22359 Cedar Dr #118 · Channahon, IL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.2/10.0
$172,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Largest Corner Lot | 55+ Community | Walk-In Pantry | Samsung Smart Appliances Claim one of the most desirable homesites in Remington Woods. This brand-new 1,568 sq. ft. ranch-style home sits on the community's largest corner lot, giving you exceptional outdoor space and incredible flexibility for a future garage. Step inside to a bright, expansive open floor plan designed for easy everyday living and entertaining. The great room flows directly into the designer kitchen and dining area, creating one large, connected living space. At the center of the kitchen is an oversized island with seating for four, upgraded pendant lighting and generous prep space.
Key facts
- Samsung appliances
- Largest corner lot
- Walk-in pantry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $172k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $546 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $172k).
- Recommended offer: $162k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 3.8% in Channahon — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#143 in IL, #2,614 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Minooka Chsd 111 (suburban): math 28% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #187 of 620 in IL (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Troy Heritage Trail School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #940 of 2,056 statewide, top 49%, 422 students, 0% FRL); Troy Middle School (math 36% / reading 42%, grade F, #151 of 665 statewide, top 23%, 912 students, 0% FRL); Minooka Community High School (math 28% / reading 36%, grade F, #157 of 693 statewide, top 25%, 2,930 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 2,028 units permitted in Will County in 2024 (530 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Will County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $48k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.28% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.56%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $320,797
- List price
- $172,500
- Delta
- -46.23%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22318 S Deal Ave | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,589 (+1%) | 15mo | $285,000 | $179 | 48 |
| 22524 S Deal Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-11%) | 12mo | $285,000 | $204 | 41 |
| 22419 S Joseph Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,704 (+9%) | 13mo | $255,000 | $150 | 41 |
| 22823 S Michael Dr | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,728 (+10%) | 18mo | $405,000 | $234 | 31 |
| 22429 S Deal Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,742 (+11%) | 23mo | $335,000 | $192 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $6,849
- Equity at exit
- $25,720
- IRR
- 13.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.05×
- Total profit
- $50,868
- Equity at exit
- $14,915
Cash invested: $48,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 8 active · 6 under contract
- Months of supply
- 9.6 mo (10%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $173,750 ($121/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 94 d
- This list price
- 50% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +69.3% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 60410
- Home prices YoY
- -3.2%
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 6.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$905
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$216 /mo · $2,588/yr
- Insurance
- −$72
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$462
- Net cashflow
- $546
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $665 | -5% $605 | +0% $546 | +5% $486 | +10% $427 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $372 | -5% $459 | +0% $546 | +5% $633 | +10% $720 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $633 | -0.5pp $590 | base $546 | +0.5pp $501 | +1.0pp $456 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,125
- Closing costs
- $5,175
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22451 S Carrie Ave Channahon, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $2,200 | $1.87 | 148d | 1 | 0.83mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Address: 22359 Cedar Dr #118, Channahon, IL 60410Listing status: Active
- Financial info
- List price $175000
Exterior
- Parking
- 2 parking spaces (total)
- Utilities
- Has heatingHas cooling
- Home design
- Spec home from the Remington Woods plan
- Construction
- Living area 1568
- Exterior features
- Asphalt and shake roof
Interior
- Kitchen
- Includes refrigeratorIncludes dishwasher
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling
- Heating: Electric and Natural Gas with forced airCooling: Central air and ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features
- RefrigeratorDishwasher
Listing history 50 events
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2026-11-08days on market $172,500 Active 74 DOM
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2026-11-07days on market $172,500 Active 73 DOM
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2026-11-06days on market $172,500 Active 72 DOM
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2026-11-05days on market $172,500 Active 71 DOM
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2026-11-04days on market $172,500 Active 70 DOM
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2026-11-02days on market $172,500 Active 68 DOM
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2026-11-01days on market $172,500 Active 67 DOM
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2026-10-31days on market $172,500 Active 66 DOM
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2026-10-30days on market $172,500 Active 65 DOM
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2026-10-29days on market $172,500 Active 64 DOM
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2026-10-28days on market $172,500 Active 63 DOM
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2026-10-27days on market $172,500 Active 62 DOM
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2026-10-26days on market $172,500 Active 61 DOM
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2026-10-25days on market $172,500 Active 60 DOM
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2026-10-24days on market $172,500 Active 59 DOM
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2026-10-23days on market $172,500 Active 58 DOM
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2026-10-22days on market $172,500 Active 57 DOM
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2026-10-21days on market $172,500 Active 56 DOM
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2026-10-20days on market $172,500 Active 55 DOM
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2026-10-19days on market $172,500 Active 54 DOM
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2026-10-18days on market $172,500 Active 53 DOM
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2026-10-17days on market $172,500 Active 52 DOM
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2026-10-16days on market $172,500 Active 51 DOM
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2026-10-15pricedays on market $172,500 Active 50 DOM
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2026-10-14days on market $175,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-10-13days on market $175,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-10-12days on market $175,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-10-11days on market $175,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-10-10days on market $175,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-10-09days on market $175,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-10-08days on market $175,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-10-07days on market $175,000 Active 42 DOM
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2026-10-06days on market $175,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-10-05days on market $175,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-10-04days on market $175,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-10-03days on market $175,000 Active 38 DOM
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2026-10-02days on market $175,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-10-01days on market $175,000 Active 36 DOM
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2026-09-30days on market $175,000 Active 35 DOM
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2026-09-29days on market $175,000 Active 34 DOM
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2026-09-28days on market $175,000 Active 33 DOM
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2026-09-27days on market $175,000 Active 32 DOM
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2026-09-26days on market $175,000 Active 31 DOM
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2026-09-25days on market $175,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-09-24days on market $175,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-09-23days on market $175,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-09-22days on market $175,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $175,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-09-20days on market $175,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-09-19days on market $175,000 Active 24 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,663
- − Property taxes
- −$2,588
- − Insurance
- −$862
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,112
- − Management
- −$2,112
- − Depreciation
- −$5,018
- Taxable income
- $4,045
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$971
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,580/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This corner lot home in Remington Woods is in good condition with a modern kitchen and fresh paint. It offers a spacious floor plan and a well-maintained exterior. Potential buyers or renters would appreciate landscaping and smart home improvements.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances the home's curb appeal and can attract more buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Add a smart home system — Improves convenience and can be a selling point for potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Add a smart thermostat — Enhances energy efficiency and can be a selling point for potential buyers or renters. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Minooka Chsd 111
- NCES district ID
- 1726340
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $81,260
- Composite
- 30.82/100
- National rank
- #6138
- State rank
- #187 of 620 in IL
Livability — Channahon
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #143
- US rank
- #2614
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Channahon, IL
- County
- Will · 705,368 people
- City population
- 14,027
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,027
- Household income
- $120,278
- Rent vs Own
Population outlook (Will County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 705,368 people
- By 2030
- 708,154 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 702,692 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 680,249 · -3.6%
- By 2075
- 611,990 · -13.2%
- By 2100
- 516,215 · -26.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Will
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.1% · R 48.5% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: 13.2pp · 2024: 1.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.6 2020: D+8.3 2016: D+5.7 2012: D+3.7 2008: D+13.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.58%
- Current HPI
- 227.2488
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…