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47 Juniper Mobile Ests
B Composite 71.28
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

47 Juniper Mobile Ests · Sequim, WA 98382
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,792 sqft · Manufactured public records · 28 Days on market
Built 1979

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to Juniper Mobile Estates, a desirable 62+ community in the heart of sunny Sequim. This spacious and well-maintained 1,792 sq ft double-wide offers 3 bedrooms, 1.75 baths, multiple living spaces, and a comfortable layout filled with natural light. Large living and dining areas with built-ins create flexible space for entertaining or everyday living. Kitchen opens to an additional dining/family room area and offers abundant storage and workspace. Features include heat pump with A/C, updated vinyl plank flooring, double pane windows, accessibility features, and generous storage throughout. Primary suite includes attached bath with walk-in shower accessibility. Enjoy the oversized cove

Key facts

  • Double-wide
  • Heat pump
  • Natural light

Tags

DOUBLE-WIDEMULTIPLE LIVING SPACESNATURAL LIGHTBUILT-INSABUNDANT STORAGEHEAT PUMP

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Listing accepted for Cash and Conventional financing
  • HOA & community: Juniper Mobile Estates (senior community); Land lease: $813

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water; City sewer; Power provided by PUD; Internet via Astound/CenturyLink
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One level; Manufactured after 06/15/1976; Mobile home remains on site; Tie down foundation
  • Construction: Metal/vinyl construction materials; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Metal/vinyl exterior; Metal skirt; Patio/porch/deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl plank; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 three-quarter bath; 1 bathtub; 2 showers
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
  • Interior features: Water heater; Bath off primary; Double pane windows; Patio/porch/deck; Storage shed on site
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room; Water heater located in primary closet

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $137k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 3.1% in Sequim — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#245 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime B, cost of living B; Watch: employment D, amenities D-, commute F.
  • Sequim School District (town): math 55% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #64 of 291 in WA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 605 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 166 units permitted in Clallam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Clallam County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $136,915 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.89%
Cap rate
17.09%
Cash-on-cash
38.56%
DSCR
2.72
GRM
4.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$279,552
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
53 Juniper Mobile Home Ests 0.09mi 3/2.5 1,744 (-3%) 15mo $106,500 $61 77
325 N 5th Ave #53 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,782 (-1%) 14mo $140,000 $79 73
502 N 7th Ave 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,791 (-0%) 18mo $351,900 $196 72
616 N 7th Ave 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,764 (-2%) 14mo $275,000 $156 68
645 N 7th 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,612 (-10%) 1mo $249,950 $155 63
629 N 7th Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,630 (-9%) 9mo $261,700 $161 59
610 N 7th Ave 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,600 (-11%) 8mo $205,000 $128 58
626 N Priest Rd 0.57mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,728 (-4%) 8mo $500,000 $289 56
38 Juniper Mobile Ests 0.09mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,536 (-14%) 13mo $127,500 $83 56
523 N 7th Ave 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,546 (-14%) 10mo $219,000 $142 55
605 N Seventh 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,620 (-10%) 21mo $277,000 $171 50
225 Daisy Ln 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,539 (-14%) 8mo $411,000 $267 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.7%
Equity multiple
2.47×
Total profit
$57,088
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
41.5%
Equity multiple
4.91×
Total profit
$152,107
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98382

Active inventory
605
Price-to-rent
4.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,631 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$41 /mo · $489/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$552
Net cashflow
$1,251

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,048
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,329 -5% $1,290 +0% $1,251 +5% $1,211 +10% $1,172
Rent -10% $1,043 -5% $1,147 +0% $1,251 +5% $1,355 +10% $1,458
Rate -1.0pp $1,321 -0.5pp $1,286 base $1,251 +0.5pp $1,215 +1.0pp $1,178

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
850 Tommy Ct Sequim, WA 3.0 2.0 1350 $2,300 $1.70 44d 1 0.19mi
522 W Evergreen Farm Way Sequim, WA 2.0 2.0 1336 $2,450 $1.83 44d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $139,000 Active 28 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,000 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $139,000 Active 21 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $139,000 Active 13 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,000 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 11 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 10 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 9 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $139,000 Active 8 DOM
  17. 2026-05-22
    listed $139,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$489 · $41/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,362 · $114/mo
Expected delta
+$873/yr (+$73/mo · 178.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$31,569
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$489
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,525
− Management
−$2,525
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$13,503
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,241
After-tax cash flow
$11,767/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sequim School District
NCES district ID
5307830
Math proficiency
55% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
66% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$46,969
Composite
52.77/100
National rank
#3312
State rank
#64 of 291 in WA

Livability — Sequim

Score
70/100
State rank
#245
US rank
#7845

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living B Crime B Employment D Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sequim, WA
County
Clallam County · 31,052 people
City population
31,052
Metro
Port Angeles, WA
Population (ZIP)
31,052
Household income
$74,189
Rent vs Own
18.9% rent · 81.1% own
Severe rent burden
666.0

Population outlook (Clallam County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
76,817 people
By 2030
78,177 · +1.8%
By 2040
79,795 · +3.9%
By 2050
80,890 · +5.3%
By 2075
83,933 · +9.3%
By 2100
82,141 · +6.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (85%)
Race & ethnicity
White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 5% Slovak 5% Italian 4%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Clallam

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 52.6% · R 44.7% · Other 2.7%
2008→2024 swing
+4.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.3pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+3.4 2016: R+1.6 2012: D+0.4 2008: D+3.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -225.89%
Current HPI
181.4372
Rent YoY
Metro
Port Angeles, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $139,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+13.2%/yr

Latest (2021): $489 · +11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…