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640 Discovery Ave
D Composite 40.35
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.1/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.4/30.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.6/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • DSCR +0.7/10.0

$226,369

640 Discovery Ave · Centerton, AR 72713
2 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,100 sqft · SingleFamily · 19 Days on market
Built 2026 4,356 sqft lot Est $224k · at est. $75/mo HOA · 5% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The 1100 Bungalow floor plan is a 2 bed, 2 bath 1100 square foot home that provides a safe, modern, and tranquil place for buyers to call home. LVP flooring and carpet in your home with durability and style. Created with the first-time homebuyer or savvy investors in mind, residents can be situated within walking distance of exciting neighborhood amenities, premier school districts and downtown life in Northwest Arkansas. Taxes are subject to change based on new construction.

Key facts

  • Walking distance
  • Lvp flooring
  • Downtown life

Tags

LVP FLOORINGWALKING DISTANCEPREMIER SCHOOL DISTRICTSDOWNTOWN LIFE

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee ($75) covering association management and grounds maintenance; Community amenities include nearby schools and a park

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete driveway parking
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story new construction; Entry level on slab foundation
  • Construction: Concrete and wood siding construction; Architectural shingle roof; Built as new construction; Slab foundation; Home warranty included
  • Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Partial fencing; Located in a subdivision; Near a park; Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Garbage disposal; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Bedrooms on multiple levels (2-story home)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl plank
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Granite counters; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); Window treatments; Blinds
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $226k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-390 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $170k (25.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (30.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (30.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 4.2% vs local median 2.9% in Centerton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#11 in AR, #3,194 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Bentonville School District (urban): math 59% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #3 of 238 in AR (top 1%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 710 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($120k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $24k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $23k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($223k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $158,087 (30.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
4.22%
Cash-on-cash
-7.39%
DSCR
0.67
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$224,400
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
570 Solar St 0.04mi 2/2.5 1,100 (0%) 0mo $224,085 $204 98
651 Apollo Ave 0.06mi 2/2.5 1,100 (0%) 1mo $224,085 $204 96
651 St Charles Pl 0.14mi 2/2.5 1,100 (0%) 2mo $229,700 $209 92
580 Solar St 0.04mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (0%) 1mo $225,426 $205 91
661 Apollo Ave 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (0%) 1mo $222,170 $202 89
501 Solar St 0.10mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (0%) 0mo $222,170 $202 88
910 States Ave 0.25mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (0%) 3mo $257,000 $234 79
1090 Indiana Ave 0.35mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (0%) 2mo $233,000 $212 75
581 Solar St 0.03mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,250 (+14%) 1mo $246,142 $197 70
511 Solar St 0.08mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,250 (+14%) 1mo $246,142 $197 68
850 States Ave 0.22mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,250 (+14%) 2mo $254,250 $203 60
880 States Ave 0.24mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,250 (+14%) 3mo $259,000 $207 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.39% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.4%
Equity multiple
2.49×
Total profit
$94,439
Equity at exit
$203,931
10-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
5.58×
Total profit
$290,440
Equity at exit
$439,785

Cash invested: $63,383 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 72713

Home prices YoY
3.5%
Rents YoY
0.4%
Active inventory
710
Price-to-rent
11.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,581 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,187
Tax est. 1.5%
$283 /mo · $3,396/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$75
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$332
Net cashflow
$-390

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,075
Max offer price $169,863
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-234 -5% $-312 +0% $-390 +5% $-469 +10% $-547
Rent -10% $-515 -5% $-453 +0% $-390 +5% $-328 +10% $-266
Rate -1.0pp $-276 -0.5pp $-333 base $-390 +0.5pp $-449 +1.0pp $-509

