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12147 Lakeland Rd #32
B+ Composite 76.89
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.3/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

12147 Lakeland Rd #32 · Santa Fe Springs, CA 90670
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured · 93 Days on market
Built 1969 Est $213k · 37% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This 2-bedroom, 2-bath double-wide manufactured home is in original condition and has been well taken care of. It is located in a senior community with low space rent, offering comfort and convenience for its residents. The home is situated in Santa Fe Springs, near the border of Whittier and Norwalk, and is conveniently close to local parks, grocery stores, shopping centers, fast-food restaurants, and major freeways including the 605 and 5.

Key facts

  • Shopping centers
  • Low space rent
  • Santa fe springs

Tags

LOW SPACE RENTSANTA FE SPRINGSLOCAL PARKSGROCERY STORESSHOPPING CENTERSMAJOR FREEWAYS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot described as 0-1 unit per acre; Elevation measured in feet; Directions: spc 32 make a left then right
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Manager approval required for residency; Pets allowed with breed restrictions; Land lease ($910/month)

Exterior

  • Parking: One parking space; One covered carport space
  • Utilities: Public/District water; Sewer or septic (unknown)
  • Home design: Single-story mobile home; Mobile home remains on site; Mobile dimensions approximately 20' x 48'; Located in Lakeland Villa (park name)
  • Construction: Living area per public records; Total of 1 story; Year built per public records
  • Exterior features: Community pool; Street lighting; One shed on property

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Entry level: 1
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Interior features: First-floor entry
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Gas dryer hookup; On-site laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $123k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.4% vs local median 3.2% in Santa Fe Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 46/100 on livability (#1,285 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: employment B+; Watch: schools D, crime F, amenities F.
  • Little Lake City Elementary (suburban): math 43% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #417 of 1,400 in CA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 9d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,697 units permitted in Los Angeles County in 2024 (9,426 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Los Angeles County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 93 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $122,850 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 93 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.15%
Cap rate
18.39%
Cash-on-cash
43.21%
DSCR
2.92
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$213,120
Comps found
7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
12147 Lakeland Rd #11 0.02mi 2/2.0 960 (0%) 14mo $199,000 $207 87
12147 Lakeland Rd #62 0.02mi 2/2.0 943 (-2%) 14mo $265,000 $281 84
12147 Lakeland #9 0.02mi 2/2.0 880 (-8%) 3mo $195,000 $222 83
12147 Lakeland Rd #19 0.02mi 2/2.0 960 (0%) 20mo $180,000 $188 82
12147 Lakeland #57 0.02mi 2/2.0 908 (-5%) 20mo $195,000 $215 73
12147 Lakeland Rd #12 0.02mi 2/2.0 880 (-8%) 19mo $220,000 $250 70
12147 Lakeland Rd #67 0.02mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (+10%) 14mo $319,000 $302 66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
40.1%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$64,861
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
46.4%
Equity multiple
5.45×
Total profit
$168,290
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 90670

Active inventory
14
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,904 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$610
Net cashflow
$1,361

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,181
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,454 -5% $1,408 +0% $1,361 +5% $1,315 +10% $1,268
Rent -10% $1,132 -5% $1,246 +0% $1,361 +5% $1,476 +10% $1,591
Rate -1.0pp $1,429 -0.5pp $1,396 base $1,361 +0.5pp $1,326 +1.0pp $1,291

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
11850 Florence Ave Santa Fe Springs, CA 2.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1050 $2,545 $2.42 0d 4 0.39mi
12257 Heritage Springs Dr Santa Fe Springs, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 881 $3,517 $3.99 0d 9 0.53mi
11816 Arlee Ave Norwalk, CA 3.0 1.0 972 $3,600 $3.70 0d 1 0.73mi
10142 Flallon Ave Santa Fe Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1035 $3,300 $3.19 0d 1 1.09mi
10539 Gridley Rd Santa Fe Springs, CA 3.0 1.0 1058 $3,750 $3.54 11d 1 1.09mi
12128 Imperial Hwy Unit 13 Norwalk, CA 2.0 1.0 810 $2,400 $2.96 45d 1 1.13mi
12128 Imperial Hwy Unit 9 Norwalk, CA 2.0 1.0 810 $2,500 $3.09 45d 1 1.14mi
12016 Imperial Hwy Norwalk, CA 1.0 1.0 525 $2,050 $3.90 8d 1 1.14mi
12634 Kalnor Ave Norwalk, CA 1.0 1.0 700 $2,095 $2.99 45d 1 1.17mi
12634 Kalnor Ave Unit 13 Norwalk, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $2,600 $3.71 8d 1 1.17mi
12721 Kalnor Ave Unit 3 Norwalk, CA 2.0 1.5 870 $2,325 $2.67 7d 1 1.24mi
12721 Kalnor Ave Unit 12721-3 Norwalk, CA 2.0 1.5 870 $2,325 $2.67 14d 1 1.24mi
12809 Kalnor Ave Norwalk, CA 1.0 1.0 640 $1,925 $3.01 45d 1 1.31mi
12700 Bloomfield Ave Norwalk, CA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 901 $3,393 $3.76 0d 9 1.35mi
11615 Firestone Blvd Norwalk, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 880 $2,845 $3.23 0d 6 1.39mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,000 Active 93 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 90 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 89 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 88 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 87 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 85 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 84 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 81 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 80 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 79 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $135,000 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 75 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 74 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 73 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 72 DOM
  16. 2026-05-01
    status Active
  17. 2026-04-01
    status Active
  18. 2026-03-01
    status Active
  19. 2026-02-01
    status Active
  20. 2025-12-29
    status Active
  21. 2025-11-22
    status Active
  22. 2025-11-17
    listed $135,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$34,847
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,025
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,788
− Management
−$2,788
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$15,082
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,620
After-tax cash flow
$12,714/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Little Lake City Elementary
NCES district ID
0621930
Math proficiency
43% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$65,748
Composite
45.88/100
National rank
#5552
State rank
#417 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Santa Fe Springs

Score
46/100
State rank
#1285
US rank
#26499

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime F Employment B+ Housing C+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Santa Fe Springs, CA
County
Los Angeles County · 9,444,647 people
City population
17,851
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
Population (ZIP)
17,851
Household income
$88,872
Rent vs Own
37.2% rent · 62.8% own
Severe rent burden
477.0

Population outlook (Los Angeles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
10,940,515 people
By 2030
11,256,481 · +2.9%
By 2040
11,729,929 · +7.2%
By 2050
11,948,407 · +9.2%
By 2075
11,818,114 · +8.0%
By 2100
10,842,928 · -0.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (76%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 76% Two or more races 21% White 9% Asian 8% Native American 2% Pacific Islander 2% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 63% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% British 1%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
47% English-only · Spanish 44% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Korean 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Los Angeles

2024 margin
Solid D (+32.9) · D 64.8% · R 31.9% · Other 3.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.4pp toward R · 2008: 40.4pp · 2024: 32.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+32.9 2020: D+44.2 2016: D+48.0 2012: D+40.0 2008: D+40.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -478.15%
Current HPI
443.7107
Rent YoY
Metro
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-03-01 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2026-02-01 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2025-12-29 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2025-11-22 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2025-11-17 Listed $135,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…