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21031 Orchid Dr
D Composite 40.27
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.9/30.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • DSCR +2.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.6/10.0

$275,000

21031 Orchid Dr · California City, CA 93505
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,295 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 55 Days on market
Built 1978 7,405 sqft lot $212/sqft · at area comps Est $278k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming single-story home with endless potential! This inviting property features a spacious driveway, attached two-car garage, and welcoming curb appeal. Inside, you'll find a bright and beautifully updated kitchen complete with modern white cabinetry, sleek countertops, stylish tile backsplash, and abundant natural light that creates a warm and airy atmosphere perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Step outside to a generously sized backyard offering endless possibilities to create your ideal outdoor retreat, garden, or entertainment space. With privacy fencing already in place, this backyard is ready for your personal touch. Perfect for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a move-in-ready home with room to customize and grow. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and local amenities, this home combines comfort, functionality, and opportunity all in one. Don't miss your chance to make it yours!

Key facts

  • Spacious driveway
  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

SPACIOUS DRIVEWAYATTACHED TWO-CAR GARAGESTYLISH TILE BACKSPLASHGENEROUSLY SIZED BACKYARD

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Special assessments
  • HOA & community: Sidewalks in the community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces; 2 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Septic tank sewer; Public/District water; Natural gas connected; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Single-story house; Front entry; One total unit; No common walls
  • Construction: House structure
  • Exterior features: Concrete patio; Front yard; Has a view; No pool

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms; Main floor bedroom(s)
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One 3/4 bathroom; Two bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central furnace heating; Fireplace heating
  • Interior features: One-level home with front entry; Main floor bedrooms and bathrooms; Living room fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room (details in remarks)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-288 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $224k (18.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (33.7% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $182k (33.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 44/100 on livability (#1,329 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Mojave Unified (town): math 25% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #411 of 517 in CA (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 703 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,244 units permitted in Kern County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($60k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $29k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Kern County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$47k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 55 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $140k; list at $275k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $182,289 (33.7% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 55 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.66%
Cap rate
5.04%
Cash-on-cash
-4.49%
DSCR
0.80
GRM
12.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$278,039
List price
$275,000
Delta
-1.09%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8301 Dogwood Ave 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,302 (+0%) 0mo $240,000 $184 80
8668 S Loop Blvd 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,277 (-1%) 1mo $290,000 $227 78
8436 Walpole Ave 0.17mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,228 (-5%) 3mo $280,000 $228 76
8824 Lupine Loop 0.42mi 3/2.0 1,248 (-4%) 2mo $240,000 $192 73
8813 Fir Ave 0.46mi 3/2.0 1,255 (-3%) 8mo $265,000 $211 67
8260 Greenwood 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,432 (+11%) 4mo $290,000 $203 53
21216 79th St 0.62mi 3/2.0 1,196 (-8%) 7mo $260,000 $217 52
8412 Ironwood 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,224 (-6%) 3mo $158,000 $129 52
8760 South Loop Blvd 0.57mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,429 (+10%) 5mo $319,900 $224 47
8457 Great Circle Dr 0.58mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,429 (+10%) 6mo $280,000 $196 46
8513 Great Circle Dr 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,429 (+10%) 8mo $330,000 $231 45
8413 Ironwood Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,446 (+12%) 9mo $310,000 $214 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 5.45% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
2.77×
Total profit
$135,940
Equity at exit
$247,742
10-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
6.52×
Total profit
$424,917
Equity at exit
$534,265

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 93505

Home prices YoY
13.0%
Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
703
Price-to-rent
12.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,823 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$172 /mo · $2,059/yr
Insurance
$115
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$383
Net cashflow
$-288