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,592
Closing costs
$6,791
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
831 Ventnor Ave Bentonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,525 $1.39 25d 1 0.18mi
830 Ventnor Ave Bentonville, AR 2.0 2.5 1100 $1,350 $1.23 23d 1 0.18mi
820 Boardwalk Ave Bentonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,450 $1.32 25d 1 0.18mi
840 Boardwalk Ave Bentonville, AR 2.0 2.5 1100 $1,465 $1.33 25d 1 0.19mi
830 Massachusetts Ave Bentonville, AR 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,718 $1.37 25d 1 0.19mi
861 Ventnor Ave Bentonville, AR 2.0 2.5 1100 $1,350 $1.23 25d 1 0.20mi
841 Tennessee Ave Bentonville, AR 2.0 2.5 1250 $1,640 $1.31 25d 1 0.20mi
860 Ventnor Ave Bentonville, AR 2.0 2.5 1100 $1,350 $1.23 25d 1 0.20mi
831 Massachusetts Ave Bentonville, AR 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,718 $1.37 25d 1 0.21mi
881 Ventnor Ave Centerton, AR 3.0 2.5 1250 $1,550 $1.24 25d 1 0.21mi
890 Tennessee Ave Bentonville, AR 3.0 2.5 1250 $1,595 $1.28 23d 1 0.22mi
840 States Ave Bentonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,624 $1.48 25d 1 0.22mi
860 States Ave Bentonville, AR 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,718 $1.37 25d 1 0.23mi
891 States Ave Bentonville, AR 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,718 $1.37 25d 1 0.26mi
931 States Ave Bentonville, AR 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,718 $1.37 25d 1 0.28mi
960 Ventnor Ave Centerton, AR 3.0 2.5 1250 $1,750 $1.40 25d 1 0.28mi
821 Arctic Ave Bentonville, AR 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,726 $1.38 25d 1 0.28mi
1031 Kentucky Ave Bentonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 25d 1 0.31mi
1020 States Ave Bentonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,624 $1.48 25d 1 0.32mi
1040 Indiana Ave Bentonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,624 $1.48 25d 1 0.32mi
1021 States Ave Bentonville, AR 2.0 2.5 1250 $1,850 $1.48 16d 1 0.32mi
1050 Indiana Ave Bentonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,624 $1.48 25d 1 0.33mi
1061 Kentucky Ave Bentonville, AR 3.0 2.5 1250 $1,550 $1.24 25d 1 0.33mi
1061 Indiana Ave Bentonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,624 $1.48 25d 1 0.34mi
1060 States Ave Bentonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,624 $1.48 25d 1 0.35mi
1071 Ventnor Ave Centerton, AR 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 25d 1 0.35mi
1080 Indiana Ave Bentonville, AR 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,624 $1.48 25d 1 0.35mi
1091 Indiana Ave Bentonville, AR 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,718 $1.37 25d 1 0.36mi
1090 States Ave Bentonville, AR 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,718 $1.37 25d 1 0.37mi
811 Meadowlands Dr Centerton, AR 3.0 2.0 1474 $1,225 $0.83 25d 1 0.46mi
501 E Centerton Blvd Centerton, AR 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 835 $1,292 $1.55 16d 25 0.51mi
410 Coconut Ln Centerton, AR 3.0 2.0 1393 $1,850 $1.33 25d 1 0.58mi
621-623 Cosmos St Centerton, AR 3.0 2.0 1475 $1,795 $1.22 16d 1 0.65mi
156 Copper Oaks Dr Centerton, AR 2.0 2.0 1140 $1,550 $1.36 25d 1 0.66mi
130 cedar St Centerton, AR 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 897 $1,395 $1.55 16d 12 0.80mi
261 Copper Oaks Dr Centerton, AR 3.0 2.0 1336 $1,425 $1.07 25d 1 0.84mi
263 Copper Oaks Dr Centerton, AR 3.0 2.0 1336 $1,425 $1.07 25d 1 0.84mi
240 Sage St Centerton, AR 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,400 $1.12 25d 1 0.86mi
533 Vee St Centerton, AR 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,550 $1.24 16d 1 0.90mi
422 Red Robin St Unit 422 Centerton, AR 3.0 2.0 1290 $1,550 $1.20 16d 1 0.93mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$75 · $900/yr

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-23
    listed $226,369 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,970
− Mortgage interest
−$12,680
− Property taxes
−$3,396
− Insurance
−$1,132
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,518
− Management
−$1,518
− HOA
−$900
− Depreciation
−$6,585
Taxable loss
−$8,758
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,102
After-tax cash flow
$-2,584/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bentonville School District
NCES district ID
0503060
Math proficiency
59% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
59% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$66,721
Composite
51.85/100
National rank
#1661
State rank
#3 of 238 in AR

Livability — Centerton

Score
77/100
State rank
#11
US rank
#3194

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Centerton, AR
County
Benton County · 259,241 people
City population
19,701
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
Population (ZIP)
28,999
Household income
$119,853
Rent vs Own
48.3% rent · 51.7% own
Severe rent burden
508.0

Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
318,683 people
By 2030
353,481 · +10.9%
By 2040
425,280 · +33.4%
By 2050
497,239 · +56.0%
By 2075
662,114 · +107.8%
By 2100
776,431 · +143.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Asian 20% Two or more races 16% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
79% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 8% Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Benton

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.77%
Current HPI
319.3081
Rent YoY
▲ 0.39%
Metro
Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers, AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending NWARMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $226,369 NWARMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…