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1634 Verdin Rd
C- Composite 51.79
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$187,999

1634 Verdin Rd · Fort Worth, TX 76140
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,192 sqft · SingleFamily · 51 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 5,271 sqft lot $158/sqft · 29% below area Est $263k · 29% under $42/mo HOA · 2% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner’s suite enjoys a private location in the back of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom, walk-in closet and direct access to an outdoor space. There are two secondary bedrooms that are both ideal for household members and overnight guests.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • Open floorplan
  • En-suite bathroom

Tags

OPEN FLOORPLANOWNER'S SUITEEN-SUITE BATHROOMWALK-IN CLOSETDIRECT ACCESS OUTDOOR SPACE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $188k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $58 ($693/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (5.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $177k (5.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Everman ISD (suburban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #691 of 826 in TX (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: John And Polly Townley El (math 15% / reading 21%, grade F, #3,785 of 4,322 statewide, top 88%, 365 students, 95% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 77% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 374 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $177,083 (5.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
6.66%
Cash-on-cash
1.32%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$263,494
List price
$187,999
Delta
-28.84%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1654 Verdin Rd 0.01mi 3/2.0 1,192 (0%) 1mo $184,999 $155 99
3145 Maple Orchard Ln 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,284 (+8%) 1mo $258,690 $201 74
3148 Pecan Farm Ln 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,284 (+8%) 7mo $253,990 $198 70
3101 Maple Orchard Ln 0.32mi 3/2.0 1,300 (+9%) 1mo $266,040 $205 69
3121 Pecan Farm Ln 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,284 (+8%) 7mo $259,990 $202 68
3041 Maple Orchard Ln 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,300 (+9%) 1mo $261,490 $201 68
3033 Maple Orchard Ln 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,284 (+8%) 4mo $259,990 $202 67
3056 Pecan Farm Ln 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,279 (+7%) 6mo $271,385 $212 67
3044 Pecan Farm Ln 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,279 (+7%) 6mo $269,990 $211 66
3025 Maple Orchard Ln 0.37mi 3/2.0 1,300 (+9%) 3mo $259,490 $200 65
509 Steeple Ridge Ct 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,030 (-14%) 4mo $249,900 $243 57
545 Chambers Creek Dr 0.67mi 3/2.0 1,330 (+12%) 6mo $218,000 $164 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.11% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-17.6%
Equity multiple
0.40×
Total profit
$-31,739
Equity at exit
$28,031
10-year hold
IRR
-16.6%
Equity multiple
0.20×
Total profit
$-42,072
Equity at exit
$16,255

Cash invested: $52,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76140

Home prices YoY
-21.8%
Rents YoY
0.1%
Active inventory
374
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,771 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$986
Tax est. 1.5%
$235 /mo · $2,820/yr
Insurance
$78
HOA
$42
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$372
Net cashflow
$58

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,698
Max offer price $187,999
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$47,000
Closing costs
$5,640
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1645 Verdin RD Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1033 $1,700 $1.65 12d 1 0.02mi
9004 Apple Orchard Ln Fort Worth, TX 3.0–4.0 2.5 1514 $2,099 $1.39 1d 7 0.43mi
9004 Apple Orchard Ln Fort Worth, TX 3.0–4.0 2.5 1514 $2,419 $1.60 15d 2 0.43mi
9000 Balch St Unit 612 Everman, TX 3.0 2.0 1277 $1,101 $0.86 3d 1 0.70mi
9000 Balch St Unit 512 Everman, TX 2.0 2.0 1100 $974 $0.89 3d 1 0.70mi
9053 S Race St Unit 3121 Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1185 $809 $0.68 12d 1 0.89mi
9053 S Race St Unit 9086 Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1185 $1,570 $1.32 12d 1 0.89mi
9053 S Race St Unit 9110 Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 1072 $1,194 $1.11 3d 1 0.89mi
9053 S Race St Unit 9080 Fort Worth, TX 2.0 2.0 1072 $1,272 $1.19 43d 1 0.89mi
9053 S Race St Unit 9086 Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1185 $1,464 $1.24 43d 1 0.89mi
9053 S Race St Unit 9086 Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1185 $1,421 $1.20 3d 1 0.89mi
1500 Four Seasons Ln Fort Worth, TX 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 876 $1,400 $1.60 22d 1 1.22mi
1444 Harvester Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0–5.0 2.0–2.5 1840 $2,080 $1.13 1d 1 1.27mi
408 Noble Ave Unit B Everman, TX 2.0 1.0 780 $1,150 $1.47 24d 1 1.34mi
435 Sussex Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1307 $1,935 $1.48 43d 1 1.34mi
302 N Race St Unit C Everman, TX 2.0 1.5 780 $1,200 $1.54 43d 1 1.35mi
302 N Race St Unit D Everman, TX 2.0 1.5 780 $1,200 $1.54 7d 1 1.35mi
512 Sussex Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1307 $1,935 $1.48 43d 1 1.38mi
1456 Palamedes Dr Fort Worth, TX 3.0 2.0 1316 $2,000 $1.52 4d 1 1.39mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$42 · $504/yr

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $187,999 Pending 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $187,999 Active 47 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $187,999 Active 46 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $190,999 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-04
    days on market $190,999 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-03
    days on market $190,999 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-02
    days on market $190,999 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-01
    days on market $190,999 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-05-31
    days on market $190,999 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-05-12
    price $186,499 400-char remark
  11. 2026-04-23
    listed $188,499 Active 400-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,250
− Mortgage interest
−$10,531
− Property taxes
−$2,820
− Insurance
−$940
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,700
− Management
−$1,700
− HOA
−$504
− Depreciation
−$5,469
Taxable loss
−$2,414
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$579
After-tax cash flow
$1,272/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This single-level home is in good condition with a good exterior and interior appearance. It offers a spacious floorplan and a well-maintained exterior, making it a good candidate for cosmetic updates to enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Updating these spaces can increase the home's value and appeal to a broader market.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers or renters.
  • Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Updating these spaces can increase the home's value and appeal to a broader market.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Everman ISD
NCES district ID
4818810
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,803
Composite
22.77/100
National rank
#8027
State rank
#691 of 826 in TX

Livability — Fort Worth

Score
80/100
State rank
#49
US rank
#1954

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
City population
911,619
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
33,321
Household income
$75,955
Rent vs Own
31.6% rent · 68.4% own
Severe rent burden
1264.0

Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,380,417 people
By 2030
2,578,900 · +8.3%
By 2040
2,974,995 · +25.0%
By 2050
3,350,489 · +40.8%
By 2075
4,216,909 · +77.2%
By 2100
4,741,527 · +99.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 39% Black 35% White 20% Two or more races 14% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 36%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 32% Vietnamese 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -79.54%
Current HPI
285.9894
Rent YoY
▲ 0.11%
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-0.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-06-08 Price Changed $187,999 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-29 Price Changed $190,999 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-26 Price Changed $192,999 NTREIS
  • 2026-05-12 Price Changed $186,499 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $188,499 NTREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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