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603 E Chestnut St
B- Composite 67.66
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$50,000

603 E Chestnut St · Gillespie, IL 62033
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,124 sqft · SingleFamily · 17 Days on market
Built 1940 10,798 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor or Handyman Opportunity! Bring your vision and finishing touches to this promising property. This home is a blank slate and has already seen several major improvements and is ready for completion. The current layout is designed for 3 bedrooms and 1.5 bathrooms, offering plenty of potential for a homeowner or investor. Recent updates include a new roof, black soffit, new windows, and the start of electrical upgrades. New siding has been installed and only requires finishing work. Situated on two lots, the property features a spacious yard with room to enjoy or expand. As an added bonus, many of the building materials already purchased for the renovation will be included with the sal

Key facts

  • Spacious yard
  • Two lots
  • New siding

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW WINDOWSNEW SIDINGSPACIOUS YARDTWO LOTS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric: Other
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Architectural shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Corner lot; Few trees on the lot

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total; 2 bedrooms on the main level; 1 bedroom on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
  • Interior features: One and one-half story layout; Estimated above-grade finished area of 1,124

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $455 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($994 rent vs $50k).
  • Recommended offer: $49k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#261 in IL, #4,848 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute D-, employment F.
  • Gillespie CUSD 7 (town): math 14% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #485 of 620 in IL (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Gillespie High School (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #187 of 693 statewide, top 30%, 340 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 30% at this address vs 17% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Gillespie CUSD 7 average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 70 units permitted in Macoupin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macoupin County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($49k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $49,250 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.99%
Cap rate
17.21%
Cash-on-cash
39.00%
DSCR
2.74
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$131,508
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
422 E Elm St 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,140 (+1%) 9mo $70,000 $61 68
503 Henry St 0.52mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+7%) 5mo $160,000 $133 58
708 Madison St 0.61mi 3/2.0 1,180 (+5%) 7mo $149,900 $127 56
422 Henry St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-2%) 22mo $129,000 $117 54
803 S Madison St 0.63mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+7%) 12mo $21,000 $18 47
708 Springfield Rd 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+7%) 15mo $159,000 $133 46
811 Adams St 0.67mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (-11%) 1mo $115,000 $115 42
411 W Chestnut St 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,092 (-3%) 23mo $19,900 $18 39
414 W Walnut 0.66mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,060 (-6%) 20mo $27,500 $26 38
300 W Maple St 0.64mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,032 (-8%) 21mo $124,800 $121 34
211 W Baker St 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,010 (-10%) 18mo $50,000 $50 32
400 E Broadway 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 988 (-12%) 13mo $124,900 $126 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
35.2%
Equity multiple
2.49×
Total profit
$20,880
Equity at exit
$7,455
10-year hold
IRR
42.0%
Equity multiple
4.97×
Total profit
$55,518
Equity at exit
$4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62033

Home prices YoY
-25.4%
Active inventory
21
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$994 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $571/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$209
Net cashflow
$455

Break-even live

Break-even rent $419
Max offer price $50,000
Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,500
Closing costs
$1,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $50,000 Active 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $50,000 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $50,000 Active 15 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $50,000 Active 14 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $50,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $50,000 Active 11 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $50,000 Active 8 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $50,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $50,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $50,000 Active 4 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $50,000 Active 2 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    remarks 699-char remark
  13. 2026-06-02
    listed $50,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$571 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$853 · $71/mo
Expected delta
+$282/yr (+$23/mo · 49.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,934
− Mortgage interest
−$2,801
− Property taxes
−$571
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$955
− Management
−$955
− Depreciation
−$1,455
Taxable income
$4,947
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,187
After-tax cash flow
$4,272/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gillespie CUSD 7
NCES district ID
1716680
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -19.00%
Median HH income
$41,399
Composite
14.59/100
National rank
#9413
State rank
#485 of 620 in IL

Livability — Gillespie

Score
74/100
State rank
#261
US rank
#4848

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D- Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gillespie, IL
Population (ZIP)
4,398

Population outlook (Macoupin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
42,867 people
By 2030
40,796 · -4.8%
By 2040
36,135 · -15.7%
By 2050
31,469 · -26.6%
By 2075
22,102 · -48.4%
By 2100
15,380 · -64.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Macoupin

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.2) · D 29.4% · R 68.7% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-49.0pp toward R · 2008: 9.8pp · 2024: -39.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.2 2020: R+36.5 2016: R+35.0 2012: R+7.0 2008: D+9.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -46.59%
Current HPI
136.9671
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $50,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-7.1%/yr

Latest (2024): $571 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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