1916 Hellams Ln · Royse City, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$262,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
New! Spacious Townhome! Three bedrooms, two full baths, guest powder bath and large nice loft. Home includes, island kitchen, granite counters throughout, LED lighting, professionally engineered post tension foundation, and so much more! Liberty Crossing is a master-planned community including single-family homes and townhomes. The community benefits from easy access to Downtown Royse City and a plethora of places to eat and shop! Find a home just right for you and your family.
Key facts
- Led lighting
- Island kitchen
- Granite counters
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $263k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (9.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $239k (9.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.2% in Royse City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#158 in TX, #4,292 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Royse City ISD (rural): math 42% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #266 of 826 in TX (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 1301 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,810 units permitted in Rockwall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rockwall County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($239k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.40%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $264,081
- List price
- $262,990
- Delta
- -0.41%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 218 Howard St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,646 (+2%) | 4mo | $279,000 | $170 | 63 |
| 307 College St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,506 (-6%) | 14mo | $285,000 | $189 | 56 |
| 501 May St | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,523 (-5%) | 16mo | $245,000 | $161 | 52 |
| 1101 Brazos Ct | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,512 (-6%) | 14mo | $149,900 | $99 | 41 |
| 509 E Lamar St | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,408 (-12%) | 22mo | $249,900 | $177 | 40 |
| 208 N Elm St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,728 (+8%) | 10mo | $265,000 | $153 | 40 |
| 2344 Wesley Ave | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 1,835 (+14%) | 10mo | $338,990 | $185 | 36 |
| 807 Stedham | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,374 (-14%) | 22mo | $255,000 | $186 | 12 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-44,129
- Equity at exit
- $39,213
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.21×
- Total profit
- $-58,328
- Equity at exit
- $22,739
Cash invested: $73,637 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75189
- Home prices YoY
- -25.0%
- Rents YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 1301
- Price-to-rent
- 9.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,387 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,379
- Tax from tax record
- −$81 /mo · $972/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$230
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$501
- Net cashflow
- $86
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $235 | -5% $160 | +0% $86 | +5% $11 | +10% $-63 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-103 | -5% $-9 | +0% $86 | +5% $180 | +10% $274 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $218 | -0.5pp $153 | base $86 | +0.5pp $18 | +1.0pp $-52 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $65,748
- Closing costs
- $7,890
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1939 Hellams Ln Unit 1 Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1711 | $1,995 | $1.17 | 20d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 1931 Hellams Ln Unit 1 Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1711 | $1,995 | $1.17 | 20d | 1 | 0.01mi |
| 1947 Hellams Ln Unit 1 Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1850 | $2,250 | $1.22 | 6d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1323 Taggart St Royse City, TX | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2060 | $3,100 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 315 College St Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,850 | $1.48 | 5d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1332 Pierce St Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2118 | $2,350 | $1.11 | 45d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 2044 Hearn Dr Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2060 | $2,200 | $1.07 | 5d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 1023 Lakes Dr Royse City, TX | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1194 | $1,749 | $1.46 | 3d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 552 Firethorn Dr Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1830 | $2,350 | $1.28 | 0d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 209 E Gail Ln Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $1,850 | $1.51 | 0d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 525 Redbud Dr Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2147 | $2,395 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 513 Redbud Dr Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1830 | $2,050 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 4023 Anglers Way Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2122 | $2,900 | $1.37 | 6d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 207 Gardenia Dr Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1830 | $2,195 | $1.20 | 25d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 430 Oleander Dr Fate, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2039 | $2,350 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 426 Oleander Dr Fate, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2126 | $2,495 | $1.17 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 7015 Hopper Ct Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2198 | $2,300 | $1.05 | 45d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 913 Live Oak St Unit B Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,600 | $1.43 | 22d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 525 Janette Ct Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2059 | $2,095 | $1.02 | 15d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 524 Timberhaven Trl Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1693 | $1,900 | $1.12 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3178 Wind Knot Way Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1798 | $2,150 | $1.20 | 16d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 317 Fire Rock Dr Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1618 | $1,995 | $1.23 | 0d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 1017 N Houston St Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1448 | $1,725 | $1.19 | 45d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 721 Oak Grove Ln Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,805 | $1.52 | 0d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 609 Rosemary Dr Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1759 | $1,901 | $1.08 | 14d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 609 Rosemary Dr Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1759 | $1,835 | $1.04 | 6d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 2031 Roaring Fork Dr Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1861 | $2,495 | $1.34 | 