.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$364,000

139 Bell Acres Rd · Maysville, GA 30558
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,040 sqft · Manufactured public records · 65 Days on market
Built 2004 2.00 ac lot $120/sqft · 12% below area Est $425k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

For Sale - 4 bed possibly 5 /3 Bath Home on 2 Acres - Beautiful very large manufactured home located in Maysville, Georgia on a private wooded 2-acre lot. Approximately 4 miles from I-85 and the Banks Crossing shopping area. 2005 Palm Harbor Property Features: * 4 Bedrooms 3 Bathrooms * Spacious family room with fireplace * Eat-in kitchen * Separate living room and dining area * Large primary suite with attached room * Second suite with private bath * Two additional bedrooms with shared guest bathroom * Laundry room with private office/play area * Covered front porch * Large rear deck * New flooring throughout (no carpet) * Washer/Drye

Key facts

  • 2 acre lot
  • Built 2004
  • Listed 64 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: No parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity available; High-speed internet available; Phone service available; Sewer connected; Water available
  • Home design: Manufactured single-family residence; One level; Resale property
  • Construction: Built in 2004; Aluminum siding and block construction; Composition roof; Manufactured house structure
  • Exterior features: Private lot; No specific lot amenities listed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Convection oven; Dishwasher; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning; Heat pump cooling
  • Interior features: Double vanity; High ceilings; Separate shower; Soaking tub; Bonus room; Den; Family room; Office
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $364k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-821 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $219k (39.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (52.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $171k (52.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 3.6% vs local median 2.5% in Maysville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#190 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
  • Banks County (rural): math 29% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #75 of 174 in GA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Banks County Primary School (706 students, 56% FRL); Banks County Middle School (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #196 of 470 statewide, top 42%, 641 students, 54% FRL); Banks County High School (math 2% / reading 27%, grade F, #297 of 424 statewide, top 74%, 857 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 102 units permitted in Banks County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $39k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $36k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Banks County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$63k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($342k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $364k implies a 810% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $171,362 (52.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 53% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.47%
Cap rate
3.59%
Cash-on-cash
-9.67%
DSCR
0.57
GRM
17.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$425,430
List price
$364,000
Delta
-14.44%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.5%
Equity multiple
2.43×
Total profit
$145,778
Equity at exit
$327,920
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
5.61×
Total profit
$470,041
Equity at exit
$707,172

Cash invested: $101,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30558

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Active inventory
72
Price-to-rent
17.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,714 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,909
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,369/yr
Insurance
$152
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$360
Net cashflow
$-821

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,753
Max offer price $218,987
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-615 -5% $-718 +0% $-821 +5% $-924 +10% $-1,027
Rent -10% $-956 -5% $-889 +0% $-821 +5% $-753 +10% $-686
Rate -1.0pp $-638 -0.5pp $-728 base $-821 +0.5pp $-915 +1.0pp $-1,011

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$91,000
Closing costs
$10,920
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $364,000 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $364,000 Active 63 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $364,000 Active 62 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $364,000 Active 61 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $364,000 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $364,000 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $364,000 Active 57 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $364,000 Active 56 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $364,000 Active 53 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $364,000 Active 52 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $364,000 Active 51 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $364,000 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $364,000 Active 47 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $364,000 Active 46 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $364,000 Active 45 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $364,000 Active 44 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $364,000 Active 43 DOM
  18. 2026-05-09
    price $364,000 777-char remark
  19. 2026-04-17
    listed $375,000 New 777-char remark
  20. 2003-09-01
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,369 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,349 · $279/mo
Expected delta
+$1,979/yr (+$165/mo · 144.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,563
− Mortgage interest
−$20,390
− Property taxes
−$1,369
− Insurance
−$1,820
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,645
− Management
−$1,645
− Depreciation
−$10,589
Taxable loss
−$16,895
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,055
After-tax cash flow
$-5,796/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Banks County
NCES district ID
1300240
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
37% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$41,507
Composite
27.85/100
National rank
#6878
State rank
#75 of 174 in GA

Livability — Maysville

Score
66/100
State rank
#190
US rank
#11767

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
5,562
Population (ZIP)
5,562

Population outlook (Banks County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
18,448 people
By 2030
18,157 · -1.6%
By 2040
17,193 · -6.8%
By 2050
15,951 · -13.5%
By 2075
13,472 · -27.0%
By 2100
11,562 · -37.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Banks

2024 margin
Solid R (+78.2) · D 10.8% · R 89.0%
2008→2024 swing
-12.6pp toward R · 2008: -65.6pp · 2024: -78.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+78.2 2020: R+78.0 2016: R+78.4 2012: R+73.9 2008: R+65.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.76%
Current HPI
322.97
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+810.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $364,000 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Listed $375,000 GAMLS
  • 2003-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,369 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…