604 Central Ave · Belzoni, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 55.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Appreciation +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
$23,800
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
“The seller does not accept blind offers or escalation clauses. ” “Cash offers require 10% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater, and all financed offers require 1% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater. ” To be sold as is condition.
Key facts
- Spacious living area
- Large lot
- Outdoor space
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $24k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $727 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $24k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#244 in MS) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Humphreys County School District (town): math 3% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #128 of 130 in MS (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 96% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $165 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $714 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Humphreys County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (47%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 55% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.74% ✓
- Cap rate
- 42.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 130.99%
- DSCR
- 6.83
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $89,801
- List price
- $23,800
- Delta
- -73.50%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 7.38×
- Total profit
- $42,493
- Equity at exit
- $3,549
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 15.52×
- Total profit
- $96,731
- Equity at exit
- $2,058
Cash invested: $6,664 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39038
- Home prices YoY
- -3.6%
- Active inventory
- 11
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,129 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$125
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$30 /mo · $357/yr
- Insurance
- −$10
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$237
- Net cashflow
- $727
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,950
- Closing costs
- $714
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-18remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-18days on market $23,800 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $23,800 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $23,800 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $23,800 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
“The seller does not accept blind offers or escalation clauses. ” “Cash offers require 10% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater, and all financed offers require 1% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater. ” To be sold as is condition.
-
2026-05-19price $23,000 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
“The seller does not accept blind offers or escalation clauses. ” “Cash offers require 10% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater, and all financed offers require 1% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater. ” To be sold as is condition.
-
2026-05-06price $28,000 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
“The seller does not accept blind offers or escalation clauses. ” “Cash offers require 10% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater, and all financed offers require 1% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater. ” To be sold as is condition.
-
2026-04-04status Active 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
“The seller does not accept blind offers or escalation clauses. ” “Cash offers require 10% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater, and all financed offers require 1% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater. ” To be sold as is condition.
-
2026-03-09price $40,500 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
“The seller does not accept blind offers or escalation clauses. ” “Cash offers require 10% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater, and all financed offers require 1% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater. ” To be sold as is condition.
-
2026-02-09price $42,750 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
“The seller does not accept blind offers or escalation clauses. ” “Cash offers require 10% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater, and all financed offers require 1% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater. ” To be sold as is condition.
-
2026-02-09price $34,900 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
“The seller does not accept blind offers or escalation clauses. ” “Cash offers require 10% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater, and all financed offers require 1% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater. ” To be sold as is condition.
-
2026-02-05price $42,750 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
“The seller does not accept blind offers or escalation clauses. ” “Cash offers require 10% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater, and all financed offers require 1% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater. ” To be sold as is condition.
-
2026-01-05$45,000 Active 271-char remark
Show marketing remark (271 chars)
“The seller does not accept blind offers or escalation clauses. ” “Cash offers require 10% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater, and all financed offers require 1% EMD or $1,000 minimum, whichever is greater. ” To be sold as is condition.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 55% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,548
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,333
- − Property taxes
- −$357
- − Insurance
- −$119
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,084
- − Management
- −$1,084
- − Depreciation
- −$692
- Taxable income
- $8,879
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,131
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,599/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Humphreys County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802040
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 9% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,369
- Composite
- 3.93/100
- National rank
- #10062
- State rank
- #128 of 130 in MS
Livability — Belzoni
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #244
- US rank
- #20158
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belzoni, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,363
Population outlook (Humphreys County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,469 people
- By 2030
- 6,878 · -7.9%
- By 2040
- 5,784 · -22.6%
- By 2050
- 4,906 · -34.3%
- By 2075
- 3,775 · -49.5%
- By 2100
- 3,672 · -50.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 82% White 16%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Humphreys
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+41.9) · D 70.4% · R 28.6% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.5pp no change · 2008: 42.4pp · 2024: 41.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+41.9 2020: D+45.3 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+52.0 2008: D+42.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -4.37%
- Current HPI
- 116.4065
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-47.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $23,800 Greenville Area MLS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $23,000 Greenville Area MLS
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $28,000 Greenville Area MLS
- 2026-04-04 Relisted — Greenville Area MLS
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $40,500 Greenville Area MLS
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $42,750 Greenville Area MLS
- 2026-02-09 Price Changed $34,900 Greenville Area MLS
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $42,750 Greenville Area MLS
- 2026-01-05 Listed $45,000 Greenville Area MLS
Property tax history
+1.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…