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2413 Suwanee Ln
D+ Composite 49.32
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +9.6/15.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$180,000

2413 Suwanee Ln · Wright, FL 32547
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · Townhouse public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1998 1,306 sqft lot $144/sqft · at area comps Est $189k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great opportunity for buyers seeking a 2BR/2BA in the heart of Fort Walton Beach! This centrally located townhome is just minutes from Eglin Air Force Base and the stunning white-sand beaches of the Emerald Coast. Conveniently close to military bases, schools, shopping, and dining. Features a spacious kitchen overlooking a large living area, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Step outside to a private, fenced backyard, ideal for relaxing or grilling. Don't miss this one, schedule your showing today!

Key facts

  • Spacious kitchen
  • White-sand beaches
  • Built 1998

Tags

HEART OF FORT WALTON BEACHWHITE-SAND BEACHESSPACIOUS KITCHENPRIVATE FENCED BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $101 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $164k (8.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (8.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.2% in Wright — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#117 in FL, #1,790 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F.
  • Okaloosa (other): math 60% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #12 of 73 in FL (top 16%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 224 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,268 units permitted in Okaloosa County in 2024 (175 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Okaloosa County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $86k; list at $180k implies a 109% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $164,159 (8.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.97%
Cash-on-cash
2.41%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$188,935
List price
$180,000
Delta
-4.73%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2402 Winter Park Ct 0.05mi 2/2.0 1,273 (+2%) 4mo $193,000 $152 91
611 Colonial Dr #6 0.31mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,207 (-3%) 8mo $110,000 $91 69
14 Falcon Ridge Ln 0.41mi 2/2.5 1,319 (+6%) 2mo $235,000 $178 68
137 Valencia Dr 0.44mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,320 (+6%) 1mo $243,360 $184 62
136 Valencia Dr #136 0.43mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,320 (+6%) 2mo $85,000 $64 61
132 Valencia Dr 0.44mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,320 (+6%) 5mo $100,000 $76 59
146 Valencia Dr 0.41mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,364 (+9%) 3mo $117,000 $86 56
400 Rhonda Kay Court St #4 0.73mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,256 (+1%) 8mo $236,900 $189 51
818 Roy St Unit B 0.51mi 2/2.0 1,092 (-12%) 10mo $220,000 $201 47
818 Roy St Unit A 0.51mi 2/2.0 1,092 (-12%) 10mo $220,000 $201 47
210 Revere Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,136 (-9%) 8mo $420,000 $370 45
302 Olympia Ct 0.66mi 2/2.5 1,084 (-13%) 12mo $225,000 $208 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.8%
Equity multiple
0.45×
Total profit
$-27,535
Equity at exit
$26,839
10-year hold
IRR
-13.5%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-34,285
Equity at exit
$15,563

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32547

Home prices YoY
-29.3%
Rents YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
224
Price-to-rent
9.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,642 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax from tax record
$177 /mo · $2,120/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$345
Net cashflow
$101

