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604 Central Ave
D Composite 43.66
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0

$23,800

604 Central Ave · Belzoni, MS 39038
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,468 sqft · Other public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1940 1.00 ac lot $16/sqft · 72% below area ↓ 47% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

“The seller does not accept blind offers or escalation clauses. ” “Cash offers require 10% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater, and all financed offers require 1% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater. ” To be sold as is condition.

Key facts

  • Spacious living area
  • Large lot
  • Outdoor space

Tags

LARGE LOTDEDICATED LAUNDRY ROOMSPACIOUS LIVING AREACENTRAL HEATING AND COOLINGFIREPLACEOUTDOOR SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $24k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $727 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $24k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#244 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Humphreys County School District (town): math 3% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #128 of 130 in MS (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $165 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $714 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Humphreys County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (47%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $23,800

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.74%
Cap rate
42.97%
Cash-on-cash
130.99%
DSCR
6.83
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$89,801
List price
$23,800
Delta
-73.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.38×
Total profit
$42,493
Equity at exit
$3,549
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
15.52×
Total profit
$96,731
Equity at exit
$2,058

Cash invested: $6,664 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39038

Home prices YoY
-3.6%
Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,129 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$125
Tax est. 1.5%
$30 /mo · $357/yr
Insurance
$10
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$237
Net cashflow
$727

Break-even live

Break-even rent $208
Max offer price $23,800
Occupancy floor 31%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$5,950
Closing costs
$714
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    remarks 699-char remark
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on marketlisting id $23,800 Active 1 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $23,800 Active 143 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $23,800 Active 142 DOM
  5. 2026-05-19
    price $23,800 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    “The seller does not accept blind offers or escalation clauses. ” “Cash offers require 10% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater, and all financed offers require 1% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater. ” To be sold as is condition.

  6. 2026-05-19
    price $23,000 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    “The seller does not accept blind offers or escalation clauses. ” “Cash offers require 10% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater, and all financed offers require 1% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater. ” To be sold as is condition.

  7. 2026-05-06
    price $28,000 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    “The seller does not accept blind offers or escalation clauses. ” “Cash offers require 10% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater, and all financed offers require 1% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater. ” To be sold as is condition.

  8. 2026-04-04
    status Active 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    “The seller does not accept blind offers or escalation clauses. ” “Cash offers require 10% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater, and all financed offers require 1% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater. ” To be sold as is condition.

  9. 2026-03-09
    price $40,500 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    “The seller does not accept blind offers or escalation clauses. ” “Cash offers require 10% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater, and all financed offers require 1% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater. ” To be sold as is condition.

  10. 2026-02-09
    price $42,750 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    “The seller does not accept blind offers or escalation clauses. ” “Cash offers require 10% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater, and all financed offers require 1% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater. ” To be sold as is condition.

  11. 2026-02-09
    price $34,900 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    “The seller does not accept blind offers or escalation clauses. ” “Cash offers require 10% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater, and all financed offers require 1% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater. ” To be sold as is condition.

  12. 2026-02-05
    price $42,750 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    “The seller does not accept blind offers or escalation clauses. ” “Cash offers require 10% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater, and all financed offers require 1% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater. ” To be sold as is condition.

  13. 2026-01-05
    listed $45,000 Active 271-char remark
    Show marketing remark (271 chars)

    “The seller does not accept blind offers or escalation clauses. ” “Cash offers require 10% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater, and all financed offers require 1% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater. ” To be sold as is condition.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 55% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,548
− Mortgage interest
−$1,333
− Property taxes
−$357
− Insurance
−$119
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,084
− Management
−$1,084
− Depreciation
−$692
Taxable income
$8,879
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,131
After-tax cash flow
$6,599/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Humphreys County School District
NCES district ID
2802040
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
9% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$25,369
Composite
3.93/100
National rank
#10062
State rank
#128 of 130 in MS

Livability — Belzoni

Score
59/100
State rank
#244
US rank
#20158

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Belzoni, MS
Population (ZIP)
5,363

Population outlook (Humphreys County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,469 people
By 2030
6,878 · -7.9%
By 2040
5,784 · -22.6%
By 2050
4,906 · -34.3%
By 2075
3,775 · -49.5%
By 2100
3,672 · -50.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (82%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 82% White 16%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Humphreys

2024 margin
Solid D (+41.9) · D 70.4% · R 28.6% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-0.5pp no change · 2008: 42.4pp · 2024: 41.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+41.9 2020: D+45.3 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+52.0 2008: D+42.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -4.37%
Current HPI
116.4065
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-47.1% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $23,800 Greenville Area MLS
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $23,000 Greenville Area MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $28,000 Greenville Area MLS
  • 2026-04-04 Relisted Greenville Area MLS
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $40,500 Greenville Area MLS
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $42,750 Greenville Area MLS
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $34,900 Greenville Area MLS
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $42,750 Greenville Area MLS
  • 2026-01-05 Listed $45,000 Greenville Area MLS

Property tax history

+1.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…