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703 Main St Apt 10
D Composite 43.69
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$10,000

703 Main St Apt 10 · Elizabethton, TN 37643
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,338 sqft · Condo public records · 30 Days on market
Built 2007 $138/mo HOA · 7% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

THIS PROPERTY IS SELLING AT ONLINE AUCTION. BY NO MEANS IS THE STARTING THE BID THE ASKING PRICE OR THE FINAL CONTRACT PRICE. PRICE GIVEN TO BE ABLE TO POPULATE TO THIRD PARTY WEB PROVIDERS. ONLINE ONLY AUCTION RARE OPPORTUNITY CONDO ON THE DOE RIVER!!! BIDDING OPENS ON MONDAY MARCH 30TH @ 8:00 AM. BIDDING BEGINS CLOSING ON TUESDAY APRIL 21ST @ 6:00 PM. AUCTIONEERS NOTE: Wake up to the sound of flowing water in this charming 1,338 sq. ft. end unit condo tucked along the banks of the Doe River. Unit 10 at 703 N Main Street is one of the most coveted units in the association -- an end unit position that delivers privacy, extra natural light, and unobstructed views of the Doe River right from

Key facts

  • Covered carports
  • Direct river access
  • Doe river views

Tags

DOE RIVER VIEWSCOVERED CARPORTSPRIVATE SIDE ENTRANCEDIRECT RIVER ACCESS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $10k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $10k).
  • Recommended offer: $10k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 171.0% vs local median 3.5% in Elizabethton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#121 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Elizabethton (suburban): math 36% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #35 of 139 in TN (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Harold Mccormick Elementary (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #423 of 952 statewide, top 48%, 380 students, 0% FRL); T A Dugger Junior High School (math 42% / reading 28%, grade F, #65 of 333 statewide, top 20%, 633 students, 0% FRL); Elizabethton High School (math 17% / reading 41%, grade F, #92 of 332 statewide, top 28%, 863 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 43% district-wide (43 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 176 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 184 units permitted in Carter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $69 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $300 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Carter County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $3k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($10k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $269/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $9,850 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
20.00%
Cap rate
171.04%
Cash-on-cash
588.38%
DSCR
27.18
GRM
0.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
25.63×
Total profit
$68,965
Equity at exit
$1,491
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
55.19×
Total profit
$151,721
Equity at exit
$865

Cash invested: $2,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37643

Home prices YoY
-19.3%
Active inventory
176
Price-to-rent
0.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$52
Tax est. 1.5%
$12 /mo · $150/yr
Insurance
$4
Flood insurance flood zone
−$269 /mo · $3,228/yr
HOA
$138
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$1,104

Break-even live

Break-even rent $603
Max offer price $10,000
Occupancy floor 40%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,111 -5% $1,107 +0% $1,104 +5% $1,100 +10% $1,097
Rent -10% $946 -5% $1,025 +0% $1,104 +5% $1,183 +10% $1,262
Rate -1.0pp $1,109 -0.5pp $1,106 base $1,104 +0.5pp $1,101 +1.0pp $1,099

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$2,500
Closing costs
$300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
107 Ingram St Elizabethton, TN 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,000 $1.33 14d 1 0.86mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$138 · $1,656/yr
Likely covers
water
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-23
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-24
    listed $10,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AE · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,000
− Mortgage interest
−$560
− Property taxes
−$150
− Insurance
−$3,279
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,920
− Management
−$1,920
− HOA
−$1,656
− Depreciation
−$291
Taxable income
$14,224
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,414
After-tax cash flow
$9,832/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Elizabethton
NCES district ID
4701110
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$30,800
Composite
28.94/100
National rank
#6630
State rank
#35 of 139 in TN

Livability — Elizabethton

Score
66/100
State rank
#121
US rank
#11785

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Elizabethton, TN
City population
513
Population (ZIP)
33,690

Population outlook (Carter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
54,493 people
By 2030
52,639 · -3.4%
By 2040
47,929 · -12.0%
By 2050
42,877 · -21.3%
By 2075
31,487 · -42.2%
By 2100
21,979 · -59.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Carter

2024 margin
Solid R (+63.2) · D 17.9% · R 81.2%
2008→2024 swing
-16.1pp toward R · 2008: -47.2pp · 2024: -63.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+63.2 2020: R+61.5 2016: R+64.0 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+47.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -77.08%
Current HPI
321.4024
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Pending TVRMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $10,000 TVRMLS

Property tax history

-5.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $705 · -45.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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