6d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 220 Fire Rock Dr Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1618 | $2,000 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 821 Loganwood Dr Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1291 | $1,725 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 225 Cookston Ln Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1651 | $1,825 | $1.11 | 15d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 225 Cookston Ln Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1651 | $1,825 | $1.11 | 25d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 712 Preston Dr Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1965 | $1,895 | $0.96 | 4d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 320 Cookston Ln Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2213 | $2,045 | $0.92 | 0d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 713 Cooper Ln Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1859 | $1,895 | $1.02 | 0d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 708 Mackenzie Dr Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1779 | $1,780 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1012 Brookhaven Dr Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1642 | $2,149 | $1.31 | 4d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 2701 Redwood St Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1816 | $2,100 | $1.16 | 6d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2704 Redwood St Royse City, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1760 | $1,850 | $1.05 | 23d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 412 Pin Oak Ln Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 412 Pin Oak Ln Royse City, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 0d | 1 | 1.33mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $230 · $2,760/yr
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $262,990 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $262,990 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $262,990 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $262,990 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $262,990 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $262,990 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $262,990 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $262,990 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-07statusdays on market $262,990 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-05-04status Pending 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
New! Spacious Townhome! Three bedrooms, two full baths, guest powder bath and large nice loft. Home includes, island kitchen, granite counters throughout, LED lighting, professionally engineered post tension foundation, and so much more! Liberty Crossing is a master-planned community including single-family homes and townhomes. The community benefits from easy access to Downtown Royse City and a plethora of places to eat and shop! Find a home just right for you and your family.
-
2026-04-06price $262,990 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
New! Spacious Townhome! Three bedrooms, two full baths, guest powder bath and large nice loft. Home includes, island kitchen, granite counters throughout, LED lighting, professionally engineered post tension foundation, and so much more! Liberty Crossing is a master-planned community including single-family homes and townhomes. The community benefits from easy access to Downtown Royse City and a plethora of places to eat and shop! Find a home just right for you and your family.
-
2026-02-11$261,490 Active 483-char remark
Show marketing remark (483 chars)
New! Spacious Townhome! Three bedrooms, two full baths, guest powder bath and large nice loft. Home includes, island kitchen, granite counters throughout, LED lighting, professionally engineered post tension foundation, and so much more! Liberty Crossing is a master-planned community including single-family homes and townhomes. The community benefits from easy access to Downtown Royse City and a plethora of places to eat and shop! Find a home just right for you and your family.
-
2025-11-30historical
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2025-09-24price $265,990
-
2025-08-07price $272,490
-
2025-06-04price $255,990
-
2025-03-06price $253,990
-
2025-02-13price $258,990
-
2025-01-28$263,990 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $972 · $81/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,813 · $401/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,841/yr (+$320/mo · 395.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,639
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,732
- − Property taxes
- −$972
- − Insurance
- −$1,315
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,291
- − Management
- −$2,291
- − HOA
- −$2,760
- − Depreciation
- −$7,651
- Taxable loss
- −$3,372
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$809
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,837/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This townhome is in good condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for value increase through minor updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers
- Both Interior cleaning — A clean interior can make the home more appealing to potential buyers and renters
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers ↑
- Both Interior cleaning — A clean interior can make the home more appealing to potential buyers and renters ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Royse City ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838220
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $73,810
- Composite
- 38.44/100
- National rank
- #4197
- State rank
- #266 of 826 in TX
Livability — Royse City
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #158
- US rank
- #4292
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Royse City, TX
- County
- Rockwall County · 132,930 people
- City population
- 48,739
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,739
- Household income
- $117,125
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 569.0
Population outlook (Rockwall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 118,396 people
- By 2030
- 132,209 · +11.7%
- By 2040
- 159,538 · +34.7%
- By 2050
- 185,299 · +56.5%
- By 2075
- 243,489 · +105.7%
- By 2100
- 277,814 · +134.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Philippines, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rockwall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.1% · R 70.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.3pp toward D · 2008: -46.2pp · 2024: -40.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.9 2020: R+37.7 2016: R+47.5 2012: R+53.3 2008: R+46.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -71.10%
- Current HPI
- 212.8422
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.13%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-0.4% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $262,990 NTREIS
- 2026-02-11 Listed $261,490 NTREIS
- 2025-11-30 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-09-24 Price Changed $265,990 NTREIS
- 2025-08-07 Price Changed $272,490 NTREIS
- 2025-06-04 Price Changed $255,990 NTREIS
- 2025-03-06 Price Changed $253,990 NTREIS
- 2025-02-13 Price Changed $258,990 NTREIS
- 2025-01-28 Listed $263,990 NTREIS
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $972 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…