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42 Miry Brook Rd Lot 30
D+ Composite 48.31
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

42 Miry Brook Rd Lot 30 · Danbury, CT 06810
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 530 sqft · Manufactured public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1965 $311/sqft · 52% above area $750/mo HOA · 33% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Ready for your renovations, this mobile home is waiting for its new owner. Bring your creative energy and some sweat equity and turn it into your dream home. The property is cleared and ready for full rehab. There are no appliances or running utilities. There is a furnace and the owner has no knowledge of it's functionality. The fully renovated home in this community are selling for up to $120,000. This is a great opportunity for building quick equity and enjoy a newly renovated home. Please note that this is a co-op. The park management requires an application and it's approval.

Key facts

  • New kitchen
  • New bathroom
  • New siding

Tags

NEW KITCHENNEW BATHROOMNEW FLOORINGNEW ROOFNEW SIDING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in Shady Acres Mobile Park, Fairfield County, Connecticut
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; HOA fee approximately $750 per month; HOA covers grounds maintenance, trash pickup, snow removal, water, sewer, and property management

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Electric service
  • Home design: Single-family home
  • Construction: Frame and steel construction; Slab foundation; Built (year not provided)
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Aluminum siding; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric hot air heating; Propane hot water with 30-gallon tank
  • Interior features: Total of 4 rooms; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Electric dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $64 ($771/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
  • Recommended offer: $160k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.6% in Danbury — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#51 in CT, #3,379 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Danbury School District (urban): math 19% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #131 of 153 in CT (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Danbury High School (math 19% / reading 41%, grade F, #137 of 194 statewide, top 70%, 3,590 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 197 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,151 units permitted in Western Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (714 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $165k implies a 650% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 33% of rent.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 25% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $160,050 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
6.76%
Cash-on-cash
1.67%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$108,303
List price
$165,000
Delta
52.35%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.08% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.2%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-22,072
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
-3.7%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-11,620
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06810

Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
197
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,256 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $410/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$750
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$474
Net cashflow
$64

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,175
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$750 · $9,000/yr

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $165,000 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $165,000 Active 35 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 34 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 33 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 32 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $165,000 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $165,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $165,000 Active 27 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 26 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 25 DOM
  15. 2026-05-04
    listed $165,000 Active 312-char remark
  16. 2025-06-26
    status Under Contract 586-char remark
    Show marketing remark (586 chars)

    Ready for your renovations, this mobile home is waiting for its new owner. Bring your creative energy and some sweat equity and turn it into your dream home. The property is cleared and ready for full rehab. There are no appliances or running utilities. There is a furnace and the owner has no knowledge of it's functionality. The fully renovated home in this community are selling for up to $120,000. This is a great opportunity for building quick equity and enjoy a newly renovated home. Please note that this is a co-op. The park management requires an application and it's approval.

  17. 2025-06-26
    soldstatus $22,000 Closed 586-char remark
    Show marketing remark (586 chars)

    Ready for your renovations, this mobile home is waiting for its new owner. Bring your creative energy and some sweat equity and turn it into your dream home. The property is cleared and ready for full rehab. There are no appliances or running utilities. There is a furnace and the owner has no knowledge of it's functionality. The fully renovated home in this community are selling for up to $120,000. This is a great opportunity for building quick equity and enjoy a newly renovated home. Please note that this is a co-op. The park management requires an application and it's approval.

  18. 2025-05-18
    historical Under Contract - Continue to Show 586-char remark
    Show marketing remark (586 chars)

    Ready for your renovations, this mobile home is waiting for its new owner. Bring your creative energy and some sweat equity and turn it into your dream home. The property is cleared and ready for full rehab. There are no appliances or running utilities. There is a furnace and the owner has no knowledge of it's functionality. The fully renovated home in this community are selling for up to $120,000. This is a great opportunity for building quick equity and enjoy a newly renovated home. Please note that this is a co-op. The park management requires an application and it's approval.

  19. 2025-05-02
    price $35,000 586-char remark
    Show marketing remark (586 chars)

    Ready for your renovations, this mobile home is waiting for its new owner. Bring your creative energy and some sweat equity and turn it into your dream home. The property is cleared and ready for full rehab. There are no appliances or running utilities. There is a furnace and the owner has no knowledge of it's functionality. The fully renovated home in this community are selling for up to $120,000. This is a great opportunity for building quick equity and enjoy a newly renovated home. Please note that this is a co-op. The park management requires an application and it's approval.

  20. 2025-04-16
    price $40,000 586-char remark
    Show marketing remark (586 chars)

    Ready for your renovations, this mobile home is waiting for its new owner. Bring your creative energy and some sweat equity and turn it into your dream home. The property is cleared and ready for full rehab. There are no appliances or running utilities. There is a furnace and the owner has no knowledge of it's functionality. The fully renovated home in this community are selling for up to $120,000. This is a great opportunity for building quick equity and enjoy a newly renovated home. Please note that this is a co-op. The park management requires an application and it's approval.

  21. 2025-03-26
    listed $50,000 Active 586-char remark
    Show marketing remark (586 chars)

    Ready for your renovations, this mobile home is waiting for its new owner. Bring your creative energy and some sweat equity and turn it into your dream home. The property is cleared and ready for full rehab. There are no appliances or running utilities. There is a furnace and the owner has no knowledge of it's functionality. The fully renovated home in this community are selling for up to $120,000. This is a great opportunity for building quick equity and enjoy a newly renovated home. Please note that this is a co-op. The park management requires an application and it's approval.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$410 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,970 · $164/mo
Expected delta
+$1,560/yr (+$130/mo · 380.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 25% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,076
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$410
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,166
− Management
−$2,166
− HOA
−$9,000
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$1,534
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$368
After-tax cash flow
$1,140/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Danbury School District
NCES district ID
0901020
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -16.00%
Median HH income
$65,793
Composite
23.93/100
National rank
#7784
State rank
#131 of 153 in CT

Livability — Danbury

Score
76/100
State rank
#51
US rank
#3379

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime B Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Danbury, CT
County
Fairfield County · 765,532 people
City population
87,061
Metro
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
Population (ZIP)
55,833
Household income
$76,933
Rent vs Own
59.5% rent · 40.5% own
Severe rent burden
3255.0

Population outlook (Western Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
685,031

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 37% White 35% Two or more races 19% Black 12% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 6%
Common ancestry
Estonian 8% Russian 4% Romanian 3%
Foreign-born
41% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 16% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Western Connecticut

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 58.8% · R 39.7% · Other 1.6%
All cycles
2024: D+19.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -309.71%
Current HPI
286.5484
Rent YoY
▲ 3.08%
Metro
Bridgeport-Stamford-Norwalk, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+230.0% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Relisted Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-20 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $165,000 Smart MLS
  • 2025-06-26 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2025-06-26 Sold (MLS) $22,000 Smart MLS
  • 2025-05-18 Contingent Smart MLS
  • 2025-05-02 Price Changed $35,000 Smart MLS
  • 2025-04-16 Price Changed $40,000 Smart MLS
  • 2025-03-26 Listed $50,000 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2023): $410 · +190.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…