1634 Verdin Rd · Fort Worth, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 26.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$187,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This single-level home showcases a spacious open floorplan shared between the kitchen, dining area and family room for easy entertaining. An owner’s suite enjoys a private location in the back of the home, complemented by an en-suite bathroom, walk-in closet and direct access to an outdoor space. There are two secondary bedrooms that are both ideal for household members and overnight guests.
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Open floorplan
- En-suite bathroom
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $188k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $58 ($693/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $177k (5.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $177k (5.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.9% in Fort Worth — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#49 in TX, #1,954 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
- Everman ISD (suburban): math 21% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #691 of 826 in TX (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: John And Polly Townley El (math 15% / reading 21%, grade F, #3,785 of 4,322 statewide, top 88%, 365 students, 95% FRL) — zoned schools average 95% FRL vs 77% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 374 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 18,938 units permitted in Tarrant County in 2024 (8,336 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tarrant County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($182k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.32%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $263,494
- List price
- $187,999
- Delta
- -28.84%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1654 Verdin Rd | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 | 1,192 (0%) | 1mo | $184,999 | $155 | 99 |
| 3145 Maple Orchard Ln | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,284 (+8%) | 1mo | $258,690 | $201 | 74 |
| 3148 Pecan Farm Ln | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,284 (+8%) | 7mo | $253,990 | $198 | 70 |
| 3101 Maple Orchard Ln | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+9%) | 1mo | $266,040 | $205 | 69 |
| 3121 Pecan Farm Ln | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,284 (+8%) | 7mo | $259,990 | $202 | 68 |
| 3041 Maple Orchard Ln | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+9%) | 1mo | $261,490 | $201 | 68 |
| 3033 Maple Orchard Ln | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,284 (+8%) | 4mo | $259,990 | $202 | 67 |
| 3056 Pecan Farm Ln | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,279 (+7%) | 6mo | $271,385 | $212 | 67 |
| 3044 Pecan Farm Ln | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,279 (+7%) | 6mo | $269,990 | $211 | 66 |
| 3025 Maple Orchard Ln | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+9%) | 3mo | $259,490 | $200 | 65 |
| 509 Steeple Ridge Ct | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,030 (-14%) | 4mo | $249,900 | $243 | 57 |
| 545 Chambers Creek Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,330 (+12%) | 6mo | $218,000 | $164 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-31,739
- Equity at exit
- $28,031
- IRR
- -16.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-42,072
- Equity at exit
- $16,255
Cash invested: $52,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76140
- Home prices YoY
- -21.8%
- Rents YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 374
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,771 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$986
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$235 /mo · $2,820/yr
- Insurance
- −$78
- HOA
- −$42
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$372
- Net cashflow
- $58
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,000
- Closing costs
- $5,640
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1645 Verdin RD Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1033 | $1,700 | $1.65 | 12d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 9004 Apple Orchard Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5 | 1514 | $2,099 | $1.39 | 1d | 7 | 0.43mi |
| 9004 Apple Orchard Ln Fort Worth, TX | 3.0–4.0 | 2.5 | 1514 | $2,419 | $1.60 | 15d | 2 | 0.43mi |
| 9000 Balch St Unit 612 Everman, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1277 | $1,101 | $0.86 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 9000 Balch St Unit 512 Everman, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $974 | $0.89 | 3d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 9053 S Race St Unit 3121 Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $809 | $0.68 | 12d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 9053 S Race St Unit 9086 Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,570 | $1.32 | 12d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 9053 S Race St Unit 9110 Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,194 | $1.11 | 3d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 9053 S Race St Unit 9080 Fort Worth, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $1,272 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 9053 S Race St Unit 9086 Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,464 | $1.24 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 9053 S Race St Unit 9086 Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1185 | $1,421 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1500 Four Seasons Ln Fort Worth, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 876 | $1,400 | $1.60 | 22d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1444 Harvester Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0–5.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1840 | $2,080 | $1.13 | 1d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 408 Noble Ave Unit B Everman, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,150 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 435 Sussex Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1307 | $1,935 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 302 N Race St Unit C Everman, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 780 | $1,200 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 302 N Race St Unit D Everman, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 780 | $1,200 | $1.54 | 7d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 512 Sussex Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1307 | $1,935 | $1.48 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1456 Palamedes Dr Fort Worth, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $2,000 | $1.52 | 4d | 1 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $42 · $504/yr
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $187,999 Pending 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $187,999 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $187,999 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $190,999 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $190,999 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $190,999 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $190,999 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $190,999 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $190,999 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $186,499 400-char remark
-
2026-04-23$188,499 Active 400-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,250
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,531
- − Property taxes
- −$2,820
- − Insurance
- −$940
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,700
- − Management
- −$1,700
- − HOA
- −$504
- − Depreciation
- −$5,469
- Taxable loss
- −$2,414
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$579
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,272/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This single-level home is in good condition with a good exterior and interior appearance. It offers a spacious floorplan and a well-maintained exterior, making it a good candidate for cosmetic updates to enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers or renters.
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Updating these spaces can increase the home's value and appeal to a broader market.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance the curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Kitchen and bathroom updates — Updating these spaces can increase the home's value and appeal to a broader market. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Everman ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4818810
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,803
- Composite
- 22.77/100
- National rank
- #8027
- State rank
- #691 of 826 in TX
Livability — Fort Worth
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #49
- US rank
- #1954
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Tarrant County · 2,033,669 people
- City population
- 911,619
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,321
- Household income
- $75,955
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1264.0
Population outlook (Tarrant County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,380,417 people
- By 2030
- 2,578,900 · +8.3%
- By 2040
- 2,974,995 · +25.0%
- By 2050
- 3,350,489 · +40.8%
- By 2075
- 4,216,909 · +77.2%
- By 2100
- 4,741,527 · +99.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 39% Black 35% White 20% Two or more races 14% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 36%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 32% Vietnamese 2% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tarrant
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+5.1) · D 46.7% · R 51.9% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.6pp toward D · 2008: -11.7pp · 2024: -5.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.1 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+8.7 2012: R+15.7 2008: R+11.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -79.54%
- Current HPI
- 285.9894
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.11%
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-0.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-06-08 Price Changed $187,999 NTREIS
- 2026-05-29 Price Changed $190,999 NTREIS
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $192,999 NTREIS
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $186,499 NTREIS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $188,499 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…