102 Burdette St · Leland, MS
Flood risk 2/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.03%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +0.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- 0.37 acre lot
- Built 1940
- Listed 70 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($842 rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#73 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Leland School District (town): math 5% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #117 of 130 in MS (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.23%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $105,869
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -38.60%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $3,227
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.13×
- Total profit
- $20,564
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38756
- Active inventory
- 30
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $842 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$177
- Net cashflow
- $216
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $261 | -5% $238 | +0% $216 | +5% $193 | +10% $171 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $149 | -5% $183 | +0% $216 | +5% $249 | +10% $282 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $249 | -0.5pp $232 | base $216 | +0.5pp $199 | +1.0pp $182 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $65,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $65,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $65,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-04-12$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X · 3% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,102
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$808
- − Management
- −$808
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $1,654
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$397
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,193/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
The home requires significant repairs and maintenance, including a new roof, landscaping, and painting. Upgrading the HVAC and mechanicals, as well as repairing the exterior siding and interior walls, can significantly increase its value.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear.
- Major landscaping — The landscaping and curb appeal are poor, with overgrown grass and debris.
- Moderate exterior siding — The siding is in fair condition, with some discoloration and wear.
- Moderate interior walls/paint — The interior walls and paint appear to be in fair condition, with some discoloration.
- Moderate HVAC/mechanicals — The HVAC and mechanicals appear to be in fair condition, with some wear.
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint the interior and exterior — Painting the interior and exterior can improve the home's curb appeal and overall appearance.
- Both repair and replace the roof — A new roof will improve the home's structural integrity and increase its value.
- Both landscape and improve curb appeal — A well-maintained and landscaped yard can significantly increase the home's resale and rental value.
- Both repair and replace HVAC/mechanicals — Upgrading the HVAC and mechanicals can improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, increasing its value.
- Both repair and replace exterior siding — A new exterior siding can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value.
- Both repair and replace interior walls/paint — A fresh coat of paint can improve the home's appearance and increase its value.
- Both repair and replace windows — New windows can improve the home's energy efficiency and increase its value.
- Both repair and replace foundation/structure — A strong and stable foundation and structure can improve the home's structural integrity and increase its value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| roof · The roof appears to be in poor condition, with visible wear and tear. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| landscaping · The landscaping and curb appeal are poor, with overgrown grass and debris. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| exterior siding · The siding is in fair condition, with some discoloration and wear. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| interior walls/paint · The interior walls and paint appear to be in fair condition, with some discoloration. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| HVAC/mechanicals · The HVAC and mechanicals appear to be in fair condition, with some wear. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $39,000–145,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint the interior and exterior — Painting the interior and exterior can improve the home's curb appeal and overall appearance. ↑
- Both repair and replace the roof — A new roof will improve the home's structural integrity and increase its value. ↑
- Both landscape and improve curb appeal — A well-maintained and landscaped yard can significantly increase the home's resale and rental value. ↑
- Both repair and replace HVAC/mechanicals — Upgrading the HVAC and mechanicals can improve the home's comfort and energy efficiency, increasing its value. ↑
- Both repair and replace exterior siding — A new exterior siding can improve the home's curb appeal and increase its value. ↑
- Both repair and replace interior walls/paint — A fresh coat of paint can improve the home's appearance and increase its value. ↑
- Both repair and replace windows — New windows can improve the home's energy efficiency and increase its value. ↑
- Both repair and replace foundation/structure — A strong and stable foundation and structure can improve the home's structural integrity and increase its value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Leland School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802610
- Math proficiency
- 5% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 15% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,773
- Composite
- 7.75/100
- National rank
- #9936
- State rank
- #117 of 130 in MS
Livability — Leland
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #73
- US rank
- #10033
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Leland, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,568
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,424 people
- By 2030
- 38,061 · -8.1%
- By 2040
- 31,752 · -23.3%
- By 2050
- 26,394 · -36.3%
- By 2075
- 17,180 · -58.5%
- By 2100
- 12,936 · -68.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 54% White 39% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+35.0) · D 67.0% · R 32.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.2pp no change · 2008: 34.7pp · 2024: 35.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+35.0 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+36.4 2012: D+42.7 2008: D+34.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -64.23%
- Current HPI
- 51.6345
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-12 Listed $65,000 Greenville Area MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…