1524 Arrowhead Dr · Gadsden, AL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 25.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.4/30.0
- DSCR +9.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$137,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Perfect move-in ready full brick home on a large lot in a quiet neighborhood. The neighborhood is very close to Gadsden State Community College, Riverview Medical, Gadsden Regional Medical, and downtown Gadsden and provides easy access to I-759 and Hwy 431. This home features a remodeled kitchen with granite countertops, walk-in tile shower, tile flooring, new stainless steel appliances, new double-pane insulated windows, metal roof, and new water lines from the water meter. Hardwoods in good condition under carpet! Don't miss out on this very well maintained upgraded home at a very affordable price.
Key facts
- Remodeled kitchen
- Large lot
- Tile flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $138k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $138k).
- Recommended offer: $121k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 5.1% in Gadsden — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#335 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Gadsden City (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #87 of 129 in AL (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Donehoo Elementary School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #457 of 627 statewide, top 74%, 260 students, 80% FRL); Gadsden Middle School (math 15% / reading 51%, grade F, #101 of 257 statewide, top 40%, 464 students, 75% FRL); Gadsden City High School (math 17% / reading 24%, grade F, #159 of 305 statewide, top 53%, 1,318 students, 76% FRL).
- Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 119 units permitted in Etowah County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $953 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Etowah County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 150 days — a 12% lower offer ($121k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $21k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 150 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.13%
- DSCR
- 1.50
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $112,248
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1524 Arrowhead Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,559 (0%) | 1mo | $137,000 | $88 | 96 |
| 1641 Arrowhead Dr | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,516 (-3%) | 1mo | $165,200 | $109 | 79 |
| 1316 Linden St | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,553 (-0%) | 2mo | $199,000 | $128 | 77 |
| 208 Riverside Dr | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,542 (-1%) | 6mo | $105,000 | $68 | 62 |
| 225 Davis St | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,502 (-4%) | 10mo | $82,297 | $55 | 56 |
| 600 Crestview Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-4%) | 4mo | $127,900 | $85 | 53 |
| 901 Padenreich Ave | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,382 (-11%) | 18mo | $99,000 | $72 | 44 |
| 106 Sheridan St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,734 (+11%) | 12mo | $179,000 | $103 | 43 |
| 517 Padenreich Ave | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,464 (-6%) | 20mo | $95,000 | $65 | 42 |
| 422 Padenreich Ave | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 | 1,408 (-10%) | 13mo | $78,000 | $55 | 39 |
| 1219 Tennessee Ave | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,502 (-4%) | 20mo | $95,000 | $63 | 38 |
| 220 Oak Dr | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,360 (-13%) | 19mo | $82,000 | $60 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-3,773
- Equity at exit
- $20,561
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $20,595
- Equity at exit
- $11,923
Cash invested: $38,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35903
- Home prices YoY
- -11.0%
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,502 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$723
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $573/yr
- Insurance
- −$57
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$315
- Net cashflow
- $292
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,475
- Closing costs
- $4,137
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-13status Pending
-
2026-04-02status Active
-
2026-04-02price $137,900
-
2026-01-22historical Contingent
-
2026-01-05price $144,900
-
2025-12-09price $149,900
-
2025-11-24price $154,900
-
2025-11-14$159,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $573 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $573 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,025
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,725
- − Property taxes
- −$573
- − Insurance
- −$1,487
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,442
- − Management
- −$1,442
- − Depreciation
- −$4,012
- Taxable income
- $1,345
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$323
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,179/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gadsden City
- NCES district ID
- 0101620
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $29,099
- Composite
- 21.62/100
- National rank
- #8292
- State rank
- #87 of 129 in AL
Livability — Gadsden
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #335
- US rank
- #20131
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gadsden, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,180
Population outlook (Etowah County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 100,500 people
- By 2030
- 98,488 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 93,731 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 88,681 · -11.8%
- By 2075
- 76,746 · -23.6%
- By 2100
- 65,373 · -35.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (62%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Etowah
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.8% · R 77.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -38.2pp · 2024: -55.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.7 2020: R+50.2 2016: R+50.1 2012: R+38.4 2008: R+38.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.07%
- Current HPI
- 236.2537
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-13.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Pending — VMLS
- 2026-04-02 Relisted — VMLS
- 2026-04-02 Price Changed $137,900 VMLS
- 2026-01-22 Contingent — VMLS
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $144,900 VMLS
- 2025-12-09 Price Changed $149,900 VMLS
- 2025-11-24 Price Changed $154,900 VMLS
- 2025-11-14 Listed $159,000 VMLS
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $573 · -7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…