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26430 146th St NW
C Composite 57.22
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.7/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$175,000

26430 146th St NW · Zimmerman, MN 55398
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 912 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1965 0.57 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Reasonably priced home Attached porch was one car garage, can be converted back. With a little TLC this property has lots of potential. New well pump 10/13, Both bathrooms updated. Newer roof, electric panel and septic.

Key facts

  • Walkout basement
  • Wooded lot
  • Private backyard

Tags

WOODED LOTPRIVATE BACKYARD3 SEASON PORCHWALKOUT BASEMENTDETACHED GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete driveway; 2-car garage with garage door opener
  • Utilities: Private well water; Septic system (compliant); 200+ amp electrical service; Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential property; One level; Walkout basement
  • Construction: Block construction; Block foundation; Asphalt pitched roof (over 8 years old)
  • Exterior features: Heavy tree coverage; Wood exterior; Enclosed patio/porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen with window
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood floors
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath on the main floor; 1 half bath in the basement
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heat pump (heating and cooling); Central air
  • Interior features: Main floor primary bedroom; 3 bedrooms on one level; Enclosed porch; Hardwood floors; Kitchen window
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer hookups; Gas dryer hookup; Laundry room in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $175k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 3.1% in Zimmerman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#134 in MN, #3,004 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Independent School District 728 (suburban): math 56% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #37 of 301 in MN (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 181 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 334 units permitted in Sherburne County in 2024 (58 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $80k; list at $175k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $175,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.07%
Cap rate
8.35%
Cash-on-cash
7.36%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
7.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.0%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-9,221
Equity at exit
$26,093
10-year hold
IRR
4.6%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$16,631
Equity at exit
$15,131

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55398

Home prices YoY
-20.7%
Active inventory
181
Price-to-rent
7.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,868 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax from tax record
$185 /mo · $2,218/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$392
Net cashflow
$300

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,488
Max offer price $175,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $399 -5% $350 +0% $300 +5% $251 +10% $201
Rent -10% $153 -5% $227 +0% $300 +5% $374 +10% $448
Rate -1.0pp $388 -0.5pp $345 base $300 +0.5pp $255 +1.0pp $209

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-15
    status $175,000 Pending 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $175,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $175,000 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    remarks 324-char remark
  5. 2026-06-13
    listed $175,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,218 · $185/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,218 · $185/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,417
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,218
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,793
− Management
−$1,793
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable income
$844
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$203
After-tax cash flow
$3,402/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Independent School District 728
NCES district ID
2711370
Math proficiency
56% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
60% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$82,336
Composite
52.5/100
National rank
#1567
State rank
#37 of 301 in MN

Livability — Zimmerman

Score
77/100
State rank
#134
US rank
#3004

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Sherburne County · 120,363 people
City population
17,688
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
17,688
Household income
$103,419
Rent vs Own
9.7% rent · 90.3% own
Severe rent burden
176.0

Population outlook (Sherburne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
97,402 people
By 2030
99,341 · +2.0%
By 2040
101,188 · +3.9%
By 2050
99,214 · +1.9%
By 2075
88,700 · -8.9%
By 2100
72,241 · -25.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 18% Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Sherburne

2024 margin
Solid R (+34.9) · D 31.7% · R 66.6% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
-16.7pp toward R · 2008: -18.2pp · 2024: -34.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+34.9 2020: R+32.6 2016: R+37.0 2012: R+22.1 2008: R+18.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -68.73%
Current HPI
263.741
Rent YoY
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+105.9% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $175,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-01-03 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
  • 2013-12-20 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-12-18 Sold (MLS) $79,500 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-11-20 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-11-12 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-11-07 Listed $85,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,218 · +5.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…