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7885 Lake Fourteen Rd
B- Composite 66.58
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +26.1/30.0
  • DSCR +8.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$71,400

7885 Lake Fourteen Rd · Mountain Iron, MN 55710
2 bd · None ba · 560 sqft · Other public records · 30 Days on market
Built 2014 2.00 ac lot ↓ 5% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

ESCAPE TO YOUR PRIVATE WILDERNESS RETREAT Discover the perfect off-grid getaway at 7885 Lake Fourteen Rd! This charming 2014-built cabin offers the ultimate escape from the everyday hustle, nestled on 2 private acres at the end of the road where tranquility reigns supreme. What makes this special: ? Complete Privacy - End of road location ensures peaceful solitude ? Adventure at Your Doorstep - Hundreds of acres of public land nearby for endless exploration ? Trail Access Paradise - Close proximity to the renowned Taconite Trail system for ATV and snowmobile enthusiasts ? Cozy Comfort - 2 bedrooms, wood stove for warmth, authentic outhouse experience ? Off-Grid Living - No utilities means true disconnect and lower costs ? Wildlife Haven - Surrounded by nature's beauty and abundant wildlife Whether you're seeking a hunting cabin, weekend retreat, or investment property, this gem delivers authentic Minnesota wilderness living. Perfect for those who appreciate the simple pleasures of life and crave adventure in their backyard.

Key facts

  • Off-grid living
  • Complete privacy
  • Wildlife haven

Tags

PRIVATE WILDERNESS RETREATCOMPLETE PRIVACYTRAIL ACCESS PARADISEOFF-GRID LIVINGWILDLIFE HAVEN

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 2.003 acres (dimensions ~300x320); No outlet/dead end road frontage; paved streets; township road; Publicly maintained road; Above-grade living area listed as 560 square feet

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking; Open parking; RV access/parking
  • Utilities: No municipal water (none); Outhouse sewer; Electric service (other); Propane fuel
  • Home design: Residential property; One story; Entry level on main floor; Metal roof (over 8 years old); Frame construction
  • Construction: Built on pier/pillar/post foundation; Foundation dimensions approximately 20x28; Frame construction; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Deck; No fencing; Property adjoins public land; Heavy tree coverage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range
  • Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: Other (no detailed bathroom description provided)
  • Heating & cooling: Wood stove heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Dining area integrated with kitchen; Free-standing wood-burning stove/fireplace (wood burning stove)
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups (none)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/?-bath other listed at $71k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $179 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($799 rent vs $71k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#266 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Mountain Iron-Buhl School District (town): math 36% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #196 of 301 in MN (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 10 active listings in the ZIP; 639 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($494 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $70,329 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
9.30%
Cash-on-cash
10.74%
DSCR
1.48
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.5% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
13.8%
Equity multiple
1.72×
Total profit
$14,491
Equity at exit
$26,256
10-year hold
IRR
16.9%
Equity multiple
3.14×
Total profit
$42,877
Equity at exit
$36,396

Cash invested: $19,992 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55710

Home prices YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
10
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$799 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$374
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $572/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$168
Net cashflow
$179

Break-even live

Break-even rent $572
Max offer price $71,400
Occupancy floor 73%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $219 -5% $199 +0% $179 +5% $159 +10% $139
Rent -10% $116 -5% $147 +0% $179 +5% $211 +10% $242
Rate -1.0pp $215 -0.5pp $197 base $179 +0.5pp $161 +1.0pp $142

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,850
Closing costs
$2,142
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 25 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $71,400 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $71,400 Active 29 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $71,400 Active 28 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $71,400 Active 27 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $71,400 Active 26 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $71,400 Active 24 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $71,400 Active 23 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $71,400 Active 21 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $71,400 Active 20 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $71,400 Active 19 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $71,400 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $71,400 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $71,400 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $71,400 Active 11 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $71,400 Active 10 DOM
  16. 2026-05-20
    listed $71,400 Active 1039-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1039 chars)

    ESCAPE TO YOUR PRIVATE WILDERNESS RETREAT Discover the perfect off-grid getaway at 7885 Lake Fourteen Rd! This charming 2014-built cabin offers the ultimate escape from the everyday hustle, nestled on 2 private acres at the end of the road where tranquility reigns supreme. What makes this special: ? Complete Privacy - End of road location ensures peaceful solitude ? Adventure at Your Doorstep - Hundreds of acres of public land nearby for endless exploration ? Trail Access Paradise - Close proximity to the renowned Taconite Trail system for ATV and snowmobile enthusiasts ? Cozy Comfort - 2 bedrooms, wood stove for warmth, authentic outhouse experience ? Off-Grid Living - No utilities means true disconnect and lower costs ? Wildlife Haven - Surrounded by nature's beauty and abundant wildlife Whether you're seeking a hunting cabin, weekend retreat, or investment property, this gem delivers authentic Minnesota wilderness living. Perfect for those who appreciate the simple pleasures of life and crave adventure in their backyard.

