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1916 Hellams Ln
D+ Composite 45.27
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.7/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$262,990

1916 Hellams Ln · Royse City, TX 75189
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,607 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 98 Days on market
Built 2025 Good condition 1,472 sqft lot $164/sqft · at area comps Est $264k · at est. $230/mo HOA · 10% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

New! Spacious Townhome! Three bedrooms, two full baths, guest powder bath and large nice loft. Home includes, island kitchen, granite counters throughout, LED lighting, professionally engineered post tension foundation, and so much more! Liberty Crossing is a master-planned community including single-family homes and townhomes. The community benefits from easy access to Downtown Royse City and a plethora of places to eat and shop! Find a home just right for you and your family.

Key facts

  • Led lighting
  • Island kitchen
  • Granite counters

Tags

ISLAND KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERSLED LIGHTINGMASTER-PLANNED COMMUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $263k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $239k (9.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $239k (9.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 4.2% in Royse City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#158 in TX, #4,292 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Royse City ISD (rural): math 42% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #266 of 826 in TX (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 1301 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,810 units permitted in Rockwall County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Rockwall County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($239k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $238,655 (9.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.68%
Cash-on-cash
1.40%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$264,081
List price
$262,990
Delta
-0.41%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
218 Howard St 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,646 (+2%) 4mo $279,000 $170 63
307 College St 0.27mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,506 (-6%) 14mo $285,000 $189 56
501 May St 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,523 (-5%) 16mo $245,000 $161 52
1101 Brazos Ct 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,512 (-6%) 14mo $149,900 $99 41
509 E Lamar St 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,408 (-12%) 22mo $249,900 $177 40
208 N Elm St 0.65mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,728 (+8%) 10mo $265,000 $153 40
2344 Wesley Ave 0.60mi 4/2.0 1,835 (+14%) 10mo $338,990 $185 36
807 Stedham 0.70mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,374 (-14%) 22mo $255,000 $186 12

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.5%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-44,129
Equity at exit
$39,213
10-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.21×
Total profit
$-58,328
Equity at exit
$22,739

Cash invested: $73,637 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75189

Home prices YoY
-25.0%
Rents YoY
-1.1%
Active inventory
1301
Price-to-rent
9.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,387 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,379
Tax from tax record
$81 /mo · $972/yr
Insurance
$110
HOA
$230
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$501
Net cashflow
$86

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,278
Max offer price $262,990
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $235 -5% $160 +0% $86 +5% $11 +10% $-63
Rent -10% $-103 -5% $-9 +0% $86 +5% $180 +10% $274
Rate -1.0pp $218 -0.5pp $153 base $86 +0.5pp $18 +1.0pp $-52

