47 Juniper Mobile Ests · Sequim, WA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to Juniper Mobile Estates, a desirable 62+ community in the heart of sunny Sequim. This spacious and well-maintained 1,792 sq ft double-wide offers 3 bedrooms, 1.75 baths, multiple living spaces, and a comfortable layout filled with natural light. Large living and dining areas with built-ins create flexible space for entertaining or everyday living. Kitchen opens to an additional dining/family room area and offers abundant storage and workspace. Features include heat pump with A/C, updated vinyl plank flooring, double pane windows, accessibility features, and generous storage throughout. Primary suite includes attached bath with walk-in shower accessibility. Enjoy the oversized cove
Key facts
- Double-wide
- Heat pump
- Natural light
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Listing accepted for Cash and Conventional financing
- HOA & community: Juniper Mobile Estates (senior community); Land lease: $813
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Electric energy source; Public water; City sewer; Power provided by PUD; Internet via Astound/CenturyLink
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One level; Manufactured after 06/15/1976; Mobile home remains on site; Tie down foundation
- Construction: Metal/vinyl construction materials; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Metal/vinyl exterior; Metal skirt; Patio/porch/deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl plank; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 three-quarter bath; 1 bathtub; 2 showers
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump for heating and cooling
- Interior features: Water heater; Bath off primary; Double pane windows; Patio/porch/deck; Storage shed on site
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room; Water heater located in primary closet
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $139k).
- Recommended offer: $137k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 17.1% vs local median 3.1% in Sequim — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#245 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: health & safety A+, crime B, cost of living B; Watch: employment D, amenities D-, commute F.
- Sequim School District (town): math 55% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #64 of 291 in WA (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 605 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 166 units permitted in Clallam County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clallam County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($137k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.89% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 38.56%
- DSCR
- 2.72
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $279,552
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 Juniper Mobile Home Ests | 0.09mi | 3/2.5 | 1,744 (-3%) | 15mo | $106,500 | $61 | 77 |
| 325 N 5th Ave #53 | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,782 (-1%) | 14mo | $140,000 | $79 | 73 |
| 502 N 7th Ave | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,791 (-0%) | 18mo | $351,900 | $196 | 72 |
| 616 N 7th Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,764 (-2%) | 14mo | $275,000 | $156 | 68 |
| 645 N 7th | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,612 (-10%) | 1mo | $249,950 | $155 | 63 |
| 629 N 7th Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 | 1,630 (-9%) | 9mo | $261,700 | $161 | 59 |
| 610 N 7th Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (-11%) | 8mo | $205,000 | $128 | 58 |
| 626 N Priest Rd | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,728 (-4%) | 8mo | $500,000 | $289 | 56 |
| 38 Juniper Mobile Ests | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,536 (-14%) | 13mo | $127,500 | $83 | 56 |
| 523 N 7th Ave | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,546 (-14%) | 10mo | $219,000 | $142 | 55 |
| 605 N Seventh | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (-10%) | 21mo | $277,000 | $171 | 50 |
| 225 Daisy Ln | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,539 (-14%) | 8mo | $411,000 | $267 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.47×
- Total profit
- $57,088
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 41.5%
- Equity multiple
- 4.91×
- Total profit
- $152,107
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98382
- Active inventory
- 605
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,631 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$41 /mo · $489/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$552
- Net cashflow
- $1,251
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,329 | -5% $1,290 | +0% $1,251 | +5% $1,211 | +10% $1,172 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,043 | -5% $1,147 | +0% $1,251 | +5% $1,355 | +10% $1,458 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,321 | -0.5pp $1,286 | base $1,251 | +0.5pp $1,215 | +1.0pp $1,178 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 850 Tommy Ct Sequim, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,300 | $1.70 | 44d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 522 W Evergreen Farm Way Sequim, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $2,450 | $1.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $139,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $139,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $139,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $139,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $139,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $139,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $139,000 Active 13 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $139,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 11 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 10 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 9 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $139,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-22$139,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $489 · $41/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,362 · $114/mo
- Expected delta
- +$873/yr (+$73/mo · 178.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,569
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$489
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,525
- − Management
- −$2,525
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $13,503
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,241
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,767/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sequim School District
- NCES district ID
- 5307830
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,969
- Composite
- 52.77/100
- National rank
- #3312
- State rank
- #64 of 291 in WA
Livability — Sequim
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #245
- US rank
- #7845
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sequim, WA
- County
- Clallam County · 31,052 people
- City population
- 31,052
- Metro
- Port Angeles, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,052
- Household income
- $74,189
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 666.0
Population outlook (Clallam County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 76,817 people
- By 2030
- 78,177 · +1.8%
- By 2040
- 79,795 · +3.9%
- By 2050
- 80,890 · +5.3%
- By 2075
- 83,933 · +9.3%
- By 2100
- 82,141 · +6.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 5% Slovak 5% Italian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clallam
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 52.6% · R 44.7% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.6pp toward D · 2008: 3.3pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+3.4 2016: R+1.6 2012: D+0.4 2008: D+3.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -225.89%
- Current HPI
- 181.4372
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Port Angeles, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $139,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+13.2%/yrLatest (2021): $489 · +11.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…