14903 Western Ave · Harvey, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$34,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This Harvey property offers a solid investment opportunity with a full-gut renovation needed throughout, giving you a blank canvas to redesign, rebuild, and bring new life to this home in a convenient location near transportation, schools, and local amenities.
Key facts
- Near schools
- Full gut renovation
- Convenient location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession: Immediate
- Financial info: Special service area: No
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 2 parking spaces (2 total)
- Utilities: Water from Lake Michigan; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Built approximately 61–70 years ago; Property built before 1978
- Construction: Brick construction
- Exterior features: Lot under 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions: 4625
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level (approx. 10 x 8)
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Six total rooms; Crawl space and full basement
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $35k).
- Cap rate 41.1% vs local median 9.3% in Harvey — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#539 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Thornton Township High School (math 7% / reading 7%, grade F, #605 of 693 statewide, top 87%, 1,628 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($241 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 41.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 124.16%
- DSCR
- 6.52
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $102,500
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14918 Western Ave | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-2%) | 1mo | $72,000 | $72 | 88 |
| 15036 Western Ave | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,020 (-0%) | 8mo | $90,000 | $88 | 78 |
| 15030 Artesian Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,038 (+1%) | 13mo | $149,350 | $144 | 77 |
| 14839 Cooper Ave | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 992 (-3%) | 6mo | $42,000 | $42 | 74 |
| 14812 Hoyne Ave | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (0%) | 14mo | $123,750 | $121 | 72 |
| 14920 Hoyne Ave S | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-2%) | 9mo | $85,000 | $85 | 67 |
| 110 W 150th St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-2%) | 0mo | $101,250 | $100 | 66 |
| 15024 Western Ave | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-12%) | 3mo | $18,000 | $20 | 64 |
| 14525 Oakley St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,052 (+3%) | 7mo | $240,000 | $228 | 64 |
| 14808 Leavitt Ave | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (+7%) | 10mo | $105,000 | $95 | 63 |
| 14921 Lincoln Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-12%) | 6mo | $149,900 | $167 | 46 |
| 14542 S Campbell Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,143 (+12%) | 1mo | $238,500 | $209 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.54×
- Total profit
- $83,427
- Equity at exit
- $31,441
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 20.96×
- Total profit
- $195,087
- Equity at exit
- $67,803
Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60426
- Home prices YoY
- 6.9%
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,585 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$183
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$44 /mo · $524/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$333
- Net cashflow
- $1,011
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,035 | -5% $1,023 | +0% $1,011 | +5% $999 | +10% $987 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $886 | -5% $948 | +0% $1,011 | +5% $1,074 | +10% $1,136 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,029 | -0.5pp $1,020 | base $1,011 | +0.5pp $1,002 | +1.0pp $993 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,725
- Closing costs
- $1,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14802 Cooper Ave Harvey, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,700 | $1.42 | 25d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 14629 Hoyne Ave Dixmoor, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,495 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 14521 Richmond Ave Unit 3 Posen, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,375 | $1.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.11mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $34,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $34,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $34,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 260-char remark
-
2026-06-15$34,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,022
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,955
- − Property taxes
- −$524
- − Insurance
- −$174
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,522
- − Management
- −$1,522
- − Depreciation
- −$1,015
- Taxable income
- $12,310
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,954
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,178/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Harvey
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #539
- US rank
- #11162
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harvey, IL
- City population
- 23,066
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,066
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (59%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 12% White 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Foreign-born
- 17% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 20.36%
- Current HPI
- 313.7895
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-30.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $34,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-28 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-20 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-02 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-12 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-09 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-07 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2023): $4,185 · +15.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…