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,188
Max offer price $224,084
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8531 Columbine Ave Unit B California City, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 14d 1 0.10mi
8709 Xavier Ave Unit 3 California City, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 14d 1 0.18mi
8318 Dogbane Ave Unit F California City, CA 2.0 1.0 880 $1,350 $1.53 23d 1 0.25mi
20961 83rd St Unit 6 California City, CA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 23d 1 0.26mi
8651 S Loop Blvd California City, CA 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,650 $1.57 3d 1 0.33mi
8816 Fuchsia Ave Unit PASSTHROUGH B California City, CA 2.0 2.0 1077 $1,550 $1.44 14d 1 0.34mi
20673 Medio St California City, CA 3.0 2.0 1690 $2,075 $1.23 23d 1 0.44mi
21231 Corwin St California City, CA 3.0 2.0 1632 $2,500 $1.53 23d 1 0.44mi
8801 S Loop Blvd California City, CA 3.0 2.0 1537 $2,600 $1.69 23d 1 0.57mi
21032 79th St California City, CA 4.0 2.0 1228 $2,100 $1.71 23d 1 0.61mi
8100 Fernwood Ave California City, CA 3.0 2.0 1336 $1,850 $1.38 23d 1 0.61mi
7819 Walpole Ave California City, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,399 $1.55 23d 1 0.74mi
20312 Dean Ct California City, CA 3.0 2.0 1742 $1,975 $1.13 14d 1 0.75mi
20321 88th St California City, CA 3.0 2.0 1176 $2,100 $1.79 23d 1 0.78mi
21411 Hacienda Blvd Unit D California City, CA 2.0 2.0 898 $1,475 $1.64 23d 1 0.79mi
7733 Walpole Ave Unit A California City, CA 3.0 2.0 1600 $2,000 $1.25 23d 1 0.80mi
8648 Lime Ave California City, CA 3.0 2.0 1459 $2,400 $1.64 23d 1 0.81mi
8307 Charles Pl California City, CA 3.0 2.0 1498 $1,750 $1.17 14d 1 0.86mi
9213 Holly Ave California City, CA 3.0 2.0 1339 $1,900 $1.42 3d 1 0.86mi
8332 Rea Ave California City, CA 4.0 3.0 1861 $2,500 $1.34 3d 1 0.87mi
8160 Kalmia Ave California City, CA 3.0 2.0 1277 $1,795 $1.41 23d 1 0.88mi
21001 Berry St Unit 5 California City, CA 2.0 1.0 890 $1,150 $1.29 23d 1 0.89mi
7617 California City Blvd Apt B California City, CA 2.0 1.0 894 $1,225 $1.37 3d 1 0.91mi
8560 Nipa Ave California City, CA 3.0 2.0 1309 $1,850 $1.41 14d 1 0.92mi
9019 Evelyn Ave California City, CA 4.0 2.0 1731 $2,600 $1.50 3d 1 0.96mi
8848 Oleander Ave California City, CA 3.0 2.0 1302 $1,900 $1.46 23d 1 1.02mi
9524 Sally Ave Unit C California City, CA 2.0 1.5 1140 $1,300 $1.14 23d 1 1.07mi
20001 Airway Blvd California City, CA 3.0 2.0 1050 $2,400 $2.29 23d 1 1.07mi
9548 Sally Ave Unit B California City, CA 3.0 2.5 1200 $1,695 $1.41 23d 1 1.10mi
7343 Dogwood Ave California City, CA 3.0 2.0 1301 $2,250 $1.73 23d 1 1.21mi
7317 California City Blvd California City, CA 3.0 1.5 1228 $1,725 $1.40 19d 1 1.21mi
9225 Peach Ave Unit A California City, CA 3.0 2.0 1275 $1,950 $1.53 23d 1 1.23mi
8512 Tamarack Ave California City, CA 3.0 2.0 1502 $1,875 $1.25 23d 1 1.23mi
8312 Tamarack Ave California City, CA 3.0 2.0 1539 $1,900 $1.23 23d 1 1.25mi
9749 N Loop Blvd California City, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 3d 1 1.30mi
9749 N Loop Blvd California City, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 11d 1 1.30mi
9749 N Loop Blvd California City, CA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,350 $1.50 23d 1 1.30mi
8449 Viburnum Ave California City, CA 3.0 2.0 1218 $1,695 $1.39 2d 1 1.31mi
8173 Viburnum Ave California City, CA 3.0 2.0 1482 $2,150 $1.45 2d 1 1.35mi
8124 Underwood Ave California City, CA 3.0 2.0 1507 $1,850 $1.23 23d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 40 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $275,000 Active 55 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $275,000 Active 54 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $275,000 Active 53 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $275,000 Active 52 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $275,000 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $275,000 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $275,000 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $275,000 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $275,000 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $275,000 Active 44 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $275,000 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $275,000 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $275,000 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $275,000 Active 38 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $275,000 Active 37 DOM
  16. 2026-05-03
    price $289,999 1363-char remark
    Show marketing remark (947 chars)

    Charming single-story home with endless potential! This inviting property features a spacious driveway, attached two-car garage, and welcoming curb appeal. Inside, you'll find a bright and beautifully updated kitchen complete with modern white cabinetry, sleek countertops, stylish tile backsplash, and abundant natural light that creates a warm and airy atmosphere perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Step outside to a generously sized backyard offering endless possibilities to create your ideal outdoor retreat, garden, or entertainment space. With privacy fencing already in place, this backyard is ready for your personal touch. Perfect for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a move-in-ready home with room to customize and grow. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and local amenities, this home combines comfort, functionality, and opportunity all in one. Don't miss your chance to make it yours!

