410 8th St St S · Virginia, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.6/30.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- ARV discount +5.8/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$98,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
OPEN HOUSE 6/6 11am-1pm. Well-maintained home in a convenient central location! This property features 2 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, and a 1-stall detached garage, all situated on an oversized city lot and a half. The main floor has original hard wood floors throughout. The living room flows seamlessly into the dining room, which leads to a spacious main-floor bedroom, an updated kitchen, and a refreshed main-floor bathroom. The second bedroom is located upstairs, offering added privacy. The basement houses the utilities and includes a newer gas forced-air furnace and updated ductwork (NO STEAM LOAN)! Additional recent improvements include new plumbing, some electrical updates with a 100-amp brea
Key facts
- New plumbing
- Central location
- Updated kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story
- Construction: Frame construction; Metal siding; Built year not provided
- Exterior features: Asphalt shingle roof; Lot approximately 120 x 37.5 (0.1 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Electric water heater; Full block basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $98k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
- Recommended offer: $92k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#664 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, crime D, health & safety D.
- Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $678 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.12%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.54%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $94,340
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 605 13th St S | 0.35mi | 2/1.2 (+1) | 1,080 (+2%) | 15mo | $122,000 | $113 | 62 |
| 720 10th Street South St | 0.44mi | 2/1.5 (+1) | 960 (-9%) | 16mo | $85,000 | $89 | 44 |
| 222 3rd St N | 0.69mi | 2/0.8 (+1) | 936 (-12%) | 10mo | $73,000 | $78 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.77×
- Total profit
- $-6,335
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $6,844
- Equity at exit
- $8,473
Cash invested: $27,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55792
- Home prices YoY
- -26.5%
- Active inventory
- 65
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,065 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$514
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,646/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$224
- Net cashflow
- $149
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $205 | -5% $177 | +0% $149 | +5% $122 | +10% $94 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $65 | -5% $107 | +0% $149 | +5% $192 | +10% $234 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $199 | -0.5pp $174 | base $149 | +0.5pp $124 | +1.0pp $98 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,500
- Closing costs
- $2,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $98,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $98,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $98,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $98,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $98,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $98,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $98,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $98,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $98,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $98,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $98,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $98,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $98,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $98,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $98,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $98,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $98,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-30remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-05-30days on market $98,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-09price $98,000
-
2026-04-16$99,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,646 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,646 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,781
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,490
- − Property taxes
- −$1,646
- − Insurance
- −$490
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,022
- − Management
- −$1,022
- − Depreciation
- −$2,851
- Taxable income
- $259
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$62
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,731/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Virginia
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #664
- US rank
- #15991
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Virginia, MN
- County
- Saint Louis County · 115,152 people
- City population
- 9,663
- Metro
- Duluth, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,663
- Household income
- $53,750
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 286.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 202,411 people
- By 2030
- 203,234 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,520 · +0.1%
- By 2050
- 200,853 · -0.8%
- By 2075
- 200,943 · -0.7%
- By 2100
- 192,058 · -5.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 4% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -72.05%
- Current HPI
- 199.7165
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Duluth, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
-1.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $98,000 RAOR
- 2026-04-16 Listed $99,900 RAOR
Property tax history
+19.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,646 · +27.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…