304 N Market St · Topeka, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property located in Topeka, IL offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. It also has a woodburning fire place to cozy up to on cold winter nights, as well as 12 x 16 shed and a 10 x 10 shed. This home is located in a great school district for kids.
Key facts
- Nearly two acres
- Entire city block
- Expansive yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $471 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 53/100 on livability (#1,289 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
- Midwest Central CUSD 191 (rural): math 19% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #398 of 620 in IL (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Midwest Central High School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #567 of 693 statewide, top 83%, 252 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 47% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Mason County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($546 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Mason County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $62k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1892 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1892 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.57%
- DSCR
- 2.14
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $85,188
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 304 N Market St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,374 (0%) | 0mo | $85,000 | $62 | 100 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.79×
- Total profit
- $39,564
- Equity at exit
- $35,522
- IRR
- 32.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.47×
- Total profit
- $98,829
- Equity at exit
- $54,743
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 61567
- Active inventory
- 2
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,308 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$115 /mo · $1,380/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $471
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-22$79,000 Active
-
2023-08-23soldstatus $62,000 Closed 241-char remark
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
This property located in Topeka, IL offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. It also has a woodburning fire place to cozy up to on cold winter nights, as well as 12 x 16 shed and a 10 x 10 shed. This home is located in a great school district for kids.
-
2023-08-23soldstatus $62,000
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
This property located in Topeka, IL offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. It also has a woodburning fire place to cozy up to on cold winter nights, as well as 12 x 16 shed and a 10 x 10 shed. This home is located in a great school district for kids.
-
2023-07-14status Pending 241-char remark
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
This property located in Topeka, IL offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. It also has a woodburning fire place to cozy up to on cold winter nights, as well as 12 x 16 shed and a 10 x 10 shed. This home is located in a great school district for kids.
-
2023-06-08price $65,000 241-char remark
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
This property located in Topeka, IL offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. It also has a woodburning fire place to cozy up to on cold winter nights, as well as 12 x 16 shed and a 10 x 10 shed. This home is located in a great school district for kids.
-
2022-12-07$74,000 Active 241-char remark
Show marketing remark (241 chars)
This property located in Topeka, IL offers 2 bedrooms and 1 bath. It also has a woodburning fire place to cozy up to on cold winter nights, as well as 12 x 16 shed and a 10 x 10 shed. This home is located in a great school district for kids.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,380 · $115/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,587 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- +$207/yr (+$17/mo · 15.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,699
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$1,380
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,256
- − Management
- −$1,256
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $4,689
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,125
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,530/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Midwest Central CUSD 191
- NCES district ID
- 1743962
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,499
- Composite
- 18.97/100
- National rank
- #8852
- State rank
- #398 of 620 in IL
Livability — Topeka
- Score
- 53/100
- State rank
- #1289
- US rank
- #24385
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Topeka, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 541
Population outlook (Mason County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,087 people
- By 2030
- 11,283 · -6.7%
- By 2040
- 9,766 · -19.2%
- By 2050
- 8,421 · -30.3%
- By 2075
- 5,785 · -52.1%
- By 2100
- 3,888 · -67.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99%
- Common ancestry
- Russian 6% Serbian 4% Lithuanian 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Mason
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.2) · D 27.8% · R 70.1% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -48.1pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -42.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.2 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+31.8 2012: R+6.3 2008: D+5.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+6.8% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Listed $79,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-08-23 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
- 2023-08-23 Sold (MLS) $62,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-14 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-06-08 Price Changed $65,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-07 Listed $74,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+8.3%/yrLatest (2024): $1,380 · -23.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…