  17. 2026-05-20
    listed $71,400 Active 1069-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1039 chars)

    ESCAPE TO YOUR PRIVATE WILDERNESS RETREAT Discover the perfect off-grid getaway at 7885 Lake Fourteen Rd! This charming 2014-built cabin offers the ultimate escape from the everyday hustle, nestled on 2 private acres at the end of the road where tranquility reigns supreme. What makes this special: ? Complete Privacy - End of road location ensures peaceful solitude ? Adventure at Your Doorstep - Hundreds of acres of public land nearby for endless exploration ? Trail Access Paradise - Close proximity to the renowned Taconite Trail system for ATV and snowmobile enthusiasts ? Cozy Comfort - 2 bedrooms, wood stove for warmth, authentic outhouse experience ? Off-Grid Living - No utilities means true disconnect and lower costs ? Wildlife Haven - Surrounded by nature's beauty and abundant wildlife Whether you're seeking a hunting cabin, weekend retreat, or investment property, this gem delivers authentic Minnesota wilderness living. Perfect for those who appreciate the simple pleasures of life and crave adventure in their backyard.

  18. 2026-05-20
    listed $71,400 Active 1039-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1039 chars)

    ESCAPE TO YOUR PRIVATE WILDERNESS RETREAT Discover the perfect off-grid getaway at 7885 Lake Fourteen Rd! This charming 2014-built cabin offers the ultimate escape from the everyday hustle, nestled on 2 private acres at the end of the road where tranquility reigns supreme. What makes this special: ? Complete Privacy - End of road location ensures peaceful solitude ? Adventure at Your Doorstep - Hundreds of acres of public land nearby for endless exploration ? Trail Access Paradise - Close proximity to the renowned Taconite Trail system for ATV and snowmobile enthusiasts ? Cozy Comfort - 2 bedrooms, wood stove for warmth, authentic outhouse experience ? Off-Grid Living - No utilities means true disconnect and lower costs ? Wildlife Haven - Surrounded by nature's beauty and abundant wildlife Whether you're seeking a hunting cabin, weekend retreat, or investment property, this gem delivers authentic Minnesota wilderness living. Perfect for those who appreciate the simple pleasures of life and crave adventure in their backyard.

  19. 2025-12-26
    historical
  20. 2025-12-25
    historical
  21. 2025-11-11
    price $71,400
  22. 2025-11-11
    price $71,400
  23. 2025-11-11
    price $71,400
  24. 2025-08-28
    listed $74,900 Active
  25. 2025-08-28
    listed $74,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$572 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$686 · $57/mo
Expected delta
+$114/yr (+$9/mo · 19.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,583
− Mortgage interest
−$4,000
− Property taxes
−$572
− Insurance
−$357
− Repairs & maintenance
−$767
− Management
−$767
− Depreciation
−$2,077
Taxable income
$1,044
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$251
After-tax cash flow
$1,898/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mountain Iron-Buhl School District
NCES district ID
2700001
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$46,501
Composite
37.01/100
National rank
#4519
State rank
#196 of 301 in MN

Livability — Mountain Iron

Score
72/100
State rank
#266
US rank
#5807

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
2,791
Population (ZIP)
1,391

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
202,411 people
By 2030
203,234 · +0.4%
By 2040
202,520 · +0.1%
By 2050
200,853 · -0.8%
By 2075
200,943 · -0.7%
By 2100
192,058 · -5.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 9% Italian 3% German 3%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
D (+13.7) · D 55.9% · R 42.2% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-18.8pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 13.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+13.7 2020: D+15.6 2016: D+11.8 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+32.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.50%
Current HPI
195.8182
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $71,400 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $71,400 LSAR
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $71,400 WWRA
  • 2025-12-26 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-25 Listing Removed WWRA
  • 2025-11-11 Price Changed $71,400 WWRA
  • 2025-11-11 Price Changed $71,400 RAOR
  • 2025-11-11 Price Changed $71,400 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-28 Listed $74,900 WWRA
  • 2025-08-28 Listed $74,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+23.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $572 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…