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9170 Madison Ave
B- Composite 65.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.3/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.4/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.2/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$90,000

9170 Madison Ave · Jacksonville, FL 32208
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 708 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 147 Days on market
Built 1948 4,791 sqft lot Est $86k · 5% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The owner has lowered the price and wants this home sold! All reasonable offers will be considered. This bungalow features 2 beds, 1 bath and outside storage. Schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • 2021 roof
  • Near parks
  • Convenient location

Tags

RIVERVIEW NEIGHBORHOOD2021 ROOFDETACHED GARAGECONVENIENT LOCATIONNEAR MAJOR ROADWAYSNEAR PARKS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Not a senior community

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Off-street parking; On-street parking; 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Entry level on 1st floor
  • Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Chain link fencing; City street frontage; Asphalt road surface

Interior

  • Kitchen: No built-in appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Primary bathroom with tub and shower
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in unit; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $316 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
  • Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.34%
Cap rate
10.51%
Cash-on-cash
15.07%
DSCR
1.67
GRM
6.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$85,668
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9170 Madison Ave 0.00mi 2/1.0 708 (0%) 0mo $75,000 $106 100
9035 Adams Ave 0.18mi 2/1.0 672 (-5%) 11mo $94,000 $140 74
9162 6th Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 672 (-5%) 0mo $104,900 $156 69
2116 4th Ave 0.44mi 2/1.0 720 (+2%) 11mo $149,000 $207 67
8974 Jackson Ave 0.26mi 2/1.0 808 (+14%) 2mo $69,000 $85 62
9230 4th Ave 0.38mi 2/1.0 752 (+6%) 12mo $36,000 $48 62
8719 5th Ave 0.66mi 2/1.0 700 (-1%) 14mo $85,000 $121 56
9152 6th Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 792 (+12%) 4mo $119,000 $150 55
2140 Jayson Ave 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 768 (+8%) 3mo $82,000 $107 54
9216 9th Ave 0.62mi 2/1.0 663 (-6%) 20mo $129,000 $195 44
9703 Campus Ave 0.67mi 3/2.0 (+1) 760 (+7%) 6mo $90,000 $118 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.2%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$2,065
Equity at exit
$13,419
10-year hold
IRR
8.6%
Equity multiple
1.56×
Total profit
$14,201
Equity at exit
$7,782

Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32208

Home prices YoY
-33.6%
Rents YoY
-1.4%
Active inventory
291
Price-to-rent
6.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,206 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$472
Tax from tax record
$127 /mo · $1,526/yr
Insurance
$38
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$316

Break-even live

Break-even rent $806
Max offer price $90,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,500
Closing costs
$2,700
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9248 9th Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 646 $995 $1.54 23d 1 0.60mi
8663 5th Ave Jacksonville, FL 2.0 1.0 720 $1,045 $1.45 23d 1 0.73mi
1000 Island Point Dr Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 949 $1,376 $1.45 2d 9 1.10mi
10535 Lem Turner Rd Jacksonville, FL 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1012 $1,279 $1.26 3d 40 1.24mi
800 Broward Rd Jacksonville, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1028 $1,368 $1.33 1d 42 1.35mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-14
    status Active
  3. 2026-03-27
    historical
  4. 2026-03-19
    status Active
  5. 2026-02-16
    price $90,000
  6. 2026-02-16
    historical
  7. 2026-01-14
    price $73,000
  8. 2026-01-06
    price $74,000
  9. 2025-12-09
    price $75,000
  10. 2025-12-04
    price $77,500
  11. 2025-11-18
    price $79,000
  12. 2025-11-13
    price $80,000
  13. 2025-11-04
    price $85,000
  14. 2025-10-21
    listed $90,000 Active
  15. 2025-10-10
    soldstatus $718,700
  16. 2015-01-22
    historical 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    The owner has lowered the price and wants this home sold! All reasonable offers will be considered. This bungalow features 2 beds, 1 bath and outside storage. Schedule your showing today!

  17. 2014-10-11
    status Active 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    The owner has lowered the price and wants this home sold! All reasonable offers will be considered. This bungalow features 2 beds, 1 bath and outside storage. Schedule your showing today!

  18. 2014-10-10
    historical 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    The owner has lowered the price and wants this home sold! All reasonable offers will be considered. This bungalow features 2 beds, 1 bath and outside storage. Schedule your showing today!