  17. 2026-05-03
    price $289,999 1375-char remark
    Show marketing remark (947 chars)

    Charming single-story home with endless potential! This inviting property features a spacious driveway, attached two-car garage, and welcoming curb appeal. Inside, you'll find a bright and beautifully updated kitchen complete with modern white cabinetry, sleek countertops, stylish tile backsplash, and abundant natural light that creates a warm and airy atmosphere perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Step outside to a generously sized backyard offering endless possibilities to create your ideal outdoor retreat, garden, or entertainment space. With privacy fencing already in place, this backyard is ready for your personal touch. Perfect for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a move-in-ready home with room to customize and grow. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and local amenities, this home combines comfort, functionality, and opportunity all in one. Don't miss your chance to make it yours!

  18. 2026-04-24
    listed $310,000 Active 1375-char remark
  19. 2026-03-29
    listed $310,000 Active 1363-char remark
    Show marketing remark (947 chars)

    Charming single-story home with endless potential! This inviting property features a spacious driveway, attached two-car garage, and welcoming curb appeal. Inside, you'll find a bright and beautifully updated kitchen complete with modern white cabinetry, sleek countertops, stylish tile backsplash, and abundant natural light that creates a warm and airy atmosphere perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Step outside to a generously sized backyard offering endless possibilities to create your ideal outdoor retreat, garden, or entertainment space. With privacy fencing already in place, this backyard is ready for your personal touch. Perfect for first-time buyers, investors, or anyone looking for a move-in-ready home with room to customize and grow. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and local amenities, this home combines comfort, functionality, and opportunity all in one. Don't miss your chance to make it yours!

  20. 2018-08-08
    soldstatus $139,500 Closed Sale
    Show marketing remark (714 chars)

    HUGE PRICE REDUCTION! This 3 bed/2 bath custom home (built in 1978, 7405/1300sf) was completely and very tastefully remodeled from bottom to top. Wide and bright living area is open to the kitchen of your dreams and dining area. Brand new kitchen cabinets brand new stainless steel kitchen appliances, copper plumbing, electrical, brand new flooring and tiles, brand new bathrooms, master bedroom with a sliding door exits to the backyard, brand new windows/doors/paint, central air/hit, and much much more. The landscaping is done with a high taste, also has a huge backyard, 2 patios, large 2 cars attached garage, and a driveway. Don't miss this opportunity! You won't find anything better for this price in CA.

  21. 2018-08-08
    soldstatus $139,500
    Show marketing remark (714 chars)

    HUGE PRICE REDUCTION! This 3 bed/2 bath custom home (built in 1978, 7405/1300sf) was completely and very tastefully remodeled from bottom to top. Wide and bright living area is open to the kitchen of your dreams and dining area. Brand new kitchen cabinets brand new stainless steel kitchen appliances, copper plumbing, electrical, brand new flooring and tiles, brand new bathrooms, master bedroom with a sliding door exits to the backyard, brand new windows/doors/paint, central air/hit, and much much more. The landscaping is done with a high taste, also has a huge backyard, 2 patios, large 2 cars attached garage, and a driveway. Don't miss this opportunity! You won't find anything better for this price in CA.

  22. 2018-07-31
    status Pending Sale
    Show marketing remark (714 chars)

    HUGE PRICE REDUCTION! This 3 bed/2 bath custom home (built in 1978, 7405/1300sf) was completely and very tastefully remodeled from bottom to top. Wide and bright living area is open to the kitchen of your dreams and dining area. Brand new kitchen cabinets brand new stainless steel kitchen appliances, copper plumbing, electrical, brand new flooring and tiles, brand new bathrooms, master bedroom with a sliding door exits to the backyard, brand new windows/doors/paint, central air/hit, and much much more. The landscaping is done with a high taste, also has a huge backyard, 2 patios, large 2 cars attached garage, and a driveway. Don't miss this opportunity! You won't find anything better for this price in CA.