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$65,748
Closing costs
$7,890
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1939 Hellams Ln Unit 1 Royse City, TX 3.0 2.5 1711 $1,995 $1.17 20d 1 0.01mi
1931 Hellams Ln Unit 1 Royse City, TX 3.0 2.5 1711 $1,995 $1.17 20d 1 0.01mi
1947 Hellams Ln Unit 1 Royse City, TX 3.0 2.5 1850 $2,250 $1.22 6d 1 0.02mi
1323 Taggart St Royse City, TX 5.0 3.0 2060 $3,100 $1.50 45d 1 0.06mi
315 College St Royse City, TX 3.0 2.0 1254 $1,850 $1.48 5d 1 0.26mi
1332 Pierce St Royse City, TX 4.0 2.0 2118 $2,350 $1.11 45d 1 0.30mi
2044 Hearn Dr Royse City, TX 4.0 3.0 2060 $2,200 $1.07 5d 1 0.39mi
1023 Lakes Dr Royse City, TX 2.0–3.0 2.0 1194 $1,749 $1.46 3d 1 0.58mi
552 Firethorn Dr Royse City, TX 3.0 2.0 1830 $2,350 $1.28 0d 1 0.72mi
209 E Gail Ln Royse City, TX 3.0 1.5 1224 $1,850 $1.51 0d 1 0.77mi
525 Redbud Dr Royse City, TX 3.0 2.0 2147 $2,395 $1.12 45d 1 0.80mi
513 Redbud Dr Royse City, TX 3.0 2.0 1830 $2,050 $1.12 45d 1 0.84mi
4023 Anglers Way Royse City, TX 4.0 3.5 2122 $2,900 $1.37 6d 1 0.87mi
207 Gardenia Dr Royse City, TX 3.0 2.0 1830 $2,195 $1.20 25d 1 0.90mi
430 Oleander Dr Fate, TX 3.0 2.0 2039 $2,350 $1.15 45d 1 0.91mi
426 Oleander Dr Fate, TX 3.0 2.0 2126 $2,495 $1.17 25d 1 0.92mi
7015 Hopper Ct Royse City, TX 4.0 2.5 2198 $2,300 $1.05 45d 1 0.93mi
913 Live Oak St Unit B Royse City, TX 3.0 2.0 1120 $1,600 $1.43 22d 1 0.98mi
525 Janette Ct Royse City, TX 4.0 3.0 2059 $2,095 $1.02 15d 1 1.01mi
524 Timberhaven Trl Royse City, TX 3.0 2.0 1693 $1,900 $1.12 25d 1 1.03mi
3178 Wind Knot Way Royse City, TX 3.0 2.0 1798 $2,150 $1.20 16d 1 1.05mi
317 Fire Rock Dr Royse City, TX 3.0 2.0 1618 $1,995 $1.23 0d 1 1.09mi
1017 N Houston St Royse City, TX 3.0 1.0 1448 $1,725 $1.19 45d 1 1.09mi
721 Oak Grove Ln Royse City, TX 3.0 2.0 1188 $1,805 $1.52 0d 1 1.11mi
609 Rosemary Dr Royse City, TX 3.0 2.0 1759 $1,901 $1.08 14d 1 1.12mi
609 Rosemary Dr Royse City, TX 3.0 2.0 1759 $1,835 $1.04 6d 1 1.12mi
2031 Roaring Fork Dr Royse City, TX 3.0 2.0 1861 $2,495 $1.34 6d 1 1.13mi
220 Fire Rock Dr Royse City, TX 3.0 2.0 1618 $2,000 $1.24 45d 1 1.16mi
821 Loganwood Dr Royse City, TX 3.0 2.0 1291 $1,725 $1.34 25d 1 1.20mi
225 Cookston Ln Royse City, TX 4.0 2.0 1651 $1,825 $1.11 15d 1 1.22mi
225 Cookston Ln Royse City, TX 4.0 2.0 1651 $1,825 $1.11 25d 1 1.22mi
712 Preston Dr Royse City, TX 4.0 2.0 1965 $1,895 $0.96 4d 1 1.22mi
320 Cookston Ln Royse City, TX 3.0 2.0 2213 $2,045 $0.92 0d 1 1.24mi
713 Cooper Ln Royse City, TX 4.0 2.0 1859 $1,895 $1.02 0d 1 1.26mi
708 Mackenzie Dr Royse City, TX 4.0 2.0 1779 $1,780 $1.00 45d 1 1.27mi
1012 Brookhaven Dr Royse City, TX 3.0 2.0 1642 $2,149 $1.31 4d 1 1.27mi
2701 Redwood St Royse City, TX 3.0 2.0 1816 $2,100 $1.16 6d 1 1.29mi
2704 Redwood St Royse City, TX 4.0 2.0 1760 $1,850 $1.05 23d 1 1.29mi
412 Pin Oak Ln Royse City, TX 3.0 2.0 1254 $1,800 $1.44 45d 1 1.33mi
412 Pin Oak Ln Royse City, TX 3.0 2.0 1254 $1,800 $1.44 0d 1 1.33mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$230 · $2,760/yr

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $262,990 Active 98 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $262,990 Active 95 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $262,990 Active 94 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $262,990 Active 93 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $262,990 Active 92 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $262,990 Active 90 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $262,990 Active 86 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $262,990 Active 85 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $262,990 Active 84 DOM
  10. 2026-05-04
    status Pending 483-char remark
    Show marketing remark (483 chars)

    New! Spacious Townhome! Three bedrooms, two full baths, guest powder bath and large nice loft. Home includes, island kitchen, granite counters throughout, LED lighting, professionally engineered post tension foundation, and so much more! Liberty Crossing is a master-planned community including single-family homes and townhomes. The community benefits from easy access to Downtown Royse City and a plethora of places to eat and shop! Find a home just right for you and your family.

