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3714 Old Mill Rd
C- Composite 51.68
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

3714 Old Mill Rd · Slatington, PA 18080
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,248 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 78 Days on market
Built 1900 9,148 sqft lot Est $246k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Looking for cheap living in the country? Here's a unique opportunity to live in one half of a home and rent the other! These two spacious homes have a lot to offer and just need a little updating to bring out their true potential. 3720 (right side) has a huge yard, detached garage and tons of space inside. 3714 has a nice sized yard as well, off street parking and 1 1/2 baths! This may be just what you were looking for, check this gem out soon!

Key facts

  • Bonus space
  • Oversized attic
  • 4 garage spots

Tags

OVERSIZED ATTICBONUS SPACEQUIET PRIVATE SETTING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $74 ($886/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $154k (6.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (6.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.3% in Slatington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#600 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Northern Lehigh SD (suburban): math 24% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #398 of 539 in PA (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Slatington El Sch (math 26% / reading 50%, grade F, #990 of 1,518 statewide, top 66%, 483 students, 100% FRL); Northern Lehigh Ms (math 17% / reading 42%, grade F, #385 of 512 statewide, top 76%, 224 students, 100% FRL); Northern Lehigh Shs (math 70% / reading 24%, grade D-, #167 of 437 statewide, top 39%, 487 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 34% district-wide (55 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $154,499 (6.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.83%
Cash-on-cash
1.92%
DSCR
1.09
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$245,856
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3250 Main St 0.74mi 2/1.0 1,100 (-12%) 6mo $120,000 $109 41
3418 Main St 0.59mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,368 (+10%) 20mo $270,000 $197 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.2%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-22,006
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
-4.3%
Equity multiple
0.72×
Total profit
$-12,994
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18080

Home prices YoY
-4.5%
Active inventory
66
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,545 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$213 /mo · $2,552/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$324
Net cashflow
$74

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,451
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 90%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $167 -5% $121 +0% $74 +5% $27 +10% $-20
Rent -10% $-48 -5% $13 +0% $74 +5% $135 +10% $196
Rate -1.0pp $157 -0.5pp $116 base $74 +0.5pp $31 +1.0pp $-12

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4029 Main St Unit B Slatedale, PA 2.0 1.0 1300 $1,550 $1.19 45d 1 1.17mi

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-05-22
    soldstatus $180,000 Closed
  2. 2026-03-24
    status Pending
  3. 2026-03-02
    price $165,000
  4. 2026-01-05
    listed $175,000 Active
  5. 2018-01-17
    soldstatus $106,000
  6. 2018-01-16
    soldstatus $106,000 Sold 448-char remark
    Show marketing remark (448 chars)

    Looking for cheap living in the country? Here's a unique opportunity to live in one half of a home and rent the other! These two spacious homes have a lot to offer and just need a little updating to bring out their true potential. 3720 (right side) has a huge yard, detached garage and tons of space inside. 3714 has a nice sized yard as well, off street parking and 1 1/2 baths! This may be just what you were looking for, check this gem out soon!

  7. 2017-11-13
    status Pending 448-char remark
    Show marketing remark (448 chars)

    Looking for cheap living in the country? Here's a unique opportunity to live in one half of a home and rent the other! These two spacious homes have a lot to offer and just need a little updating to bring out their true potential. 3720 (right side) has a huge yard, detached garage and tons of space inside. 3714 has a nice sized yard as well, off street parking and 1 1/2 baths! This may be just what you were looking for, check this gem out soon!

  8. 2017-10-06
    status Active 448-char remark
    Show marketing remark (448 chars)

    Looking for cheap living in the country? Here's a unique opportunity to live in one half of a home and rent the other! These two spacious homes have a lot to offer and just need a little updating to bring out their true potential. 3720 (right side) has a huge yard, detached garage and tons of space inside. 3714 has a nice sized yard as well, off street parking and 1 1/2 baths! This may be just what you were looking for, check this gem out soon!

  9. 2017-08-17
    status Pending 448-char remark
    Show marketing remark (448 chars)

    Looking for cheap living in the country? Here's a unique opportunity to live in one half of a home and rent the other! These two spacious homes have a lot to offer and just need a little updating to bring out their true potential. 3720 (right side) has a huge yard, detached garage and tons of space inside. 3714 has a nice sized yard as well, off street parking and 1 1/2 baths! This may be just what you were looking for, check this gem out soon!

  10. 2017-08-01
    price $168,900 448-char remark
    Show marketing remark (448 chars)

    Looking for cheap living in the country? Here's a unique opportunity to live in one half of a home and rent the other! These two spacious homes have a lot to offer and just need a little updating to bring out their true potential. 3720 (right side) has a huge yard, detached garage and tons of space inside. 3714 has a nice sized yard as well, off street parking and 1 1/2 baths! This may be just what you were looking for, check this gem out soon!

  11. 2017-07-22
    listed $179,900 Active 448-char remark
    Show marketing remark (448 chars)

    Looking for cheap living in the country? Here's a unique opportunity to live in one half of a home and rent the other! These two spacious homes have a lot to offer and just need a little updating to bring out their true potential. 3720 (right side) has a huge yard, detached garage and tons of space inside. 3714 has a nice sized yard as well, off street parking and 1 1/2 baths! This may be just what you were looking for, check this gem out soon!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,552 · $213/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,579 · $215/mo
Expected delta
+$28/yr (+$2/mo · 1.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,540
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$2,552
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,483
− Management
−$1,483
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$1,846
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$443
After-tax cash flow
$1,329/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Northern Lehigh SD
NCES district ID
4217670
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$55,733
Composite
31.22/100
National rank
#6035
State rank
#398 of 539 in PA

Livability — Slatington

Score
72/100
State rank
#600
US rank
#5743

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lehigh County · 333,019 people
City population
11,226
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
Population (ZIP)
11,226
Household income
$74,522
Rent vs Own
19.2% rent · 80.8% own
Severe rent burden
111.0

Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,957 people
By 2030
408,319 · +3.9%
By 2040
440,007 · +12.0%
By 2050
475,940 · +21.1%
By 2075
590,448 · +50.3%
By 2100
690,314 · +75.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Polish 7% Subsaharan African 4% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -13.90%
Current HPI
295.1228
Rent YoY
Metro
Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Sold (MLS) $180,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2026-03-02 Price Changed $165,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-01-05 Listed $175,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2018-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $106,000 Public Records
  • 2018-01-16 Sold (MLS) $106,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2017-11-13 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2017-10-06 Relisted GLVRMLS
  • 2017-08-17 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2017-08-01 Price Changed $168,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2017-07-22 Listed $179,900 GLVRMLS

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,552 · +2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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