1441 Prouty Ave · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
NOTICE: We are not considering seller financing or creative financing offers that do not consist of us in recorded first lien position with a minimum of 30% down. Thank you for understanding! This property is being sold as part of an 46-unit portfolio or a 12-unit sub-portfolio. In place cap is ~8.5%, pro forma cap is ~11.0%, and occupancy is 100%. Asking price for the 46-unit portfolio is $3.57M and asking price for the 5-unit sub-portfolio is $672K. The sub-portfolio includes 1441 Prouty, 4139 Walker, 291-295 E Broadway, 1371 Felt St, 1525 Kelsey Ave / 270 Valleywood, 1531 Freedom, and 44 Greenwood. The entire 46-unit list can be found in the attachments. Property is occupied and photos are from the last time it was vacant.
Key facts
- 3,202 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1902
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($953 rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 7.6% in Toledo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools D-, crime F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($484 loan paydown + $525 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 243 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1902 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 243 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1902 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.15%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.34%
- DSCR
- 1.77
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $55,058
- List price
- $70,000
- Delta
- 27.14%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 648 Carlton St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (0%) | 2mo | $86,000 | $98 | 92 |
| 502 Brighton Ave | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 884 (+0%) | 1mo | $123,900 | $140 | 84 |
| 864 Hampton Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 | 878 (-0%) | 9mo | $90,000 | $103 | 70 |
| 713 Geneva Ave | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 843 (-4%) | 5mo | $52,500 | $62 | 68 |
| 1335 Colburn St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 962 (+9%) | 10mo | $22,500 | $23 | 65 |
| 933 Wright Ave | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-2%) | 3mo | $60,500 | $70 | 60 |
| 605 Wright Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 875 (-1%) | 9mo | $75,000 | $86 | 58 |
| 1461 Ingomar Ave | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+14%) | 7mo | $79,900 | $79 | 58 |
| 910 Orchard St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 888 (+1%) | 10mo | $25,000 | $28 | 58 |
| 1922 Heatherdale Dr | 0.74mi | 2/1.0 | 946 (+8%) | 2mo | $111,000 | $117 | 52 |
| 175 Corinth St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 758 (-14%) | 2mo | $23,500 | $31 | 51 |
| 678 Lorain St | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,006 (+14%) | 7mo | $26,000 | $26 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.75% appreciation · 7.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.19×
- Total profit
- $23,324
- Equity at exit
- $22,988
- IRR
- 28.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.96×
- Total profit
- $77,531
- Equity at exit
- $29,859
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43609
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $953 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $879/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$200
- Net cashflow
- $283
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1418 Colburn St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 13d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 538 Nicholas St Unit B Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $600 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 705 Nicholas St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $900 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1321 Gordon St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1121 | $1,050 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1521 Emma St Unit LABS 1521 Emma St, B 43051619729 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $900 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1037 Orchard St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $820 | $1.18 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 707 Toronto Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $775 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 1734 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2594 Broadway St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $825 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 827 Colburn St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $750 | $0.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 771 Orchard St Unit 7715 Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1086 | $645 | $0.59 | 23d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2044 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $825 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 223 Charles St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 612 | $875 | $1.43 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 307 Danberry St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $950 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1785 Tecumseh St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $900 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2314 Airline Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1123 | $1,478 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 416 Maumee Ave Unit D Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 622 | $475 | $0.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 581 Colima Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 242 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $70,000 Active 241 DOM
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2026-01-14price $78,000 736-char remark
Show marketing remark (736 chars)
NOTICE: We are not considering seller financing or creative financing offers that do not consist of us in recorded first lien position with a minimum of 30% down. Thank you for understanding! This property is being sold as part of an 46-unit portfolio or a 12-unit sub-portfolio. In place cap is ~8.5%, pro forma cap is ~11.0%, and occupancy is 100%. Asking price for the 46-unit portfolio is $3.57M and asking price for the 5-unit sub-portfolio is $672K. The sub-portfolio includes 1441 Prouty, 4139 Walker, 291-295 E Broadway, 1371 Felt St, 1525 Kelsey Ave / 270 Valleywood, 1531 Freedom, and 44 Greenwood. The entire 46-unit list can be found in the attachments. Property is occupied and photos are from the last time it was vacant.
