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5361 Private Road 1262
D- Composite 38.17
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +12.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • DSCR +3.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.2/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$115,000

5361 Private Road 1262 · West Plains, MO 65775
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · SingleFamily · 86 Days on market
Built 2013 Fair condition 3.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Cozy little 3 bedroom, 2 bath home located on 3 beautiful acres just on the out skirts of West Plains. Newer vinyl flooring installed throughout living room and hallway. Richards school district. This property features a very nice clean shed that stays with the property. Fridge and stove included.

Key facts

  • 3 acre lot
  • Built 2013
  • Listed 86 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Septic tank sewer; Other water source
  • Home design: Single wide mobile home; Single-story; Residential single-family property; Approximately 980 above-grade finished area
  • Construction: Single wide body type
  • Exterior features: Deck; Other outbuildings/structures

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Free‑standing electric oven; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Electric water heater
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry hook-ups listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $115k. Condition is rated fair.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-28 ($-339/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $111k (3.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $97k (15.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (15.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.1% in West Plains — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#34 in MO, #2,977 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime C-, commute C-, amenities D.
  • Richards R-V (rural): math 37% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #187 of 324 in MO (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Richards Elem. (math 37% / reading 39%, grade F, #604 of 1,115 statewide, top 54%, 372 students, 63% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 320 active listings in the ZIP; 53 units permitted in Howell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $795 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Howell County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($108k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $97,022 (15.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.00%
Cash-on-cash
-1.05%
DSCR
0.95
GRM
9.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.0%
Equity multiple
0.37×
Total profit
$-20,421
Equity at exit
$17,147
10-year hold
IRR
-10.2%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-20,040
Equity at exit
$9,943

Cash invested: $32,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 65775

Home prices YoY
-16.4%
Active inventory
320
Price-to-rent
9.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$970 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$603
Tax est. 1.5%
$144 /mo · $1,725/yr
Insurance
$48
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$204
Net cashflow
$-28

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,006
Max offer price $110,910
Occupancy floor 98%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $51 -5% $11 +0% $-28 +5% $-68 +10% $-108
Rent -10% $-105 -5% $-67 +0% $-28 +5% $10 +10% $48
Rate -1.0pp $30 -0.5pp $1 base $-28 +0.5pp $-58 +1.0pp $-88

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,750
Closing costs
$3,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    status $115,000 Pending 86 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $115,000 Active 86 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $115,000 Active 85 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $115,000 Active 84 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $115,000 Active 83 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $115,000 Active 81 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $115,000 Active 80 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $115,000 Active 77 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $115,000 Active 76 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $115,000 Active 75 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $115,000 Active 73 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $115,000 Active 71 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $115,000 Active 70 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $115,000 Active 69 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $115,000 Active 68 DOM
  16. 2026-05-19
    price $115,000
  17. 2026-03-24
    listed $120,000 Active
  18. 2022-07-25
    soldstatus Closed 298-char remark
    Show marketing remark (298 chars)

    Cozy little 3 bedroom, 2 bath home located on 3 beautiful acres just on the out skirts of West Plains. Newer vinyl flooring installed throughout living room and hallway. Richards school district. This property features a very nice clean shed that stays with the property. Fridge and stove included.

  19. 2022-05-12
    historical 298-char remark
    Show marketing remark (298 chars)

    Cozy little 3 bedroom, 2 bath home located on 3 beautiful acres just on the out skirts of West Plains. Newer vinyl flooring installed throughout living room and hallway. Richards school district. This property features a very nice clean shed that stays with the property. Fridge and stove included.

  20. 2022-05-11
    listed $90,000 298-char remark
    Show marketing remark (298 chars)

    Cozy little 3 bedroom, 2 bath home located on 3 beautiful acres just on the out skirts of West Plains. Newer vinyl flooring installed throughout living room and hallway. Richards school district. This property features a very nice clean shed that stays with the property. Fridge and stove included.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,643
− Mortgage interest
−$6,442
− Property taxes
−$1,725
− Insurance
−$575
− Repairs & maintenance
−$931
− Management
−$931
− Depreciation
−$3,345
Taxable loss
−$2,307
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$554
After-tax cash flow
$215/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Fair 45/100 Moderate rehab

This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home on 3 acres requires moderate repairs and maintenance to improve its condition and value.

Repairs flagged

  • Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
  • Minor Bathroom fixtures — Dated appearance
  • Moderate Exterior cleaning — Siding could use cleaning
  • Major Landscaping — Lack of landscaping and dirt around foundation

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting and updating kitchen cabinets — Improves appearance and functionality
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances property's visual appeal
  • Rental HVAC maintenance — Improves tenant comfort and reduces utility costs

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance Moderate $3,000–15,000
Bathroom fixtures · Dated appearance Minor $500–3,000
Exterior cleaning · Siding could use cleaning Moderate $3,000–15,000
Landscaping · Lack of landscaping and dirt around foundation Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 4 items $21,500–83,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting and updating kitchen cabinets — Improves appearance and functionality
  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal — Enhances property's visual appeal
  • Rental HVAC maintenance — Improves tenant comfort and reduces utility costs

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Richards R-V
NCES district ID
2926370
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$36,052
Composite
31.5/100
National rank
#5972
State rank
#187 of 324 in MO

Livability — West Plains

Score
77/100
State rank
#34
US rank
#2977

Category grades

Amenities D Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
24,950

Population outlook (Howell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
38,462 people
By 2030
37,240 · -3.2%
By 2040
34,495 · -10.3%
By 2050
31,450 · -18.2%
By 2075
23,660 · -38.5%
By 2100
16,373 · -57.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Portuguese 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Howell

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.2% · R 83.0%
2008→2024 swing
-36.0pp toward R · 2008: -30.8pp · 2024: -66.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.8 2020: R+64.2 2016: R+63.2 2012: R+43.8 2008: R+30.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.99%
Current HPI
228.8763
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+27.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $115,000 SOMO
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $120,000 SOMO
  • 2022-07-25 Sold (MLS) SOMO
  • 2022-05-12 Delisted SOMO
  • 2022-05-11 Listed $90,000 SOMO

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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