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1158 Nanticoke St
B Composite 74.56
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.2/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$109,990

1158 Nanticoke St · Baltimore, MD 21230
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,032 sqft · Townhouse public records · 63 Days on market
Built 1900 $107/sqft · 38% below area Est $177k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity in the heart of Pigtown/Washington Village! This brick townhouse located on desirable Nanticoke St is ready for a full renovation. Ideal for investors looking to flip or add to their rental portfolio. Potential to configure as a 2BR/2.5BA or expand to a 3BR/3.5BA by finishing the basement. Prime location with close proximity to M & T Bank Stadium, Camden Yards, Horseshoe Casino, the Inner Harbor, and easy access to I-95 and I-895. Sold strictly as-is.

Key facts

  • Easy access to i-95
  • Brick townhouse
  • Full renovation

Tags

BRICK TOWNHOUSEFULL RENOVATIONDESIRABLE NANTICOKE STPRIME LOCATIONEASY ACCESS TO I-95EASY ACCESS TO I-895

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $628 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 6.0% in Baltimore — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
  • Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 362 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $760 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 63 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $84k; 32% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $103,390 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 63 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.70%
Cap rate
13.14%
Cash-on-cash
24.46%
DSCR
2.09
GRM
4.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$176,677
List price
$109,990
Delta
-37.75%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1121 Cleveland St 0.05mi 2/1.0 912 (-12%) 2mo $109,900 $121 77
1125 Bayard St 0.30mi 1/2.0 (-1) 1,032 (0%) 0mo $120,000 $116 77
915 Washington Blvd 0.15mi 2/1.5 1,142 (+11%) 2mo $197,500 $173 72
703 Dover St 0.45mi 2/2.0 1,008 (-2%) 1mo $225,000 $223 71
1145 W Cross St 0.08mi 2/1.5 1,172 (+14%) 2mo $121,900 $104 70
1226 W Pratt St 0.47mi 2/1.5 1,000 (-3%) 2mo $80,000 $80 69
1244 Carroll St 0.13mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,140 (+10%) 0mo $213,900 $188 69
1133 Sargeant St 0.18mi 2/1.5 912 (-12%) 2mo $67,500 $74 68
538 Eislen St 0.46mi 2/1.0 1,170 (+13%) 1mo $345,000 $295 56
1607 Lemmon St 0.70mi 1/1.0 (-1) 974 (-6%) 1mo $20,000 $21 52
1404 Lemmon St 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (+7%) 1mo $189,000 $172 52
640 Dover St 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 936 (-9%) 2mo $220,000 $235 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.2%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$16,753
Equity at exit
$16,400
10-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
2.47×
Total profit
$45,196
Equity at exit
$9,510

Cash invested: $30,797 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City Baltimore
12 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+58
Just-cause for tenancies > 1 yr.

ZIP-level market 21230

Rents YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
362
Price-to-rent
4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,874 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$230 /mo · $2,758/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$393
Net cashflow
$628