  19. 2014-09-24
    price $26,800 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    The owner has lowered the price and wants this home sold! All reasonable offers will be considered. This bungalow features 2 beds, 1 bath and outside storage. Schedule your showing today!

  20. 2014-09-24
    price $28,800 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    The owner has lowered the price and wants this home sold! All reasonable offers will be considered. This bungalow features 2 beds, 1 bath and outside storage. Schedule your showing today!

  21. 2014-09-24
    listed $29,800 Active 187-char remark
    Show marketing remark (187 chars)

    The owner has lowered the price and wants this home sold! All reasonable offers will be considered. This bungalow features 2 beds, 1 bath and outside storage. Schedule your showing today!

  22. 2004-08-01
    historical 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    THIS CUTE BUNGALOW HAS BEEN TOTALLY REMODELED & SELLER WILL INSTALL NEW CH/A, RANGE & REFRIG PRIOR TO CLOSING WITH ACCEPTABLE CONTRACT. THIS WILL BE CHEAPER THAN RENT & VERY LOW MAINTENANCE FOR YEARS. HOME HAS CEDAR SIDING. APPLIANCES & CH/A WILL NOT BE INSTALLED UNTIL CLOSING.

  23. 2003-03-13
    listed $56,900 294-char remark
    Show marketing remark (294 chars)

    THIS CUTE BUNGALOW HAS BEEN TOTALLY REMODELED & SELLER WILL INSTALL NEW CH/A, RANGE & REFRIG PRIOR TO CLOSING WITH ACCEPTABLE CONTRACT. THIS WILL BE CHEAPER THAN RENT & VERY LOW MAINTENANCE FOR YEARS. HOME HAS CEDAR SIDING. APPLIANCES & CH/A WILL NOT BE INSTALLED UNTIL CLOSING.

  24. 2001-08-02
    historical
  25. 2001-02-02
    listed $59,900
  26. 1990-03-01
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,526 · $127/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,526 · $127/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,477
− Mortgage interest
−$5,041
− Property taxes
−$1,526
− Insurance
−$450
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,158
− Management
−$1,158
− Depreciation
−$2,618
Taxable income
$2,526
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$606
After-tax cash flow
$3,192/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duval
NCES district ID
1200480
Math proficiency
46% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$48,987
Composite
38.97/100
National rank
#4076
State rank
#48 of 73 in FL

Livability — Jacksonville

Score
83/100
State rank
#50
US rank
#911

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime C Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jacksonville, FL
County
Duval County · 1,015,274 people
City population
979,034
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
Population (ZIP)
32,699
Household income
$41,324
Rent vs Own
43.2% rent · 56.8% own
Severe rent burden
1765.0

Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,013,010 people
By 2030
1,059,228 · +4.6%
By 2040
1,141,439 · +12.7%
By 2050
1,205,258 · +19.0%
By 2075
1,324,282 · +30.7%
By 2100
1,319,620 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 77% White 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Duval

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.56%
Current HPI
217.9706
Rent YoY
▼ -1.36%
Metro
Jacksonville, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+500.0% since first listed
26 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending realMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Relisted realMLS
  • 2026-03-27 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Relisted realMLS
  • 2026-02-16 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $90,000 realMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $73,000 realMLS
  • 2026-01-06 Price Changed $74,000 realMLS
  • 2025-12-09 Price Changed $75,000 realMLS
  • 2025-12-04 Price Changed $77,500 realMLS
  • 2025-11-18 Price Changed $79,000 realMLS
  • 2025-11-13 Price Changed $80,000 realMLS
  • 2025-11-04 Price Changed $85,000 realMLS
  • 2025-10-21 Listed $90,000 realMLS
  • 2025-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $718,700 Public Records
  • 2015-01-22 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2014-10-11 Relisted realMLS
  • 2014-10-10 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2014-09-24 Listed $29,800 realMLS
  • 2014-09-24 Price Changed $28,800 realMLS
  • 2014-09-24 Price Changed $26,800 realMLS
  • 2004-08-01 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2003-03-13 Listed $56,900 realMLS
  • 2001-08-02 Listing Removed realMLS
  • 2001-02-02 Listed $59,900 realMLS
  • 1990-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,526 · +20.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…