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B+ Composite 78.42
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$49,900

69 Duane St · Malone, NY 12953
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,312 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 58 Days on market
Built 1920 10,018 sqft lot $38/sqft · 54% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Opportunity awaits at this spacious home located on a quiet street in the Village of Malone. Situated at 69 Duane Street, this property offers solid potential for buyers looking to renovate and build equity. With generous living space and a traditional layout, the home provides a great foundation for updates and customization. The property features multiple bedrooms, ample living areas, and a sizable lot that allows for outdoor enjoyment, gardening, or additional improvements. Original character can be found throughout the home, offering the perfect canvas for someone with vision to restore and modernize the space. Conveniently located close to local shops, schools, parks, and amenities i

Key facts

  • Close to schools
  • Multiple bedrooms
  • Ample living areas

Tags

SIZABLE LOTMULTIPLE BEDROOMSAMPLE LIVING AREASORIGINAL CHARACTERCLOSE TO LOCAL SHOPSCLOSE TO SCHOOLS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $410 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 16.2% vs local median 5.2% in Malone — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#437 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D+, crime D-.
  • Malone Central School District (town): math 27% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #581 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 124 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Franklin County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 58 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 4.1% of price; built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $48,403 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 58 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.18%
Cap rate
16.16%
Cash-on-cash
35.22%
DSCR
2.57
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$109,439
List price
$49,900
Delta
-54.40%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
18 Willson St 0.25mi 4/2.0 1,428 (+9%) 6mo $170,000 $119 64
4 Scott Dr 0.40mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,232 (-6%) 3mo $161,000 $131 64
47 Edward St 0.71mi 4/2.0 1,312 (0%) 3mo $120,000 $91 60
117 Duane Street St 0.15mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,158 (-12%) 12mo $82,000 $71 59
45 Edward St 0.71mi 4/1.0 1,248 (-5%) 1mo $115,000 $92 58
14 South St 0.31mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,133 (-14%) 6mo $91,000 $80 53
27 Front st St 0.35mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,208 (-8%) 12mo $38,000 $31 52
43 Branch St St 0.41mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,176 (-10%) 12mo $125,000 $106 48
8 Spaulding Ave Ave 0.51mi 4/1.0 1,490 (+14%) 7mo $67,000 $45 48
72 Wellington St 0.42mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,188 (-10%) 15mo $118,453 $100 47
6 Woodward St St 0.53mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,160 (-12%) 3mo $130,000 $112 46
12 Spaulding Ave. Ave 0.52mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,156 (-12%) 5mo $69,500 $60 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
51.4%
Equity multiple
4.82×
Total profit
$53,380
Equity at exit
$44,954
10-year hold
IRR
45.0%
Equity multiple
10.79×
Total profit
$136,815
Equity at exit
$96,945

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12953

Home prices YoY
7.2%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,090 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$169 /mo · $2,023/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$229
Net cashflow
$410

Break-even live

Break-even rent $571
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 57%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $438 -5% $424 +0% $410 +5% $396 +10% $382
Rent -10% $324 -5% $367 +0% $410 +5% $453 +10% $496
Rate -1.0pp $435 -0.5pp $423 base $410 +0.5pp $397 +1.0pp $384

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 1 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    pricestatusdays on market $49,900 Active 58 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,023 · $169/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,023 · $169/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,081
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$2,023
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,047
− Management
−$1,047
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$4,469
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,073
After-tax cash flow
$3,849/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Malone Central School District
NCES district ID
3618180
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$46,681
Composite
24.23/100
National rank
#7725
State rank
#581 of 590 in NY

Livability — Malone

Score
70/100
State rank
#437
US rank
#7656

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Malone, NY
Population (ZIP)
12,842

Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
48,098 people
By 2030
46,790 · -2.7%
By 2040
44,400 · -7.7%
By 2050
41,256 · -14.2%
By 2075
32,190 · -33.1%
By 2100
23,407 · -51.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 16% Slovak 5% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Franklin

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 45.5% · R 54.5%
2008→2024 swing
-31.2pp toward R · 2008: 22.2pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+2.2 2016: R+7.4 2012: D+26.3 2008: D+22.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 17.73%
Current HPI
263.2406
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Property tax history

+0.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,023 · -0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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