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2326 Houston St
B Composite 74.02
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0

$49,000

2326 Houston St · West Orange, TX 77630
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,457 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 131 Days on market
Built 1950 6,446 sqft lot $34/sqft · 64% below area ↓ 14% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The home needs some TLC and is priced for just that. 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, large kitchen area. This would make a great first home for someone.

Key facts

  • 6,446 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 131 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $648 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $49k).
  • Recommended offer: $43k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,075 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A; Watch: crime C-, schools D-, amenities F.
  • West Orange-Cove CISD (suburban): math 17% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #784 of 826 in TX (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.7%/yr); 337 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 52% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 235 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (50 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $834 of equity ($339 loan paydown + $495 appreciation (1.0% local appreciation)).
  • Orange County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (1.0% appreciation + 5.7% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 131 days — a 12% lower offer ($43k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $43,120 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 131 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.80%
Cap rate
23.79%
Cash-on-cash
62.50%
DSCR
3.78
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$136,110
List price
$49,000
Delta
-64.00%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
714 Sherrill St 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,504 (+3%) 9mo $190,000 $126 77
1826 Bowie St 0.47mi 3/1.5 1,434 (-2%) 19mo $138,000 $96 58
2707 Terrace Cir 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,289 (-12%) 10mo $169,999 $132 56
2309 Bradford St 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,254 (-14%) 1mo $89,900 $72 55
1905 Crockett St 0.42mi 3/1.0 1,572 (+8%) 14mo $139,999 $89 52
2705 Terrace Cir 0.35mi 3/1.5 1,240 (-15%) 9mo $139,900 $113 49
1520 Longhorn Ave 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,646 (+13%) 0mo $164,900 $100 44
1524 Longhorn Ave 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,296 (-11%) 8mo $139,900 $108 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.01% appreciation · 5.71% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
62.5%
Equity multiple
4.36×
Total profit
$46,146
Equity at exit
$16,753
10-year hold
IRR
64.9%
Equity multiple
9.71×
Total profit
$119,570
Equity at exit
$22,283

Cash invested: $13,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 77630

Home prices YoY
0.4%
Rents YoY
5.7%
Active inventory
337
Price-to-rent
3.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,372 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$257
Tax from tax record
$92 /mo · $1,104/yr
Insurance
$20
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$648

Break-even live

Break-even rent $552
Max offer price $49,000
Occupancy floor 48%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $676 -5% $662 +0% $648 +5% $634 +10% $620
Rent -10% $540 -5% $594 +0% $648 +5% $702 +10% $757
Rate -1.0pp $673 -0.5pp $661 base $648 +0.5pp $635 +1.0pp $623

