803 B Dudley Ct #1404 · Ventnor City, NJ
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.5/30.0
- DSCR +7.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Experience luxury in this stunning Brick home just steps from the water & Boardwalk. Move-in ready, it has a fresh palette, an updated Kitchen with red Oak cabinets and stainless steel appliances. Outside Enjoy an in-ground saltwater pools surrounded by trees. Gym, Fitness center, Lounge, Clubhouse with kitchen, workshop on beautiful landscape. #WaterView Condominium Captivating Turn Key unit! Condo Fee of $375 includes gas, water, hot-water, heat, AirCondition-unit, insurance, flood ins, The HOA takes care of it al including landscaping, power washing, snow removal, and salting, providing truly maintenance-free living. Tucked away like a true hidden gem, this beautiful Waterview home offers the perfect mixture of comfort, space, serenity & waterview lifestyle. , pools, gym and clubhouse/lounge access, 2+ cars private parking more. Enjoy Great Quiet Lifestyle on the second floor.
Key facts
- Red oak cabinets
- Fitness center
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $259k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $483 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $259k).
- Recommended offer: $236k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 4.1% in Ventnor City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#202 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, commute A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
- Ventnor City School District (suburban): math 27% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #266 of 472 in NJ (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Ventnor Elementary School (math 27% / reading 42%, grade F, #582 of 1,303 statewide, top 49%, 304 students, 47% FRL); Ventnor Middle School (math 28% / reading 52%, grade F, #197 of 431 statewide, top 46%, 204 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 54% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+57.3%/yr); 160 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 672 units permitted in Atlantic County in 2024 (258 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,159/mo this rent would consume 55% of the median local household income ($69k/yr) (locally 329% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Atlantic County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $98k; list at $259k implies a 164% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.99%
- DSCR
- 1.36
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $5,656
- Equity at exit
- $38,618
- IRR
- 16.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $121,240
- Equity at exit
- $22,394
Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08406
- Home prices YoY
- -33.3%
- Rents YoY
- 57.3%
- Active inventory
- 160
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,159 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,358
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,056/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$375
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$663
- Net cashflow
- $483
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $629 | -5% $556 | +0% $483 | +5% $409 | +10% $336 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $233 | -5% $358 | +0% $483 | +5% $608 | +10% $732 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $613 | -0.5pp $549 | base $483 | +0.5pp $416 | +1.0pp $347 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,750
- Closing costs
- $7,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 228 N Dudley Ave Unit 1309013P Ventnor City, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 893 | $3,886 | $4.35 | 15d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 236 N Derby Ave #907 Ventnor City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.5 | 832 | $2,100 | $2.52 | 45d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 205 N Dorset Ave Unit 2 Ventnor City, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 875 | $2,300 | $2.63 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 206 N Dorset Ave Unit 1309019P Ventnor City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 645 | $3,457 | $5.36 | 15d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 6300 Winchester Ave Unit 2ND FLOOR Ventnor City, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $9,000 | $10.71 | 15d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 16 N Sacramento Ave Unit 2 Ventnor City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 625 | $1,600 | $2.56 | 45d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 5101 Ventnor Ave Unit 2 Ventnor City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,950 | $1.95 | 15d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 23 S Little Rock Ave Unit 2 Ventnor City, NJ | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,500 | $2.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 101 S Victoria Ave Unit B1 Ventnor City, NJ | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $2,100 | $3.82 | 15d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5200 Boardwalk Unit 10A Ventnor City, NJ | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $21,000 | $19.02 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 21 S Windsor Ave Unit b1 Atlantic City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $1,650 | $2.58 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 101 S Raleigh Ave Atlantic City, NJ | 2.0 | 1.0 | 735 | $10,125 | $13.78 | 15d | 7 | 1.44mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $375 · $4,500/yr
- Likely covers
- watergaslandscapingsnow removalpoolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-02-07$259,000 Active 905-char remark
Show marketing remark (905 chars)
Experience luxury in this stunning Brick home just steps from the water & Boardwalk. Move-in ready, it has a fresh palette, an updated Kitchen with red Oak cabinets and stainless steel appliances. Outside Enjoy an in-ground saltwater pools surrounded by trees. Gym, Fitness center, Lounge, Clubhouse with kitchen, workshop on beautiful landscape. #WaterView Condominium Captivating Turn Key unit! Condo Fee of $375 includes gas, water, hot-water, heat, AirCondition-unit, insurance, flood ins, The HOA takes care of it al including landscaping, power washing, snow removal, and salting, providing truly maintenance-free living. Tucked away like a true hidden gem, this beautiful Waterview home offers the perfect mixture of comfort, space, serenity & waterview lifestyle. , pools, gym and clubhouse/lounge access, 2+ cars private parking more. Enjoy Great Quiet Lifestyle on the second floor.
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2003-09-10soldstatus $98,000
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2002-12-20soldstatus $69,999
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,056 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,252 · $354/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,197/yr (+$183/mo · 106.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,902
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,508
- − Property taxes
- −$2,056
- − Insurance
- −$1,295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,032
- − Management
- −$3,032
- − HOA
- −$4,500
- − Depreciation
- −$7,535
- Taxable income
- $1,945
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$467
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,327/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ventnor City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3416680
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,220
- Composite
- 32.96/100
- National rank
- #5588
- State rank
- #266 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Ventnor City
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #202
- US rank
- #5716
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ventnor City, NJ
- County
- Atlantic County · 143,611 people
- City population
- 8,972
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,972
- Household income
- $69,099
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 329.0
Population outlook (Atlantic County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 268,948 people
- By 2030
- 264,497 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 252,261 · -6.2%
- By 2050
- 237,846 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 210,650 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 180,234 · -33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Hispanic / Latino 15% Asian 9% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 5% Vietnamese 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Atlantic
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.7% · R 50.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.1pp toward R · 2008: 15.1pp · 2024: -3.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.0 2020: D+6.7 2016: D+6.2 2012: D+17.2 2008: D+15.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -223.99%
- Current HPI
- 449.3494
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 57.28%
- Metro
- Atlantic City-Hammonton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
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| Technology | 2 | $21B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
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Price history
+270.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-07 Listed $259,000 SJSRMLS
- 2003-09-10 Sold (Public Records) $98,000 Public Records
- 2002-12-20 Sold (Public Records) $69,999 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,056 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…