  23. 2018-07-09
    historical
  24. 2018-06-27
    listed $139,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (714 chars)

    HUGE PRICE REDUCTION! This 3 bed/2 bath custom home (built in 1978, 7405/1300sf) was completely and very tastefully remodeled from bottom to top. Wide and bright living area is open to the kitchen of your dreams and dining area. Brand new kitchen cabinets brand new stainless steel kitchen appliances, copper plumbing, electrical, brand new flooring and tiles, brand new bathrooms, master bedroom with a sliding door exits to the backyard, brand new windows/doors/paint, central air/hit, and much much more. The landscaping is done with a high taste, also has a huge backyard, 2 patios, large 2 cars attached garage, and a driveway. Don't miss this opportunity! You won't find anything better for this price in CA.

  25. 2018-06-27
    price $139,500
    Show marketing remark (714 chars)

    HUGE PRICE REDUCTION! This 3 bed/2 bath custom home (built in 1978, 7405/1300sf) was completely and very tastefully remodeled from bottom to top. Wide and bright living area is open to the kitchen of your dreams and dining area. Brand new kitchen cabinets brand new stainless steel kitchen appliances, copper plumbing, electrical, brand new flooring and tiles, brand new bathrooms, master bedroom with a sliding door exits to the backyard, brand new windows/doors/paint, central air/hit, and much much more. The landscaping is done with a high taste, also has a huge backyard, 2 patios, large 2 cars attached garage, and a driveway. Don't miss this opportunity! You won't find anything better for this price in CA.

  26. 2018-06-16
    price $149,900
    Show marketing remark (714 chars)

    HUGE PRICE REDUCTION! This 3 bed/2 bath custom home (built in 1978, 7405/1300sf) was completely and very tastefully remodeled from bottom to top. Wide and bright living area is open to the kitchen of your dreams and dining area. Brand new kitchen cabinets brand new stainless steel kitchen appliances, copper plumbing, electrical, brand new flooring and tiles, brand new bathrooms, master bedroom with a sliding door exits to the backyard, brand new windows/doors/paint, central air/hit, and much much more. The landscaping is done with a high taste, also has a huge backyard, 2 patios, large 2 cars attached garage, and a driveway. Don't miss this opportunity! You won't find anything better for this price in CA.

  27. 2018-06-13
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (714 chars)

    HUGE PRICE REDUCTION! This 3 bed/2 bath custom home (built in 1978, 7405/1300sf) was completely and very tastefully remodeled from bottom to top. Wide and bright living area is open to the kitchen of your dreams and dining area. Brand new kitchen cabinets brand new stainless steel kitchen appliances, copper plumbing, electrical, brand new flooring and tiles, brand new bathrooms, master bedroom with a sliding door exits to the backyard, brand new windows/doors/paint, central air/hit, and much much more. The landscaping is done with a high taste, also has a huge backyard, 2 patios, large 2 cars attached garage, and a driveway. Don't miss this opportunity! You won't find anything better for this price in CA.

  28. 2018-06-12
    historical
    Show marketing remark (714 chars)

    HUGE PRICE REDUCTION! This 3 bed/2 bath custom home (built in 1978, 7405/1300sf) was completely and very tastefully remodeled from bottom to top. Wide and bright living area is open to the kitchen of your dreams and dining area. Brand new kitchen cabinets brand new stainless steel kitchen appliances, copper plumbing, electrical, brand new flooring and tiles, brand new bathrooms, master bedroom with a sliding door exits to the backyard, brand new windows/doors/paint, central air/hit, and much much more. The landscaping is done with a high taste, also has a huge backyard, 2 patios, large 2 cars attached garage, and a driveway. Don't miss this opportunity! You won't find anything better for this price in CA.

  29. 2018-06-02
    price $159,000
    Show marketing remark (714 chars)

    HUGE PRICE REDUCTION! This 3 bed/2 bath custom home (built in 1978, 7405/1300sf) was completely and very tastefully remodeled from bottom to top. Wide and bright living area is open to the kitchen of your dreams and dining area. Brand new kitchen cabinets brand new stainless steel kitchen appliances, copper plumbing, electrical, brand new flooring and tiles, brand new bathrooms, master bedroom with a sliding door exits to the backyard, brand new windows/doors/paint, central air/hit, and much much more. The landscaping is done with a high taste, also has a huge backyard, 2 patios, large 2 cars attached garage, and a driveway. Don't miss this opportunity! You won't find anything better for this price in CA.

