Triplex
9544 Compton · Los Angeles, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.8/30.0
- ARV discount +4.9/15.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$849,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Great four-unit investment opportunity, including two bedrooms, one bathroom each and with their own electric and gas meter per unit, please call Agent for more information.
Key facts
- 3,465 sq ft lot
- Built 1951
- Listed 84 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 1-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $849k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $235 ($3k/yr) — positive. Per door: $78/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $686k (19.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $686k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.1% in Los Angeles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#273 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment B; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, cost of living F.
- Los Angeles Unified (urban): math 29% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #223 of 517 in CA (top 43%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Judith F. Baca Arts Academy (524 students, 98% FRL); Charles Drew Middle (681 students, 99% FRL); Valley Academy of Arts And Sciences (math 22% / reading 52%, grade F, #578 of 1,170 statewide, top 51%, 868 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 67% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $6,862/mo this rent would consume 140% of the median local household income ($59k/yr) (locally 2997% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $25k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($798k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $240k; list at $849k implies a 254% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.19%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $802,752
- List price
- $849,000
- Delta
- 5.76%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-122,924
- Equity at exit
- $126,589
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-89,050
- Equity at exit
- $73,406
Cash invested: $237,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City Los Angeles
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+22
ZIP-level market 90002
- Active inventory
- 73
- Price-to-rent
- 30.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $6,862 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,452
- Tax from tax record
- −$380 /mo · $4,560/yr
- Insurance
- −$354
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,441
- Net cashflow
- $235
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $716 | -5% $475 | +0% $235 | +5% $-5 | +10% $-246 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-307 | -5% $-36 | +0% $235 | +5% $506 | +10% $777 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $663 | -0.5pp $451 | base $235 | +0.5pp $15 | +1.0pp $-209 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 1 | — | $6,861 |
| #1 | 1 | — | $2,287 |
| #2 | 1 | — | $2,287 |
| #3 | 1 | — | $2,287 |
| Total (3 units) | $6,862 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $212,250
- Closing costs
- $25,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8624 Graham Ave Unit B Los Angeles, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $4,500 | $2.25 | 26d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 8624 Graham Ave Los Angeles, CA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $4,500 | $2.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 801 E 84th Pl Unit 1/2 Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 | 4.5 | 2056 | $4,125 | $2.01 | 45d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 10605 Avalon Blvd Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2378 | $4,300 | $1.81 | 45d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 443 E 84th St Unit 443 Los Angeles, CA | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2250 | $4,000 | $1.78 | 45d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $849,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $849,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $849,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $849,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $849,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $849,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $849,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $849,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $849,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $849,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $849,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $849,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $849,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $849,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-03-29$849,000 Active 173-char remark
Show marketing remark (173 chars)
Great four-unit investment opportunity, including two bedrooms, one bathroom each and with their own electric and gas meter per unit, please call Agent for more information.
-
2012-03-04soldstatus $240,000 Closed 104-char remark
Show marketing remark (104 chars)
Great Potential in this 4 plex, there are 2 unit with 2+1 and 2 units with 3+1. Buyer to verify permits.
-
2012-02-20status Pending 104-char remark
Show marketing remark (104 chars)
Great Potential in this 4 plex, there are 2 unit with 2+1 and 2 units with 3+1. Buyer to verify permits.
-
2012-02-06$244,900 Active 104-char remark
Show marketing remark (104 chars)
Great Potential in this 4 plex, there are 2 unit with 2+1 and 2 units with 3+1. Buyer to verify permits.
-
2011-06-14historical Hold
-
2011-05-11price $270,000 Active
-
2011-05-11status Active
-
2011-04-26historical Hold
-
2011-04-15$210,000 Active
-
2006-10-12soldstatus $545,000
-
2006-09-24soldstatus $545,000
-
2006-03-13$559,000
-
1994-06-28soldstatus $170,500
-
1990-04-05soldstatus $260,000
-
1990-04-05soldstatus $260,000
-
1988-09-23soldstatus $75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,560 · $380/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $6,452 · $538/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,892/yr (+$158/mo · 41.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $82,344
- − Mortgage interest
- −$47,557
- − Property taxes
- −$4,560
- − Insurance
- −$4,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,588
- − Management
- −$6,588
- − Depreciation
- −$24,698
- Taxable loss
- −$11,892
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,854
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,674/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Los Angeles Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0622710
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 10.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,403
- Composite
- 35.67/100
- National rank
- #4875
- State rank
- #223 of 517 in CA
Livability — Los Angeles
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #273
- US rank
- #9237
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Los Angeles, CA
- County
- Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
- City population
- 3,838,149
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 52,122
- Household income
- $59,021
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2997.0
Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 10,940,515 people
- By 2030
- 11,256,481 · +2.9%
- By 2040
- 11,729,929 · +7.2%
- By 2050
- 11,948,407 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 11,818,114 · +8.0%
- By 2100
- 10,842,928 · -0.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 82% Two or more races 23% Black 15% Native American 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 61%
- Foreign-born
- 36% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 25% English-only · Spanish 74%
Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -698.86%
- Current HPI
- 478.4773
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+1032.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-29 Listed $849,000 CRMLS
- 2012-03-04 Sold (MLS) $240,000 CRMLS
- 2012-02-20 Pending — CRMLS
- 2012-02-06 Listed $244,900 CRMLS
- 2011-06-14 Delisted — CRMLS
- 2011-05-11 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2011-05-11 Price Changed $270,000 CRMLS
- 2011-04-26 Delisted — CRMLS
- 2011-04-15 Listed $210,000 CRMLS
- 2006-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $545,000 Public Records
- 2006-09-24 Sold (MLS) $545,000 CRMLS
- 2006-03-13 Listed $559,000 CRMLS
- 1994-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $170,500 Public Records
- 1990-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records
- 1990-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records
- 1988-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $75,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $4,560 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…