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,513
Max offer price $180,000
Occupancy floor 89%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2415 Suwanee Ln Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 1250 $1,700 $1.36 43d 1 0.01mi
2404 Suwanee Ln Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 1242 $1,700 $1.37 21d 1 0.03mi
2400 Suwanee Ln Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 1242 $1,700 $1.37 21d 1 0.03mi
790 Navy St Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,300 $1.44 13d 1 0.19mi
517 Scott Ln Fort Walton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 980 $1,595 $1.63 43d 1 0.20mi
696 Tyner St #41 Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 960 $1,550 $1.61 13d 1 0.22mi
794 Navy St Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 840 $1,200 $1.43 21d 1 0.22mi
604 Colonial Dr Fort Walton Beach, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 818 $1,624 $1.99 43d 1 0.25mi
800 Denton Blvd NW Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 13d 1 0.30mi
585 Bob Sikes Blvd Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 1190 $1,550 $1.30 43d 1 0.36mi
589 Bob Sikes Blvd Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 1190 $1,500 $1.26 43d 1 0.37mi
709 Greenwood St Unit B Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 21d 1 0.44mi
709 Greenwood St Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,200 $1.50 13d 1 0.44mi
321 Woodrow St NE Fort Walton Beach, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1017 $1,488 $1.46 13d 6 0.44mi
104 Hydac Rd Unit B Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 1144 $1,650 $1.44 21d 1 0.46mi
615 Bob Sikes Blvd #7 Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 1190 $1,500 $1.26 13d 1 0.47mi
615 Bob Sikes Blvd #5 Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 1190 $1,450 $1.22 43d 1 0.47mi
337 Lewis St Unit F Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 864 $1,225 $1.42 43d 1 0.48mi
106 Valencia Dr Fort Walton Beach, FL 3.0 1.5 1320 $1,450 $1.10 21d 1 0.49mi
829 Jonleen Dr Fort Walton Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,995 $1.33 43d 1 0.50mi
831 Jonleen Dr Fort Walton Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,895 $1.26 43d 1 0.50mi
833 Jonleen Dr Fort Walton Beach, FL 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,895 $1.26 43d 1 0.52mi
607 W Sunset Blvd Unit B Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 840 $1,600 $1.90 21d 1 0.72mi
400 Rhonda Kay Ct #66 Fort Walton Beach, FL 3.0 1.5 1256 $1,650 $1.31 43d 1 0.74mi
1022 Rockport Dr Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 864 $1,500 $1.74 21d 1 0.77mi
943 Central Ave Unit C Fort Walton Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 750 $1,200 $1.60 43d 1 0.80mi
940 Central Ave #16 Fort Walton Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1320 $1,800 $1.36 13d 1 0.84mi
712 Newport Dr Fort Walton Beach, FL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,650 $1.50 43d 1 0.84mi
210 Pelham Rd Fort Walton Beach, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0 809 $1,500 $1.85 13d 2 0.89mi
433 Bear Rd Unit B Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 782 $1,200 $1.53 43d 1 0.94mi
422 Bear Rd Unit A Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.5 1175 $1,600 $1.36 13d 1 0.96mi
508 Parkview Rd NW Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1250 $1,575 $1.26 43d 1 0.99mi
772 Rockport Ct Unit 4 Fort Walton Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 43d 1 1.04mi
805 Hayley Marie Ct Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 1095 $1,650 $1.51 43d 1 1.05mi
770 Rockport Ct Unit 2 Fort Walton Beach, FL 1.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 43d 1 1.05mi
2813 Bradford Pl NW Unit 2 Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 928 $1,300 $1.40 13d 1 1.06mi
2809 Bradford Pl NW Unit 4 Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 928 $1,250 $1.35 43d 1 1.06mi
2809 Bradford Pl NW Unit 3 Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 2.0 928 $1,300 $1.40 13d 1 1.06mi
706 Shady Lane Dr Unit D Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,650 $1.83 13d 1 1.07mi
706 Shady Lane Dr Unit D Fort Walton Beach, FL 2.0 1.0 900 $1,650 $1.83 21d 1 1.07mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $180,000 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $180,000 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $180,000 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $180,000 Active 54 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $180,000 Active 52 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    remarks 592-char remark
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $180,000 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    remarks 556-char remark
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $180,000 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $180,000 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $180,000 Active 47 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $180,000 Active 46 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $180,000 Active 43 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 40 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 39 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $185,000 Active 38 DOM
  18. 2026-04-22
    listed $185,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Great opportunity for buyers seeking a 2BR/2BA in the heart of Fort Walton Beach! This centrally located townhome is just minutes from Eglin Air Force Base and the stunning white-sand beaches of the Emerald Coast. Conveniently close to military bases, schools, shopping, and dining. Features a spacious kitchen overlooking a large living area, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Step outside to a private, fenced backyard, ideal for relaxing or grilling. Don't miss this one, schedule your showing today!

  19. 2026-04-22
    listed $185,000 Active 515-char remark
    Show marketing remark (515 chars)

    Great opportunity for buyers seeking a 2BR/2BA in the heart of Fort Walton Beach! This centrally located townhome is just minutes from Eglin Air Force Base and the stunning white-sand beaches of the Emerald Coast. Conveniently close to military bases, schools, shopping, and dining. Features a spacious kitchen overlooking a large living area, perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Step outside to a private, fenced backyard, ideal for relaxing or grilling. Don't miss this one, schedule your showing today!

  20. 2026-01-27
    historical $1,450
  21. 2026-01-06
    price $1,450
  22. 2025-10-13
    price $1,550
  23. 2025-08-27
    listed $1,650
  24. 2024-07-25
    historical $1,600
  25. 2024-07-15
    listed $1,600
  26. 2023-11-20
    price $210,000
  27. 2023-08-17
    listed $265,000 Active
  28. 2004-05-11
    soldstatus $86,000
  29. 2004-03-16
    soldstatus $86,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,120 · $177/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,120 · $177/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,699
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$2,120
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,576
− Management
−$1,576
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable loss
−$1,792
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$430
After-tax cash flow
$1,645/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Okaloosa
NCES district ID
1201380
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$55,601
Composite
51.62/100
National rank
#1705
State rank
#12 of 73 in FL

Livability — Wright

Score
80/100
State rank
#117
US rank
#1790

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wright, FL
County
Okaloosa County · 194,352 people
City population
35,522
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
Population (ZIP)
35,527
Household income
$70,711
Rent vs Own
43.1% rent · 56.9% own
Severe rent burden
1203.0

Population outlook (Okaloosa County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
235,133 people
By 2030
253,483 · +7.8%
By 2040
289,537 · +23.1%
By 2050
322,954 · +37.3%
By 2075
399,624 · +70.0%
By 2100
425,311 · +80.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 11% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
15% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 14% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Okaloosa

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.2% · R 70.7% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+2.5pp toward D · 2008: -44.9pp · 2024: -42.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.4 2020: R+39.1 2016: R+47.8 2012: R+49.4 2008: R+44.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -111.28%
Current HPI
268.6497
Rent YoY
▼ -0.13%
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+115.1% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $185,000 ECAR
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $185,000 ECAR
  • 2026-01-27 Rental Removed $1,450 ECAR
  • 2026-01-06 Price Changed $1,450 ECAR
  • 2025-10-13 Price Changed $1,550 ECAR
  • 2025-08-27 Listed for Rent $1,650 ECAR
  • 2024-07-25 Rental Removed $1,600 ECAR
  • 2024-07-15 Listed for Rent $1,600 ECAR
  • 2023-11-20 Price Changed $210,000 ECAR
  • 2023-08-17 Listed $265,000 ECAR
  • 2004-05-11 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
  • 2004-03-16 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,120 · +14.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…