374 6th Ave SE · Valley City, ND
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Two bedroom, one full bath home located on a large lot that backs up to the beautiful Sheyenne River. Home has natural gas heat, central air, and updated appliances. Plus, a one-stall garage. Sold 'As Is. ' Owner/agent. Call today to tour!
Key facts
- Updated appliances
- Large lot
- Natural gas heat
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached or attached garage with 1 parking space (14' x 22')
- Utilities: City water connected; City sewer connected; Natural gas
- Home design: Residential property; One and one-half stories; Main entry on main level
- Construction: Built on poured concrete foundation; Foundation area approximately 672; Total building area approximately 1,994
- Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Lot approximately 0.233 acres (50' x 204')
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heat; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Dining room; Living room
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry room (main level)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $424 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($949 rent vs $49k).
- Cap rate 16.7% vs local median 3.5% in Valley City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#30 in ND, #4,920 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Valley City 2 (town): math 52% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #21 of 53 in ND (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9 units permitted in Barnes County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $339 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Barnes County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1906 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1906 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.07%
- DSCR
- 2.65
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $156,300
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 433 7th Ave NE | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 968 (-7%) | 24mo | $145,000 | $150 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 33.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.39×
- Total profit
- $19,058
- Equity at exit
- $7,306
- IRR
- 40.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.74×
- Total profit
- $51,378
- Equity at exit
- $4,237
Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Dakota
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 58072
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $949 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$257
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $579/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$199
- Net cashflow
- $424
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $452 | -5% $438 | +0% $424 | +5% $410 | +10% $396 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $349 | -5% $386 | +0% $424 | +5% $461 | +10% $499 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $448 | -0.5pp $436 | base $424 | +0.5pp $411 | +1.0pp $398 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,250
- Closing costs
- $1,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1110 2nd St SE Valley City, ND | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $995 | $1.15 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 735 4th Ave NE Valley City, ND | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 640 | $650 | $1.02 | 24d | 3 | 0.68mi |
| 847 2nd Ave NW Valley City, ND | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $995 | $1.04 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
Two bedroom, one full bath home located on a large lot that backs up to the beautiful Sheyenne River. Home has natural gas heat, central air, and updated appliances. Plus, a one-stall garage. Sold 'As Is. ' Owner/agent. Call today to tour!
-
2026-05-14status Pending 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
Two bedroom, one full bath home located on a large lot that backs up to the beautiful Sheyenne River. Home has natural gas heat, central air, and updated appliances. Plus, a one-stall garage. Sold 'As Is. ' Owner/agent. Call today to tour!
-
2026-05-12$49,000 Active
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
Two bedroom, one full bath home located on a large lot that backs up to the beautiful Sheyenne River. Home has natural gas heat, central air, and updated appliances. Plus, a one-stall garage. Sold 'As Is. ' Owner/agent. Call today to tour!
-
2026-05-12$49,000 Active 239-char remark
Show marketing remark (239 chars)
Two bedroom, one full bath home located on a large lot that backs up to the beautiful Sheyenne River. Home has natural gas heat, central air, and updated appliances. Plus, a one-stall garage. Sold 'As Is. ' Owner/agent. Call today to tour!
-
2023-07-12historical
-
2023-05-30$95,000
-
2021-06-24soldstatus $980,873
-
2017-03-13soldstatus $40,623
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast ND · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $579 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $579 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,384
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,745
- − Property taxes
- −$579
- − Insurance
- −$245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$911
- − Management
- −$911
- − Depreciation
- −$1,425
- Taxable income
- $4,568
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,096
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,989/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Valley City 2
- NCES district ID
- 3818850
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,717
- Composite
- 39.31/100
- National rank
- #3992
- State rank
- #21 of 53 in ND
Livability — Valley City
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #30
- US rank
- #4920
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Valley City, ND
- County
- Barnes County · 7,863 people
- City population
- 7,863
- Metro
- nan
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,863
- Household income
- $64,375
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 251.0
Population outlook (Barnes County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,119 people
- By 2030
- 11,184 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 11,336 · +2.0%
- By 2050
- 11,647 · +4.7%
- By 2075
- 14,006 · +26.0%
- By 2100
- 17,179 · +54.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 2% Black 2% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 27% Romanian 4% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 1% Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Barnes
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+35.3) · D 31.4% · R 66.7% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.5pp · 2024: -35.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+35.3 2020: R+31.4 2016: R+29.7 2012: R+10.3 2008: R+1.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -156.64%
- Current HPI
- 130.2036
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- nan
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.09%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ND)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities / Construction | 1 | $6B |
|
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Price history
+20.6% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-14 Pending — GNMLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $49,000 GNMLS
- 2026-05-12 Listed $49,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-07-12 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-05-30 Listed $95,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $980,873 Public Records
- 2017-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $40,623 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $579 · -25.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…