9170 Madison Ave · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.3/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +5.2/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The owner has lowered the price and wants this home sold! All reasonable offers will be considered. This bungalow features 2 beds, 1 bath and outside storage. Schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- 2021 roof
- Near parks
- Convenient location
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Off-street parking; On-street parking; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Entry level on 1st floor
- Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Front porch; Rear porch; Chain link fencing; City street frontage; Asphalt road surface
Interior
- Kitchen: No built-in appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Primary bathroom with tub and shower
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup in unit; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $316 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.5% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.07%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $85,668
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9170 Madison Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 708 (0%) | 0mo | $75,000 | $106 | 100 |
| 9035 Adams Ave | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-5%) | 11mo | $94,000 | $140 | 74 |
| 9162 6th Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (-5%) | 0mo | $104,900 | $156 | 69 |
| 2116 4th Ave | 0.44mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+2%) | 11mo | $149,000 | $207 | 67 |
| 8974 Jackson Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 808 (+14%) | 2mo | $69,000 | $85 | 62 |
| 9230 4th Ave | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 752 (+6%) | 12mo | $36,000 | $48 | 62 |
| 8719 5th Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (-1%) | 14mo | $85,000 | $121 | 56 |
| 9152 6th Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 792 (+12%) | 4mo | $119,000 | $150 | 55 |
| 2140 Jayson Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 768 (+8%) | 3mo | $82,000 | $107 | 54 |
| 9216 9th Ave | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 663 (-6%) | 20mo | $129,000 | $195 | 44 |
| 9703 Campus Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 760 (+7%) | 6mo | $90,000 | $118 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $2,065
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 8.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $14,201
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32208
- Home prices YoY
- -33.6%
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 291
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,206 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$127 /mo · $1,526/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$253
- Net cashflow
- $316
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9248 9th Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 646 | $995 | $1.54 | 23d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 8663 5th Ave Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,045 | $1.45 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1000 Island Point Dr Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 949 | $1,376 | $1.45 | 2d | 9 | 1.10mi |
| 10535 Lem Turner Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1012 | $1,279 | $1.26 | 3d | 40 | 1.24mi |
| 800 Broward Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1028 | $1,368 | $1.33 | 1d | 42 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending
-
2026-04-14status Active
-
2026-03-27historical
-
2026-03-19status Active
-
2026-02-16price $90,000
-
2026-02-16historical
-
2026-01-14price $73,000
-
2026-01-06price $74,000
-
2025-12-09price $75,000
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2025-12-04price $77,500
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2025-11-18price $79,000
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2025-11-13price $80,000
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2025-11-04price $85,000
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2025-10-21$90,000 Active
-
2025-10-10soldstatus $718,700
-
2015-01-22historical 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
The owner has lowered the price and wants this home sold! All reasonable offers will be considered. This bungalow features 2 beds, 1 bath and outside storage. Schedule your showing today!
-
2014-10-11status Active 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
The owner has lowered the price and wants this home sold! All reasonable offers will be considered. This bungalow features 2 beds, 1 bath and outside storage. Schedule your showing today!
-
2014-10-10historical 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
The owner has lowered the price and wants this home sold! All reasonable offers will be considered. This bungalow features 2 beds, 1 bath and outside storage. Schedule your showing today!
-
2014-09-24price $26,800 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
The owner has lowered the price and wants this home sold! All reasonable offers will be considered. This bungalow features 2 beds, 1 bath and outside storage. Schedule your showing today!
-
2014-09-24price $28,800 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
The owner has lowered the price and wants this home sold! All reasonable offers will be considered. This bungalow features 2 beds, 1 bath and outside storage. Schedule your showing today!
-
2014-09-24$29,800 Active 187-char remark
Show marketing remark (187 chars)
The owner has lowered the price and wants this home sold! All reasonable offers will be considered. This bungalow features 2 beds, 1 bath and outside storage. Schedule your showing today!
-
2004-08-01historical 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
THIS CUTE BUNGALOW HAS BEEN TOTALLY REMODELED & SELLER WILL INSTALL NEW CH/A, RANGE & REFRIG PRIOR TO CLOSING WITH ACCEPTABLE CONTRACT. THIS WILL BE CHEAPER THAN RENT & VERY LOW MAINTENANCE FOR YEARS. HOME HAS CEDAR SIDING. APPLIANCES & CH/A WILL NOT BE INSTALLED UNTIL CLOSING.
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2003-03-13$56,900 294-char remark
Show marketing remark (294 chars)
THIS CUTE BUNGALOW HAS BEEN TOTALLY REMODELED & SELLER WILL INSTALL NEW CH/A, RANGE & REFRIG PRIOR TO CLOSING WITH ACCEPTABLE CONTRACT. THIS WILL BE CHEAPER THAN RENT & VERY LOW MAINTENANCE FOR YEARS. HOME HAS CEDAR SIDING. APPLIANCES & CH/A WILL NOT BE INSTALLED UNTIL CLOSING.
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2001-08-02historical
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2001-02-02$59,900
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1990-03-01soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,526 · $127/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,526 · $127/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,477
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,526
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,158
- − Management
- −$1,158
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $2,526
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$606
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,192/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,699
- Household income
- $41,324
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1765.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% White 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.56%
- Current HPI
- 217.9706
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.36%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+500.0% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — realMLS
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — realMLS
- 2026-03-27 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2026-03-19 Relisted — realMLS
- 2026-02-16 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $90,000 realMLS
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $73,000 realMLS
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $74,000 realMLS
- 2025-12-09 Price Changed $75,000 realMLS
- 2025-12-04 Price Changed $77,500 realMLS
- 2025-11-18 Price Changed $79,000 realMLS
- 2025-11-13 Price Changed $80,000 realMLS
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $85,000 realMLS
- 2025-10-21 Listed $90,000 realMLS
- 2025-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $718,700 Public Records
- 2015-01-22 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2014-10-11 Relisted — realMLS
- 2014-10-10 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2014-09-24 Listed $29,800 realMLS
- 2014-09-24 Price Changed $28,800 realMLS
- 2014-09-24 Price Changed $26,800 realMLS
- 2004-08-01 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2003-03-13 Listed $56,900 realMLS
- 2001-08-02 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2001-02-02 Listed $59,900 realMLS
- 1990-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,526 · +20.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…