279 Richmond Farm Cir · Lexington, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- ARV discount +6.9/15.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nestled in the sought-after Richmond Farms community, this charming 4-bedroom, 2.5-bath home offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience. Inside, you'll find a bright, functional floor plan with luxury vinyl plank flooring, spacious living areas, and an inviting eat-in kitchen. The private primary suite features a walk-in closet and en-suite bath, while three additional bedrooms provide flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Situated on a generous lot with a large backyard, this home is ideal for outdoor enjoyment. Residents also enjoy access to neighborhood amenities including a pool, clubhouse, and playground, all within the highly regarded Lexington school district. Di
Key facts
- Walk-in closet
- Large backyard
- Eat-in kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Community association with amenities including common area maintenance, playground, and pool
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story home; Vinyl exterior
- Construction: Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Patio; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Formica countertops; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave above stove; Smooth surface range
- Bedrooms: Master suite with private bath, walk-in closet, tub/shower, ceiling fan, and carpeted floors (Second level); Bedroom 2 with shared bath, walk-in closet, ceiling fan, and carpeted floors (Second level); Bedroom 3 with shared bath, private closet, and carpeted floors (Second level); Bedroom 4 with shared bath, private closet, and carpeted floors (Second level)
- Flooring: Carpet in bedrooms; Luxury vinyl plank in formal living room and kitchen
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One partial bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Gas heating on both first and second levels
- Interior features: Luxury vinyl plank flooring in formal living room and kitchen; Heated laundry space; Smooth surface range; Gas water heater
- Laundry & utility: Heated laundry area (washer/dryer level: Second); Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-3 ($-41/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $249k (0.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (21.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $197k (21.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#8 in SC, #1,502 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A; Watch: commute F.
- Lexington 01 (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #11 of 80 in SC (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Rocky Creek Elementary (math 56% / reading 54%, grade C, #119 of 597 statewide, top 20%, 863 students, 18% FRL); Lexington High (math 69% / reading 92%, grade A, #23 of 196 statewide, top 11%, 2,410 students, 17% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 68% at this address vs 48% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Lexington 01 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $70k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $150k; list at $250k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.79% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.06%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 10.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $246,600
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 129 Dawson Hill Ln | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 | 1,644 (0%) | 5mo | $234,000 | $142 | 94 |
| 353 Hollingsworth Ln | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,505 (-8%) | 7mo | $225,000 | $150 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.43×
- Total profit
- $29,810
- Equity at exit
- $112,366
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.52×
- Total profit
- $106,365
- Equity at exit
- $173,169
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29072-0000
- Active inventory
- 11
- Price-to-rent
- 10.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,967 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$105 /mo · $1,254/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$38
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $-3
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $138 | -5% $67 | +0% $-3 | +5% $-74 | +10% $-145 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-159 | -5% $-81 | +0% $-3 | +5% $74 | +10% $152 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $122 | -0.5pp $60 | base $-3 | +0.5pp $-68 | +1.0pp $-134 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 926 Dawsons Park Way Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1468 | $1,879 | $1.28 | 15d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 759 Dawsons Park Way Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1468 | $1,869 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 333 Canary Grass Ct Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1672 | $1,950 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 142 Jeremiah Rd Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2094 | $2,133 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 421 Hosea Ct Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1861 | $1,950 | $1.05 | 4d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 409 Hosea Ct Lexington, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1861 | $2,095 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $38 · $456/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $249,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-16$249,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,254 · $105/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,424 · $119/mo
- Expected delta
- +$170/yr (+$14/mo · 13.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,601
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$1,254
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,888
- − Management
- −$1,888
- − HOA
- −$456
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$4,403
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,057
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,015/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lexington 01
- NCES district ID
- 4502700
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,298
- Composite
- 41.75/100
- National rank
- #3399
- State rank
- #11 of 80 in SC
Livability — Lexington
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #8
- US rank
- #1502
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
No demographic data for this ZIP.
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- —
- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+66.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Listed $249,900 Consolidated MLS
- 2021-10-07 Delisted — Consolidated MLS
- 2021-10-02 Listed $210,000 Consolidated MLS
- 2021-08-26 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-5.8%/yrLatest (2024): $1,254 · +4.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…