Duplex
114 Hemlock St · Sugar Notch, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- 1% rule +8.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious half-double located in Wilkes-Barre with separate utilities for each unit. Close proximity to public transportation, shopping, and city conveniences. Great opportunity for investors or owner-occupants seeking rental income potential.
Key facts
- Immediate cash flow
- Turnkey property
- Keeping expenses low
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 82.5 feet
- Financial info: Annual tax: $1,692.32
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Multi-family residential income property
- Construction: Aluminum siding construction
- Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Residential zoning
Interior
- Heating & cooling: Electric baseboard heating
- Interior features: Basement present; Electric baseboard heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $732 ($9k/yr) — positive. Per door: $366/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $160k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#931 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Hanover Area SD (suburban): math 19% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #484 of 539 in PA (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 349 units permitted in Luzerne County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,287/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 568% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Luzerne County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $105k; list at $165k implies a 57% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.39% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.00%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $173,952
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -5.15%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 2 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125 Hemlock St | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,808 (+7%) | 18mo | $140,000 | $77 | 68 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $19,858
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 19.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $77,275
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18706
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 12.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,287 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$141 /mo · $1,692/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$480
- Net cashflow
- $732
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $2,288 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,144 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,144 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,287 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 735 Main St Apt 2 Sugar Notch, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 735 Main St Apt 2 Sugar Notch, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,800 | $1.29 | 21d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 320 South St Wilkes-Barre, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 221 Bauer St Hanover Township, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1375 | $1,600 | $1.16 | 21d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 221 Bauer St Hanover Township, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-15status $165,000 Pending 45 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $165,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $165,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $165,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-05-01$165,000 Active 344-char remark
-
2025-11-17soldstatus $105,000 Closed 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Spacious half-double located in Wilkes-Barre with separate utilities for each unit. Close proximity to public transportation, shopping, and city conveniences. Great opportunity for investors or owner-occupants seeking rental income potential.
-
2025-10-21status Pending 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Spacious half-double located in Wilkes-Barre with separate utilities for each unit. Close proximity to public transportation, shopping, and city conveniences. Great opportunity for investors or owner-occupants seeking rental income potential.
-
2025-09-30$109,000 Active 242-char remark
Show marketing remark (242 chars)
Spacious half-double located in Wilkes-Barre with separate utilities for each unit. Close proximity to public transportation, shopping, and city conveniences. Great opportunity for investors or owner-occupants seeking rental income potential.
-
2025-01-24price $149,900
-
2025-01-17price $159,900
-
2025-01-13price $164,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,692 · $141/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,150 · $179/mo
- Expected delta
- +$457/yr (+$38/mo · 27.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,444
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,692
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,196
- − Management
- −$2,196
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $6,493
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,558
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,222/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hanover Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4211420
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -21.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 18.6/100
- National rank
- #8903
- State rank
- #484 of 539 in PA
Livability — Sugar Notch
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #931
- US rank
- #10128
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sugar Notch, PA
- County
- Luzerne County · 118,885 people
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,387
- Household income
- $58,558
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 568.0
Population outlook (Luzerne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 319,505 people
- By 2030
- 319,943 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 322,643 · +1.0%
- By 2050
- 330,817 · +3.5%
- By 2075
- 379,145 · +18.7%
- By 2100
- 431,908 · +35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 9% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 18% Scotch-Irish 3% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Luzerne
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.2) · D 40.0% · R 59.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -19.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.2 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+19.6 2012: D+4.8 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -150.02%
- Current HPI
- 196.19
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Scranton--Wilkes-Barre, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+0.1% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Pending — LCAR
- 2026-05-01 Listed $165,000 LCAR
- 2025-11-17 Sold (MLS) $105,000 LCAR
- 2025-10-21 Pending — LCAR
- 2025-09-30 Listed $109,000 LCAR
- 2025-01-24 Price Changed $149,900 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-01-17 Price Changed $159,900 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 2025-01-13 Price Changed $164,900 GSBR as distributed by MLS GRID
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2026): $1,692 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…