  11. 2026-04-06
    price $262,990 483-char remark
    Show marketing remark (483 chars)

    New! Spacious Townhome! Three bedrooms, two full baths, guest powder bath and large nice loft. Home includes, island kitchen, granite counters throughout, LED lighting, professionally engineered post tension foundation, and so much more! Liberty Crossing is a master-planned community including single-family homes and townhomes. The community benefits from easy access to Downtown Royse City and a plethora of places to eat and shop! Find a home just right for you and your family.

  12. 2026-02-11
    listed $261,490 Active 483-char remark
    Show marketing remark (483 chars)

    New! Spacious Townhome! Three bedrooms, two full baths, guest powder bath and large nice loft. Home includes, island kitchen, granite counters throughout, LED lighting, professionally engineered post tension foundation, and so much more! Liberty Crossing is a master-planned community including single-family homes and townhomes. The community benefits from easy access to Downtown Royse City and a plethora of places to eat and shop! Find a home just right for you and your family.

  13. 2025-11-30
    historical
  14. 2025-09-24
    price $265,990
  15. 2025-08-07
    price $272,490
  16. 2025-06-04
    price $255,990
  17. 2025-03-06
    price $253,990
  18. 2025-02-13
    price $258,990
  19. 2025-01-28
    listed $263,990 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$972 · $81/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,813 · $401/mo
Expected delta
+$3,841/yr (+$320/mo · 395.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,639
− Mortgage interest
−$14,732
− Property taxes
−$972
− Insurance
−$1,315
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,291
− Management
−$2,291
− HOA
−$2,760
− Depreciation
−$7,651
Taxable loss
−$3,372
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$809
After-tax cash flow
$1,837/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This townhome is in good condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for value increase through minor updates.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers
  • Both Interior cleaning — A clean interior can make the home more appealing to potential buyers and renters

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Well-maintained landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers
  • Both Interior cleaning — A clean interior can make the home more appealing to potential buyers and renters

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Royse City ISD
NCES district ID
4838220
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$73,810
Composite
38.44/100
National rank
#4197
State rank
#266 of 826 in TX

Livability — Royse City

Score
75/100
State rank
#158
US rank
#4292

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Royse City, TX
County
Rockwall County · 132,930 people
City population
48,739
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
48,739
Household income
$117,125
Rent vs Own
11.5% rent · 88.5% own
Severe rent burden
569.0

Population outlook (Rockwall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
118,396 people
By 2030
132,209 · +11.7%
By 2040
159,538 · +34.7%
By 2050
185,299 · +56.5%
By 2075
243,489 · +105.7%
By 2100
277,814 · +134.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Hispanic / Latino 25% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Philippines, Jamaica
Languages at home
80% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Rockwall

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.9) · D 29.1% · R 70.0%
2008→2024 swing
+5.3pp toward D · 2008: -46.2pp · 2024: -40.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.9 2020: R+37.7 2016: R+47.5 2012: R+53.3 2008: R+46.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -71.10%
Current HPI
212.8422
Rent YoY
▼ -1.13%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.4% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-04-06 Price Changed $262,990 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $261,490 NTREIS
  • 2025-11-30 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-09-24 Price Changed $265,990 NTREIS
  • 2025-08-07 Price Changed $272,490 NTREIS
  • 2025-06-04 Price Changed $255,990 NTREIS
  • 2025-03-06 Price Changed $253,990 NTREIS
  • 2025-02-13 Price Changed $258,990 NTREIS
  • 2025-01-28 Listed $263,990 NTREIS

Property tax history

-0.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $972 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…