-
2025-11-10price $81,860 736-char remark
Show marketing remark (736 chars)
NOTICE: We are not considering seller financing or creative financing offers that do not consist of us in recorded first lien position with a minimum of 30% down. Thank you for understanding! This property is being sold as part of an 46-unit portfolio or a 12-unit sub-portfolio. In place cap is ~8.5%, pro forma cap is ~11.0%, and occupancy is 100%. Asking price for the 46-unit portfolio is $3.57M and asking price for the 5-unit sub-portfolio is $672K. The sub-portfolio includes 1441 Prouty, 4139 Walker, 291-295 E Broadway, 1371 Felt St, 1525 Kelsey Ave / 270 Valleywood, 1531 Freedom, and 44 Greenwood. The entire 46-unit list can be found in the attachments. Property is occupied and photos are from the last time it was vacant.
-
2025-10-14price $37,250 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Cute 2 bed 1 bath North Toledo home. Currently rented for $650/mo on month to month lease. Home is part of a 19 property package being sold either together (at a possible discount) or individually. See attachment for complete list, rental amounts, lease dates and lead safe certs. Call today to add these to your portfolio!
-
2025-10-09price $29,000
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2025-09-24$86,500 Active 736-char remark
Show marketing remark (736 chars)
NOTICE: We are not considering seller financing or creative financing offers that do not consist of us in recorded first lien position with a minimum of 30% down. Thank you for understanding! This property is being sold as part of an 46-unit portfolio or a 12-unit sub-portfolio. In place cap is ~8.5%, pro forma cap is ~11.0%, and occupancy is 100%. Asking price for the 46-unit portfolio is $3.57M and asking price for the 5-unit sub-portfolio is $672K. The sub-portfolio includes 1441 Prouty, 4139 Walker, 291-295 E Broadway, 1371 Felt St, 1525 Kelsey Ave / 270 Valleywood, 1531 Freedom, and 44 Greenwood. The entire 46-unit list can be found in the attachments. Property is occupied and photos are from the last time it was vacant.
-
2022-02-02soldstatus $709,000
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2022-01-31soldstatus $37,250 Closed 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Cute 2 bed 1 bath North Toledo home. Currently rented for $650/mo on month to month lease. Home is part of a 19 property package being sold either together (at a possible discount) or individually. See attachment for complete list, rental amounts, lease dates and lead safe certs. Call today to add these to your portfolio!
-
2022-01-26status Pending 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Cute 2 bed 1 bath North Toledo home. Currently rented for $650/mo on month to month lease. Home is part of a 19 property package being sold either together (at a possible discount) or individually. See attachment for complete list, rental amounts, lease dates and lead safe certs. Call today to add these to your portfolio!
-
2021-11-04historical Contingent 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Cute 2 bed 1 bath North Toledo home. Currently rented for $650/mo on month to month lease. Home is part of a 19 property package being sold either together (at a possible discount) or individually. See attachment for complete list, rental amounts, lease dates and lead safe certs. Call today to add these to your portfolio!
-
2021-10-29$45,000 Active 323-char remark
Show marketing remark (323 chars)
Cute 2 bed 1 bath North Toledo home. Currently rented for $650/mo on month to month lease. Home is part of a 19 property package being sold either together (at a possible discount) or individually. See attachment for complete list, rental amounts, lease dates and lead safe certs. Call today to add these to your portfolio!
-
2001-02-06soldstatus $29,000
-
2001-01-08$35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $879 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $986 · $82/mo
- Expected delta
- +$106/yr (+$9/mo · 12.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,434
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$879
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$915
- − Management
- −$915
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $2,418
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$580
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,818/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,404
- Household income
- $42,313
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1603.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.75%
- Current HPI
- 235.2515
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.80%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+122.9% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $78,000 NORIS
- 2025-11-10 Price Changed $81,860 NORIS
- 2025-10-14 Price Changed $37,250 NORIS
- 2025-10-09 Price Changed $29,000 NORIS
- 2025-09-24 Listed $86,500 NORIS
- 2022-02-02 Sold (Public Records) $709,000 Public Records
- 2022-01-31 Sold (MLS) $37,250 NORIS
- 2022-01-26 Pending — NORIS
- 2021-11-04 Contingent — NORIS
- 2021-10-29 Listed $45,000 NORIS
- 2001-02-06 Sold (MLS) $29,000 NORIS
- 2001-01-08 Listed $35,000 NORIS
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $879 · -13.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…