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,250
Closing costs
$1,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
406 Dayton St West Orange, TX 2.0 1.0 1350 $1,200 $0.89 44d 1 0.43mi
206 Florence St Orange, TX 2.0 1.0 1216 $1,425 $1.17 44d 1 0.59mi
2602 Tanglewood St West Orange, TX 4.0 2.0 1306 $1,250 $0.96 14d 1 0.60mi
205 Gloria St West Orange, TX 3.0 2.0 1225 $1,300 $1.06 44d 1 0.61mi
210 Florence St Orange, TX 3.0 1.0 1064 $1,425 $1.34 44d 1 0.61mi
2810 Gandy St West Orange, TX 3.0 2.0 1613 $1,700 $1.05 44d 1 0.63mi
309 Quincy St West Orange, TX 3.0 1.5 1113 $1,200 $1.08 14d 1 0.65mi
1543 Alamo St West Orange, TX 3.0 1.0 1170 $1,200 $1.03 14d 1 0.72mi
3000 MacArthur Dr Orange, TX 3.0 1.0–2.0 791 $1,330 $1.68 14d 12 1.03mi
101 Azalea Ave Unit A Orange, TX 3.0 1.0 1200 $2,000 $1.67 44d 1 1.06mi
302 Bridal Wreath Ave Orange, TX 3.0 1.0 1182 $1,195 $1.01 44d 1 1.10mi
306 Bridal Wreath Ave Orange, TX 3.0 1.0 1529 $1,195 $0.78 21d 1 1.12mi
403 Bluebonnet Dr Orange, TX 3.0 1.0 1196 $1,300 $1.09 44d 1 1.18mi
1120 28th St Orange, TX 3.0 1.0 1308 $1,500 $1.15 44d 1 1.19mi
310 Camellia Ave Orange, TX 3.0 1.0 988 $1,295 $1.31 21d 1 1.20mi
107 Dahlia St Orange, TX 3.0 1.0 1149 $1,300 $1.13 14d 1 1.22mi
1010 N 16th St Orange, TX 3.0 1.5 1100 $1,500 $1.36 44d 1 1.30mi
3726 Bowling Ln Orange, TX 3.0 1.0 1045 $1,150 $1.10 44d 1 1.31mi
1208 DuPont Dr Orange, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 14d 1 1.34mi
1117 18th St Orange, TX 4.0 2.0 1716 $1,500 $0.87 44d 1 1.39mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Unit 203 Orange, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,084 $1.08 14d 1 1.42mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Unit 107 Orange, TX 2.0 1.0 952 $1,255 $1.32 44d 1 1.47mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Apt 105 Orange, TX 2.0 1.0 952 $1,255 $1.32 21d 1 1.47mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Unit 315TWNHME Orange, TX 2.0 1.5 1216 $1,040 $0.86 21d 1 1.47mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Unit 404 Orange, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,254 $1.25 44d 1 1.47mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Unit 401 Orange, TX 3.0 2.0 1700 $1,725 $1.01 21d 1 1.47mi
3333 Ridgemont Dr Unit 408 Orange, TX 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,059 $1.06 44d 1 1.47mi
115 E Florida St Orange, TX 2.0 2.0 936 $1,300 $1.39 14d 1 1.48mi
7b Concord St Orange, TX 2.0 1.5 1206 $1,450 $1.20 14d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,000 Active 131 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,000 Active 130 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,000 Active 129 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,000 Active 128 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $49,000 Active 126 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,000 Active 125 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $49,000 Active 123 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,000 Active 122 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,000 Active 121 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $49,000 Active 120 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $49,000 Active 116 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $49,000 Active 115 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $49,000 Active 114 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $49,000 Active 113 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $49,000 Active 112 DOM
  16. 2026-02-07
    listed $49,000 Active 146-char remark
    Show marketing remark (146 chars)

    The home needs some TLC and is priced for just that. 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, large kitchen area. This would make a great first home for someone.

  17. 2025-12-31
    historical
  18. 2024-06-26
    listed $49,000 Active
  19. 2022-07-25
    soldstatus
  20. 2022-07-22
    soldstatus Sold
  21. 2022-07-14
    status Pending
  22. 2022-07-07
    listed $57,240 Active
  23. 2019-12-12
    soldstatus
  24. 2015-04-21
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,104 · $92/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,104 · $92/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,467
− Mortgage interest
−$2,745
− Property taxes
−$1,104
− Insurance
−$1,042
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,317
− Management
−$1,317
− Depreciation
−$1,425
Taxable income
$7,515
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,804
After-tax cash flow
$5,975/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Orange-Cove CISD
NCES district ID
4845090
Math proficiency
17% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$37,329
Composite
15.86/100
National rank
#9260
State rank
#784 of 826 in TX

Livability — West Orange

Score
60/100
State rank
#1075
US rank
#19069

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C Housing A Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
West Orange, TX
County
Orange County · 87,112 people
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
Population (ZIP)
28,983
Household income
$64,373
Rent vs Own
32.2% rent · 67.8% own
Severe rent burden
1018.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
88,065 people
By 2030
89,591 · +1.7%
By 2040
91,982 · +4.4%
By 2050
93,023 · +5.6%
By 2075
94,871 · +7.7%
By 2100
88,155 · +0.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 13% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.8) · D 16.4% · R 83.1%
2008→2024 swing
-19.6pp toward R · 2008: -47.1pp · 2024: -66.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.8 2020: R+63.4 2016: R+61.9 2012: R+54.3 2008: R+47.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.01%
Current HPI
264.14
Rent YoY
▲ 5.71%
Metro
Beaumont-Port Arthur, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-14.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-07 Listed $49,000 HARMLS
  • 2025-12-31 Listing Removed HARMLS
  • 2024-06-26 Listed $49,000 HARMLS
  • 2022-07-25 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2022-07-22 Sold (MLS) HARMLS
  • 2022-07-14 Pending HARMLS
  • 2022-07-07 Listed $57,240 HARMLS
  • 2019-12-12 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2015-04-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-1.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,104 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…