  30. 2018-05-14
    price $179,000
    Show marketing remark (714 chars)

    HUGE PRICE REDUCTION! This 3 bed/2 bath custom home (built in 1978, 7405/1300sf) was completely and very tastefully remodeled from bottom to top. Wide and bright living area is open to the kitchen of your dreams and dining area. Brand new kitchen cabinets brand new stainless steel kitchen appliances, copper plumbing, electrical, brand new flooring and tiles, brand new bathrooms, master bedroom with a sliding door exits to the backyard, brand new windows/doors/paint, central air/hit, and much much more. The landscaping is done with a high taste, also has a huge backyard, 2 patios, large 2 cars attached garage, and a driveway. Don't miss this opportunity! You won't find anything better for this price in CA.

  31. 2018-01-26
    listed $199,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (714 chars)

    HUGE PRICE REDUCTION! This 3 bed/2 bath custom home (built in 1978, 7405/1300sf) was completely and very tastefully remodeled from bottom to top. Wide and bright living area is open to the kitchen of your dreams and dining area. Brand new kitchen cabinets brand new stainless steel kitchen appliances, copper plumbing, electrical, brand new flooring and tiles, brand new bathrooms, master bedroom with a sliding door exits to the backyard, brand new windows/doors/paint, central air/hit, and much much more. The landscaping is done with a high taste, also has a huge backyard, 2 patios, large 2 cars attached garage, and a driveway. Don't miss this opportunity! You won't find anything better for this price in CA.

  32. 2017-10-31
    historical Hold Do Not Show
  33. 2017-10-11
    listed $199,000 Active
  34. 2017-07-21
    soldstatus $65,500 Closed
  35. 2017-06-08
    status Pending
  36. 2017-05-25
    listed $49,900 Active
  37. 2015-03-27
    historical
  38. 2001-02-01
    soldstatus $54,000
  39. 1999-12-15
    listed $27,300
  40. 1980-12-02
    soldstatus $52,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,059 · $172/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,090 · $174/mo
Expected delta
+$31/yr (+$3/mo · 1.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥101°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 17 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,875
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$2,059
− Insurance
−$1,375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,750
− Management
−$1,750
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$8,464
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,031
After-tax cash flow
$-1,427/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mojave Unified
NCES district ID
0625230
Math proficiency
25% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$43,017
Composite
21.4/100
National rank
#8350
State rank
#411 of 517 in CA

Livability — California City

Score
44/100
State rank
#1329
US rank
#26753

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
California City, CA
County
Kern County · 710,371 people
City population
14,353
Metro
Bakersfield, CA
Population (ZIP)
14,353
Household income
$59,827
Rent vs Own
44.6% rent · 55.4% own
Severe rent burden
883.0

Population outlook (Kern County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
947,286 people
By 2030
978,984 · +3.3%
By 2040
1,045,018 · +10.3%
By 2050
1,105,232 · +16.7%
By 2075
1,229,538 · +29.8%
By 2100
1,238,059 · +30.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 40% White 30% Black 22% Two or more races 16% Native American 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 29%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 29%

Political lean MEDSL · Kern

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.1) · D 38.2% · R 59.3% · Other 2.5%
2008→2024 swing
-3.3pp toward R · 2008: -17.8pp · 2024: -21.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.1 2020: R+10.2 2016: R+15.0 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+17.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 46.32%
Current HPI
402.4192
Rent YoY
▲ 5.45%
Metro
Bakersfield, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+423.8% since first listed
27 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $275,000 AVMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Price Changed $275,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-05-03 Price Changed $289,999 AVMLS
  • 2026-05-03 Price Changed $289,999 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $310,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-29 Listed $310,000 AVMLS
  • 2018-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $139,500 Public Records
  • 2018-08-08 Sold (MLS) $139,500 CRMLS
  • 2018-07-31 Pending CRMLS
  • 2018-07-09 Listing Removed AVMLS
  • 2018-06-27 Listed $139,500 AVMLS
  • 2018-06-27 Price Changed $139,500 CRMLS
  • 2018-06-16 Price Changed $149,900 CRMLS
  • 2018-06-13 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2018-06-12 Listing Removed CRMLS
  • 2018-06-02 Price Changed $159,000 CRMLS
  • 2018-05-14 Price Changed $179,000 CRMLS
  • 2018-01-26 Listed $199,000 CRMLS
  • 2017-10-31 Delisted CRMLS
  • 2017-10-11 Listed $199,000 CRMLS
  • 2017-07-21 Sold (MLS) $65,500 AVMLS
  • 2017-06-08 Pending AVMLS
  • 2017-05-25 Listed $49,900 AVMLS
  • 2015-03-27 Listing Removed AVMLS
  • 2001-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
  • 1999-12-15 Listed $27,300 AVMLS
  • 1980-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $52,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,059 · -5.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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