2800 N Powers Dr #9 · Pine Hills, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Redocorated 2 bed/1 bath, - corian counter/sink in bath- granite style counter in kitchen-new faucets & dishwaser-disposal-kitchen & bath floor in 2004, new A/C 2005, berber carpet, paddle fans, screened balcony Move in Ready!(see additional comments)Smooth top self cleaning range, Brand new refrigerator w/ Ice Maker, Assigned parking means you always have a parking space. This has to be the best looking unit for sale in the complex, and it has the best parking space in the building. This is beautiful!Thecomplex offers a Beautifull Pool, a Clubhouse you can reserve for parties, Tennis courts and Shuffle Board Courts, even a spot to wash your car! No investors, must be owner occupied.
Key facts
- Close to restaurants
- Screened balcony
- Hard flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Unfurnished
- Financial info: Total annual fees $3,192; Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Monthly HOA fee of $266 (includes water and other items); Association approval required; Association name: HMI/Janice Loran; Community features include sidewalks and street lights; Pets allowed (max ~35 lbs)
Exterior
- Parking: Paved access; Near public transit
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available
- Home design: Condominium; One story; Faces east; Unit on second floor
- Construction: Block and stucco construction; Tile and other roofing; Block foundation; Mature landscaping
- Exterior features: Balcony; Exterior lighting; Sidewalks; Sliding doors
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate; Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: High ceilings; Open floorplan; Living room/dining room combo; Solid surface counters
- Laundry & utility: No laundry in unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $94k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $430 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $94k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.8% vs local median 4.9% in Pine Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#317 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ridgewood Park Elementary (math 19% / reading 25%, grade F, #2,080 of 2,144 statewide, top 97%, 460 students, 81% FRL); Maynard Evans High (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #562 of 667 statewide, top 85%, 2,417 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 56% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 21% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-28 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Orange average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.7%/yr); 178 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $653 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.49%
- DSCR
- 1.87
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $7,466
- Equity at exit
- $14,090
- IRR
- 13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $24,020
- Equity at exit
- $8,171
Cash invested: $26,460 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32818
- Home prices YoY
- -22.5%
- Rents YoY
- -2.7%
- Active inventory
- 178
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,617 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$496
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $563/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$266
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$340
- Net cashflow
- $430
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,625
- Closing costs
- $2,835
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3024 N Powers Dr Orlando, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 915 | $1,470 | $1.61 | 16d | 80 | 0.21mi |
| 6408 Sunshine St Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,900 | $1.90 | 4d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 6872 Alta Westgate Dr Orlando, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1190 | $1,466 | $1.23 | 8d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 5600 Silver Star Rd Orlando, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 850 | $1,310 | $1.54 | 14d | 6 | 0.62mi |
| 6508 Spring Glade Ct Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $1,325 | $1.28 | 22d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 5402 Pine Chase Dr Orlando, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $1,449 | $1.28 | 2d | 4 | 0.72mi |
| 1537 Ridge Pointe Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $2,200 | $1.99 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1529 Ridge Pointe Dr Orlando, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $1,995 | $1.80 | 8d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2603 Silkwood Cir Orlando, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,632 | $1.46 | 3d | 18 | 0.84mi |
| 2203 Silver Pines Pl #601 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,500 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 5249 Champagne Cir Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 980 | $1,795 | $1.83 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 5505 Hernandes Dr #113 Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,175 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3285 Split Willow Dr Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $1,400 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3043 Willow Bend Blvd Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,450 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2920 Eastern Willow Ave Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 868 | $1,500 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 3071 Willow Bend Blvd Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,525 | $1.69 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 4705 Almond Willow Dr Orlando, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 864 | $1,600 | $1.85 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 4757 Silver Star Rd Orlando, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 728 | $1,189 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $266 · $3,192/yr
- Likely covers
- poolparking
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $94,500 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $94,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $94,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $94,500 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,500 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $94,500 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $94,500 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $94,500 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $94,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $94,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $94,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $94,500 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-05-09price $99,000
-
2026-04-08$109,000 Active
-
2022-12-27soldstatus $110,000
-
2022-05-12soldstatus $78,000
-
2007-06-12soldstatus $85,500 705-char remark
Show marketing remark (705 chars)
Redocorated 2 bed/1 bath, - corian counter/sink in bath- granite style counter in kitchen-new faucets & dishwaser-disposal-kitchen & bath floor in 2004, new A/C 2005, berber carpet, paddle fans, screened balcony Move in Ready!(see additional comments)Smooth top self cleaning range, Brand new refrigerator w/ Ice Maker, Assigned parking means you always have a parking space. This has to be the best looking unit for sale in the complex, and it has the best parking space in the building. This is beautiful!Thecomplex offers a Beautifull Pool, a Clubhouse you can reserve for parties, Tennis courts and Shuffle Board Courts, even a spot to wash your car! No investors, must be owner occupied.
-
2007-03-02$81,900 705-char remark
Show marketing remark (705 chars)
Redocorated 2 bed/1 bath, - corian counter/sink in bath- granite style counter in kitchen-new faucets & dishwaser-disposal-kitchen & bath floor in 2004, new A/C 2005, berber carpet, paddle fans, screened balcony Move in Ready!(see additional comments)Smooth top self cleaning range, Brand new refrigerator w/ Ice Maker, Assigned parking means you always have a parking space. This has to be the best looking unit for sale in the complex, and it has the best parking space in the building. This is beautiful!Thecomplex offers a Beautifull Pool, a Clubhouse you can reserve for parties, Tennis courts and Shuffle Board Courts, even a spot to wash your car! No investors, must be owner occupied.
-
2005-02-28soldstatus $53,000
-
1980-07-01soldstatus $25,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $563 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $784 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$221/yr (+$18/mo · 39.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,408
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,293
- − Property taxes
- −$563
- − Insurance
- −$472
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,553
- − Management
- −$1,553
- − HOA
- −$3,192
- − Depreciation
- −$2,749
- Taxable income
- $4,032
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$968
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,190/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange
- NCES district ID
- 1201440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,350
- Composite
- 41.47/100
- National rank
- #3461
- State rank
- #43 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pine Hills
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #317
- US rank
- #5362
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pine Hills, FL
- County
- Orange County · 1,471,359 people
- City population
- 60,203
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 59,114
- Household income
- $63,061
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2059.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,618,226 people
- By 2030
- 1,787,404 · +10.5%
- By 2040
- 2,125,621 · +31.4%
- By 2050
- 2,454,016 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 3,173,711 · +96.1%
- By 2100
- 3,607,781 · +122.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 69% Hispanic / Latino 14% White 10% Two or more races 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 21% Estonian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 40% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 25% Spanish 11% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -93.40%
- Current HPI
- 321.5821
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.66%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+282.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $99,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Listed $109,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-12-27 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2022-05-12 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
- 2007-06-12 Sold (MLS) $85,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-03-02 Listed $81,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-02-28 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
- 1980-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $563 · +2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…