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210 Penn Ave
C Composite 58.36
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.6/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$179,900

210 Penn Ave · Dublin, GA 31021
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,357 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 176 Days on market
Built 1955 0.31 ac lot $76/sqft · 11% below area Est $203k · 11% under ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming older home with updated kitchen and baths. 4 bedrooms and 2 baths, with an upstairs bonus room. The out building has a small garage/shop area. Property also includes a privacy fence. Beautiful landscaped garden setting. Hardwood floors and much character with an old school quality. Must see!

Key facts

  • Updated baths
  • Privacy fence
  • Updated kitchen

Tags

UPDATED KITCHENUPDATED BATHSUPSTAIRS BONUS ROOMPRIVACY FENCELANDSCAPED GARDENHARDWOOD FLOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 4.2% in Dublin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#322 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Dublin City (town): math 10% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #165 of 174 in GA (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Susie Dasher (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,041 of 1,228 statewide, top 87%, 538 students, 100% FRL); Dublin Middle School (math 7% / reading 19%, grade F, #408 of 470 statewide, top 87%, 618 students, 100% FRL); Dublin High School (math 2% / reading 10%, grade F, #390 of 424 statewide, top 93%, 544 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 78% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 220 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 55 units permitted in Laurens County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Laurens County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 176 days — a 12% lower offer ($158k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $158,312 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 176 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.41%
Cash-on-cash
7.57%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$202,758
List price
$179,900
Delta
-11.27%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
203 Zenith St 0.34mi 4/3.0 2,114 (-10%) 4mo $235,000 $111 60
304 Woodridge Rd 0.49mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,382 (+1%) 13mo $274,000 $115 56
108 Oakhurst St 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,466 (+5%) 16mo $181,000 $73 56
107 Vernon St 0.18mi 4/3.0 2,056 (-13%) 15mo $204,000 $99 54
1520 Highland Ave 0.56mi 4/2.5 2,556 (+8%) 24mo $271,250 $106 38
305 Oak Pointe Dr 0.57mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,086 (-12%) 13mo $370,000 $177 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.5%
Equity multiple
0.76×
Total profit
$-11,910
Equity at exit
$26,824
10-year hold
IRR
1.1%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$3,749
Equity at exit
$15,554

Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31021

Home prices YoY
-18.7%
Rents YoY
1.4%
Active inventory
220
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,976 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$943
Tax est. 1.5%
$225 /mo · $2,698/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$415
Net cashflow
$318

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,574
Max offer price $179,900
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $442 -5% $380 +0% $318 +5% $256 +10% $194
Rent -10% $162 -5% $240 +0% $318 +5% $396 +10% $474
Rate -1.0pp $408 -0.5pp $364 base $318 +0.5pp $271 +1.0pp $224

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$44,975
Closing costs
$5,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1810 Pine Forest Cir Dublin, GA 4.0 3.5 2624 $1,995 $0.76 45d 1 0.75mi
412 Roberson St Dublin, GA 4.0 3.0 2152 $2,500 $1.16 45d 1 0.75mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    days on market $179,900 Active 176 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $179,900 Active 175 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    statusdays on market $179,900 Active 174 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $179,900 Price Change 173 DOM
  5. 2026-05-30
    days on market $179,900 Price Change 172 DOM
  6. 2026-01-29
    price $199,500 301-char remark
    Show marketing remark (301 chars)

    Charming older home with updated kitchen and baths. 4 bedrooms and 2 baths, with an upstairs bonus room. The out building has a small garage/shop area. Property also includes a privacy fence. Beautiful landscaped garden setting. Hardwood floors and much character with an old school quality. Must see!

  7. 2025-12-03
    listed $213,900 New 301-char remark
    Show marketing remark (301 chars)

    Charming older home with updated kitchen and baths. 4 bedrooms and 2 baths, with an upstairs bonus room. The out building has a small garage/shop area. Property also includes a privacy fence. Beautiful landscaped garden setting. Hardwood floors and much character with an old school quality. Must see!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,714
− Mortgage interest
−$10,077
− Property taxes
−$2,698
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,897
− Management
−$1,897
− Depreciation
−$5,233
Taxable income
$1,011
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$243
After-tax cash flow
$3,572/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dublin City
NCES district ID
1301870
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$29,841
Composite
10.16/100
National rank
#9796
State rank
#165 of 174 in GA

Livability — Dublin

Score
62/100
State rank
#322
US rank
#17202

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dublin, GA
County
Laurens County · 28,190 people
City population
28,190
Metro
Dublin, GA
Population (ZIP)
28,190
Household income
$55,697
Rent vs Own
44.7% rent · 55.3% own
Severe rent burden
1279.0

Population outlook (Laurens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
45,685 people
By 2030
44,056 · -3.6%
By 2040
40,270 · -11.9%
By 2050
36,094 · -21.0%
By 2075
26,275 · -42.5%
By 2100
17,160 · -62.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (51%)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 45% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Laurens

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.7) · D 33.5% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -21.5pp · 2024: -32.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.7 2020: R+28.2 2016: R+29.1 2012: R+22.7 2008: R+21.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -42.86%
Current HPI
186.3422
Rent YoY
▲ 1.45%
Metro
Dublin, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.7% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-29 Price Changed $199,500 GAMLS
  • 2025-12-03 Listed $213,900 GAMLS

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $276 · -4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…