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,079
Max offer price $109,990
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,498
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1132 Nanticoke St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1500 $1,875 $1.25 24d 1 0.01mi
853 Reinhart St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 780 $1,800 $2.31 43d 1 0.10mi
1205 Cleveland St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1232 $1,900 $1.54 43d 1 0.11mi
508 Wyeth St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1234 $1,850 $1.50 43d 1 0.13mi
709 Scott St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1448 $2,500 $1.73 14d 1 0.14mi
709 Scott St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1448 $2,500 $1.73 24d 1 0.14mi
1163 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.5 1012 $1,700 $1.68 12d 1 0.15mi
1125 Wicomico St Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1068 $1,955 $1.83 24d 1 0.15mi
805 Washington Blvd Unit B Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1106 $1,650 $1.49 20d 1 0.17mi
805 Washington Blvd Unit A Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1050 $1,650 $1.57 43d 1 0.17mi
1160 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 960 $1,575 $1.64 24d 1 0.17mi
519 Scott St Unit 1 Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 800 $2,000 $2.50 43d 1 0.17mi
1127 Sargeant St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1080 $1,275 $1.18 24d 1 0.18mi
1108 Sterrett St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1400 $2,300 $1.64 24d 1 0.20mi
1243 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1148 $1,950 $1.70 43d 1 0.20mi
1142 Sargeant St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1080 $1,601 $1.48 2d 1 0.20mi
776 Washington Blvd Unit 3F Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 43d 1 0.20mi
1259 Washington Blvd Baltimore, MD 3.0 3.0 1232 $2,999 $2.43 4d 1 0.21mi
1253 Sargeant St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,695 $1.41 24d 1 0.23mi
1215 James St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 960 $1,500 $1.56 43d 1 0.24mi
1127 S Carey St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1340 $1,900 $1.42 4d 1 0.25mi
847 McHenry St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 952 $1,795 $1.89 4d 1 0.25mi
923 McHenry St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1008 $1,625 $1.61 43d 1 0.26mi
812 S Paca St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 990 $1,500 $1.52 12d 1 0.27mi
1101 S Carey St Baltimore, MD 2.0 2.0 1400 $1,200 $0.86 22d 1 0.27mi
1303 James St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1160 $1,350 $1.16 24d 1 0.30mi
1262 Glyndon Ave Baltimore, MD 2.0 3.0 1258 $1,850 $1.47 24d 1 0.31mi
748 McHenry St Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.0 1288 $2,100 $1.63 4d 1 0.32mi
638 S Paca St Unit 2404866494 Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.5 1100 $2,200 $2.00 43d 1 0.34mi
1432 Carroll St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 912 $1,900 $2.08 43d 1 0.35mi
913 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1452 $1,600 $1.10 24d 1 0.40mi
725 W Pratt St Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.0 584 $1,925 $3.29 10d 9 0.41mi
656 Portland St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.5 1300 $1,950 $1.50 43d 1 0.42mi
657 Dover St Baltimore, MD 1.0 2.0 1080 $1,400 $1.30 12d 1 0.43mi
653 Dover St Baltimore, MD 1.0 1.5 936 $1,500 $1.60 20d 1 0.43mi
1111 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,295 $1.08 4d 1 0.46mi
1115 W Lombard St Baltimore, MD 3.0 1.0 1468 $2,100 $1.43 43d 1 0.46mi
104 S Carrollton Ave Baltimore, MD 3.0 4.0 1232 $2,400 $1.95 4d 1 0.48mi
305 S Calhoun St Baltimore, MD 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 22d 1 0.49mi
1000 Hollins St Unit 1000 Hollins Baltimore, MD 3.0 2.5 1472 $2,600 $1.77 44d 1 0.50mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,990 Active 63 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,990 Active 62 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,990 Active 61 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,990 Active 60 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $109,990 Active 58 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,990 Active 54 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,990 Active 53 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,990 Active 52 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $109,990 Active 49 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $109,990 Active 48 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,990 Active 47 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,990 Active 46 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,990 Active 45 DOM
  14. 2026-04-29
    price $109,990 488-char remark
    Show marketing remark (488 chars)

    Great investment opportunity in the heart of Pigtown/Washington Village! This brick townhouse located on desirable Nanticoke St is ready for a full renovation. Ideal for investors looking to flip or add to their rental portfolio. Potential to configure as a 2BR/2.5BA or expand to a 3BR/3.5BA by finishing the basement. Prime location with close proximity to M & T Bank Stadium, Camden Yards, Horseshoe Casino, the Inner Harbor, and easy access to I-95 and I-895. Sold strictly as-is.

  15. 2026-04-16
    listed $115,000 Active 488-char remark
    Show marketing remark (488 chars)

    Great investment opportunity in the heart of Pigtown/Washington Village! This brick townhouse located on desirable Nanticoke St is ready for a full renovation. Ideal for investors looking to flip or add to their rental portfolio. Potential to configure as a 2BR/2.5BA or expand to a 3BR/3.5BA by finishing the basement. Prime location with close proximity to M & T Bank Stadium, Camden Yards, Horseshoe Casino, the Inner Harbor, and easy access to I-95 and I-895. Sold strictly as-is.

  16. 2026-03-05
    soldstatus $83,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,758 · $230/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,758 · $230/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,485
− Mortgage interest
−$6,161
− Property taxes
−$2,758
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,799
− Management
−$1,799
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$6,218
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,492
After-tax cash flow
$6,041/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Baltimore City Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400090
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$42,108
Composite
10.08/100
National rank
#9805
State rank
#24 of 24 in MD

Livability — Baltimore

Score
76/100
State rank
#90
US rank
#3396

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Baltimore, MD
County
Baltimore City · 558,601 people
City population
588,727
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
32,977
Household income
$91,842
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
1463.0

Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
624,249 people
By 2030
621,541 · -0.4%
By 2040
609,756 · -2.3%
By 2050
597,249 · -4.3%
By 2075
552,236 · -11.5%
By 2100
513,934 · -17.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore

2024 margin
Solid D (+73.0) · D 85.2% · R 12.2% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: 75.5pp · 2024: 73.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+73.0 2020: D+76.6 2016: D+74.6 2012: D+76.4 2008: D+75.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -311.43%
Current HPI
284.338
Rent YoY
▼ -1.00%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+31.7% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $109,990 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-05 Sold (Public Records) $83,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,758 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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