816 S Kimball St · Grand Island, NE
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,161 – $2,155
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
No FHA or VA Loans due to repairs, this is being Sold As Is. 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with detached 2-car garage. Appliances included. Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity. Functional layout with potential to make it your own.
Key facts
- 6,795 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1951
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (5.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.6% in Grand Island — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#43 in NE, #2,252 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, commute F.
- Grand Island Public Schools (urban): math 36% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #102 of 111 in NE (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 160 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 246 units permitted in Hall County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hall County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $54k; list at $135k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.29%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $173,030
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -21.98%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 940 S Oak | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 836 (+4%) | 1mo | $189,900 | $227 | 81 |
| 312 Dodge St | 0.18mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 786 (-2%) | 10mo | $195,500 | $249 | 75 |
| 1018 S Vine St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 832 (+4%) | 8mo | $145,000 | $174 | 70 |
| 1108 S Clark St | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-4%) | 12mo | $145,000 | $189 | 62 |
| 420 Nebraska Ave | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-4%) | 15mo | $170,000 | $221 | 58 |
| 807 Claussen Ave | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 872 (+9%) | 17mo | $228,000 | $261 | 53 |
| 621 E Bischeld St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 912 (+14%) | 4mo | $158,000 | $173 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-15,267
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-4,782
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Nebraska
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 68801
- Active inventory
- 160
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,274 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$138 /mo · $1,661/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$268
- Net cashflow
- $104
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 406 Yund St Grand Island, NE | 2.0 | 1.5 | 945 | $1,200 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 309 W Hedde St Unit 26 Grand Island, NE | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2323 Bellwood Dr Grand Island, NE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 963 | $1,249 | $1.30 | 44d | 9 | 1.10mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-12status $135,000 Pending 66 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $135,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-11status Active 253-char remark
Show marketing remark (253 chars)
No FHA or VA Loans due to repairs, this is being Sold As Is. 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with detached 2-car garage. Appliances included. Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity. Functional layout with potential to make it your own.
-
2026-05-01status Pending 253-char remark
Show marketing remark (253 chars)
No FHA or VA Loans due to repairs, this is being Sold As Is. 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with detached 2-car garage. Appliances included. Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity. Functional layout with potential to make it your own.
-
2026-04-25price $140,000 253-char remark
Show marketing remark (253 chars)
No FHA or VA Loans due to repairs, this is being Sold As Is. 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with detached 2-car garage. Appliances included. Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity. Functional layout with potential to make it your own.
-
2026-03-25$150,000 Active 253-char remark
Show marketing remark (253 chars)
No FHA or VA Loans due to repairs, this is being Sold As Is. 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with detached 2-car garage. Appliances included. Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity. Functional layout with potential to make it your own.
-
2006-09-27soldstatus $54,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,661 · $138/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,336 · $195/mo
- Expected delta
- +$674/yr (+$56/mo · 40.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,287
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$1,661
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,223
- − Management
- −$1,223
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$984
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$236
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,481/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grand Island Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3100016
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,021
- Composite
- 30.9/100
- National rank
- #6117
- State rank
- #102 of 111 in NE
Livability — Grand Island
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #43
- US rank
- #2252
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Grand Island, NE
- County
- Hall County · 56,358 people
- City population
- 56,358
- Metro
- Grand Island, NE
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,824
- Household income
- $63,617
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 895.0
Population outlook (Hall County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,137 people
- By 2030
- 71,543 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 78,843 · +15.7%
- By 2050
- 86,765 · +27.3%
- By 2075
- 111,764 · +64.0%
- By 2100
- 137,991 · +102.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Hispanic / Latino 42% Two or more races 13% Black 5% Native American 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 22% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Ukrainian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 64% English-only · Spanish 32% Arabic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hall
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.8) · D 30.5% · R 68.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.7pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -37.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.8 2020: R+34.8 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+27.6 2008: R+24.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -148.38%
- Current HPI
- 230.3861
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Grand Island, NE
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.68%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Conglomerate | 1 | $371B |
|
||
Price history
+159.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Relisted — GIBOR
- 2026-05-01 Pending — GIBOR
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $140,000 GIBOR
- 2026-03-25 Listed $150,000 GIBOR
- 2006-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,661 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…