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816 S Kimball St
C- Composite 54.44
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

816 S Kimball St · Grand Island, NE 68801
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 800 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 66 Days on market
Built 1951 6,795 sqft lot $169/sqft · 18% below area Est $173k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

No FHA or VA Loans due to repairs, this is being Sold As Is. 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with detached 2-car garage. Appliances included. Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity. Functional layout with potential to make it your own.

Key facts

  • 6,795 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1951

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $104 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $127k (5.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.6% in Grand Island — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#43 in NE, #2,252 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, schools D+, commute F.
  • Grand Island Public Schools (urban): math 36% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #102 of 111 in NE (top 92%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 160 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 246 units permitted in Hall County in 2024 (98 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hall County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $54k; list at $135k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $126,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.22%
Cash-on-cash
3.29%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$173,030
List price
$135,000
Delta
-21.98%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
940 S Oak 0.12mi 2/1.0 (-1) 836 (+4%) 1mo $189,900 $227 81
312 Dodge St 0.18mi 2/1.0 (-1) 786 (-2%) 10mo $195,500 $249 75
1018 S Vine St 0.26mi 2/1.0 (-1) 832 (+4%) 8mo $145,000 $174 70
1108 S Clark St 0.35mi 2/1.0 (-1) 768 (-4%) 12mo $145,000 $189 62
420 Nebraska Ave 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 768 (-4%) 15mo $170,000 $221 58
807 Claussen Ave 0.18mi 2/2.0 (-1) 872 (+9%) 17mo $228,000 $261 53
621 E Bischeld St 0.54mi 3/1.0 912 (+14%) 4mo $158,000 $173 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.1%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-15,267
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-4,782
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Nebraska
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; moderate court pace.

ZIP-level market 68801

Active inventory
160
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,274 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$138 /mo · $1,661/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$268
Net cashflow
$104

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,143
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
406 Yund St Grand Island, NE 2.0 1.5 945 $1,200 $1.27 44d 1 0.64mi
309 W Hedde St Unit 26 Grand Island, NE 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 44d 1 0.66mi
2323 Bellwood Dr Grand Island, NE 1.0–3.0 1.5–2.0 963 $1,249 $1.30 44d 9 1.10mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-12
    status $135,000 Pending 66 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 66 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 65 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 64 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 58 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 57 DOM
  9. 2026-05-30
    days on market $135,000 Active 56 DOM
  10. 2026-05-11
    status Active 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    No FHA or VA Loans due to repairs, this is being Sold As Is. 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with detached 2-car garage. Appliances included. Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity. Functional layout with potential to make it your own.

  11. 2026-05-01
    status Pending 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    No FHA or VA Loans due to repairs, this is being Sold As Is. 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with detached 2-car garage. Appliances included. Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity. Functional layout with potential to make it your own.

  12. 2026-04-25
    price $140,000 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    No FHA or VA Loans due to repairs, this is being Sold As Is. 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with detached 2-car garage. Appliances included. Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity. Functional layout with potential to make it your own.

  13. 2026-03-25
    listed $150,000 Active 253-char remark
    Show marketing remark (253 chars)

    No FHA or VA Loans due to repairs, this is being Sold As Is. 3-bedroom, 1-bath home with detached 2-car garage. Appliances included. Great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to build equity. Functional layout with potential to make it your own.

  14. 2006-09-27
    soldstatus $54,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NE · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,661 · $138/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,336 · $195/mo
Expected delta
+$674/yr (+$56/mo · 40.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,287
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$1,661
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,223
− Management
−$1,223
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$984
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$236
After-tax cash flow
$1,481/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Grand Island Public Schools
NCES district ID
3100016
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$47,021
Composite
30.9/100
National rank
#6117
State rank
#102 of 111 in NE

Livability — Grand Island

Score
79/100
State rank
#43
US rank
#2252

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Grand Island, NE
County
Hall County · 56,358 people
City population
56,358
Metro
Grand Island, NE
Population (ZIP)
30,824
Household income
$63,617
Rent vs Own
42.6% rent · 57.4% own
Severe rent burden
895.0

Population outlook (Hall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,137 people
By 2030
71,543 · +5.0%
By 2040
78,843 · +15.7%
By 2050
86,765 · +27.3%
By 2075
111,764 · +64.0%
By 2100
137,991 · +102.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Hispanic / Latino 42% Two or more races 13% Black 5% Native American 1% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 22% Cuban 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Ukrainian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada
Languages at home
64% English-only · Spanish 32% Arabic 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hall

2024 margin
Solid R (+37.8) · D 30.5% · R 68.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-13.7pp toward R · 2008: -24.1pp · 2024: -37.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+37.8 2020: R+34.8 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+27.6 2008: R+24.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -148.38%
Current HPI
230.3861
Rent YoY
Metro
Grand Island, NE
State GDP YoY
▲ 0.68%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NE)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+159.3% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Relisted GIBOR
  • 2026-05-01 Pending GIBOR
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $140,000 GIBOR
  • 2026-03-25 Listed $150,000 GIBOR
  • 2006-09-27 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,661 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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