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621 Ashboro St
D+ Composite 46.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.2/15.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$180,000

621 Ashboro St · Fayetteville, NC 28311
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,250 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 39 Days on market
Built 1965 0.28 ac lot Est $196k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This move-in ready gem is packed with updates and priced to sell. Featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, plus a versatile bonus room that can easily function as a home office, guest room, playroom, or formal dining space depending on your needs. Major updates have already been handled for you, including a brand new roof, HVAC system, plumbing, fresh interior paint, and newly stained floors, giving peace of mind on the big-ticket items from day one. The layout offers a spacious separate laundry room that also serves as a generous entry/drop zone area, adding both function and flexibility to everyday living. Step outside to an enormous fully fenced backyard situated on a lot larger than a qu

Key facts

  • Plumbing
  • Newly stained floors
  • Fresh interior paint

Tags

NEW ROOFHVAC SYSTEMPLUMBINGFRESH INTERIOR PAINTNEWLY STAINED FLOORSSEPARATE LAUNDRY ROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: SF10 - Single Family Res 10; Subdivision: WOODCLIFT; GPS-friendly directions

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story
  • Construction: Brick construction
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Shed(s); Workshop

Interior

  • Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Ice maker
  • Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Storage; Porch (screened); Storm door(s); Back yard fencing
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $31 ($375/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (12.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $158k (12.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.8% in Fayetteville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#45 in NC, #4,031 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Cumberland County Schools (urban): math 32% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #126 of 178 in NC (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lucile Souders Elementary (math 22% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,112 of 1,410 statewide, top 82%, 418 students, 99% FRL); Luther Nick Jeralds Middle (math 13% / reading 24%, grade F, #436 of 475 statewide, top 93%, 616 students, 100% FRL); E E Smith High (math 42% / reading 41%, grade F, #381 of 535 statewide, top 72%, 1,004 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 55% district-wide (45 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 364 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,125 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($175k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $157,632 (12.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
6.50%
Cash-on-cash
0.74%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
9.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$196,250
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
436 Randolph Ave 0.09mi 3/2.0 1,266 (+1%) 10mo $226,000 $179 85
633 Law Rd 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,275 (+2%) 7mo $195,000 $153 84
3513 Greenwood Dr 0.34mi 3/1.5 1,204 (-4%) 10mo $185,000 $154 67
219 Randolph Ave 0.22mi 3/1.5 1,134 (-9%) 16mo $125,000 $110 59
3646 Florida Dr 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,404 (+12%) 10mo $220,200 $157 54
3308 Melba Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,127 (-10%) 2mo $191,000 $169 51
324 Bartow Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 1,435 (+15%) 1mo $213,000 $148 48
3513 Edna St 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,428 (+14%) 8mo $185,000 $130 48
3521 Patricia Dr 0.37mi 3/1.5 1,095 (-12%) 15mo $180,000 $164 48
323 Tokay Dr 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,405 (+12%) 15mo $230,500 $164 46
610 Biscayne Dr 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,403 (+12%) 14mo $175,000 $125 43
509 Andover Rd 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,332 (+7%) 14mo $218,000 $164 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-15.3%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-27,458
Equity at exit
$26,839
10-year hold
IRR
-7.1%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-22,491
Equity at exit
$15,563

Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28311

Home prices YoY
-18.4%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
364
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,576 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$944
Tax from tax record
$195 /mo · $2,341/yr
Insurance
$75
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$31

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,537
Max offer price $180,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $133 -5% $82 +0% $31 +5% $-20 +10% $-71
Rent -10% $-93 -5% $-31 +0% $31 +5% $93 +10% $156
Rate -1.0pp $122 -0.5pp $77 base $31 +0.5pp $-15 +1.0pp $-63

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$45,000
Closing costs
$5,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
302 Law Rd Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 940 $999 $1.06 16d 1 0.45mi
505 Ashdown Pl Fayetteville, NC 4.0 2.0 1410 $1,750 $1.24 16d 1 0.46mi
4549 Rustic Haven Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1682 $1,825 $1.09 16d 1 0.83mi
3557 Hastings Dr Fayetteville, NC 4.0 2.5 1652 $1,795 $1.09 26d 1 0.88mi
2846 Copenhagen Dr Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,600 $1.45 26d 1 1.03mi
228 Eastwood Ave Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1820 $1,755 $0.96 26d 1 1.07mi
2737 Kentberry Ave Fayetteville, NC 2.0–3.0 2.0 1209 $1,400 $1.16 16d 5 1.07mi
4453 Oakmont Cir Fayetteville, NC 3.0 1.0 1101 $1,300 $1.18 16d 1 1.15mi
118 Circle Ct Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1496 $1,550 $1.04 16d 1 1.20mi
539 Crooked Creek Ct Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1258 $1,395 $1.11 26d 1 1.23mi
2678 Rivercliff Rd Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1260 $1,500 $1.19 26d 1 1.30mi
508 Stone Way Ct Fayetteville, NC 3.0 2.0 1261 $1,900 $1.51 26d 1 1.34mi
1659 Rock Creek Ln Fayetteville, NC 4.0 2.5 1777 $2,100 $1.18 16d 1 1.39mi
633 Elk Ct Fayetteville, NC 2.0 1.5 1000 $1,000 $1.00 26d 1 1.41mi
319 Idlewild Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0–2.5 1080 $1,340 $1.24 16d 9 1.42mi
319 Idlewild Dr Fayetteville, NC 2.0 2.0–2.5 1080 $1,350 $1.25 26d 3 1.42mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-23
    days on market $180,000 Active 39 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    pricedays on market $180,000 Active 38 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $190,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $190,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $190,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $190,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $190,000 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $190,000 Active 29 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $190,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $190,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $190,000 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $190,000 Active 24 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $190,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $190,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $190,000 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $190,000 Active 17 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $190,000 Active 16 DOM
  18. 2026-05-14
    listed $190,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,341 · $195/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,341 · $195/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,916
− Mortgage interest
−$10,083
− Property taxes
−$2,341
− Insurance
−$900
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,513
− Management
−$1,513
− Depreciation
−$5,236
Taxable loss
−$2,671
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$641
After-tax cash flow
$1,016/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cumberland County Schools
NCES district ID
3700011
Math proficiency
32% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$44,168
Composite
31.0/100
National rank
#6096
State rank
#126 of 178 in NC

Livability — Fayetteville

Score
75/100
State rank
#45
US rank
#4031

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fayetteville, NC
County
Cumberland County · 265,314 people
City population
226,118
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
Population (ZIP)
36,629
Household income
$62,170
Rent vs Own
47.5% rent · 52.5% own
Severe rent burden
1645.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
330,855 people
By 2030
333,523 · +0.8%
By 2040
335,583 · +1.4%
By 2050
335,325 · +1.4%
By 2075
342,853 · +3.6%
By 2100
340,698 · +3.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 42% White 38% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8% Asian 3% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea, Jamaica
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 6% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
D (+13.4) · D 56.1% · R 42.7% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-4.3pp toward R · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 13.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.4 2020: D+16.6 2016: D+16.0 2012: D+19.7 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -45.88%
Current HPI
203.0731
Rent YoY
▲ 2.82%
Metro
Fayetteville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $190,000 LPRMLS

Property tax history

+5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,341 · +50.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…