2226 Cadie Ave · Vandalia, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.5/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.4/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$190,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This beautiful updated 3 bedroom 1 bath home is looking for its new owner with the opportunity to become a landlord. This 2 story home features a large living room open to the dining room. Kitchen is fully furnished with appliances. The additional one-bedroom apartment with living room, kitchen and full bath above the 2 1/2 car garage can be rented for additional income. This home sits on three large lots and is suitable for 2 families. Call for a private showing.
Key facts
- Spacious yard
- Fully fenced
- Back deck
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Detached two-car garage
- Utilities: Natural gas available; Sewer available; Public water available
- Home design: Residential zoning
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Fence; Below-grade unfinished area (516)
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (16 x 9); Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Bedroom on second level (12 x 8); Bedroom on second level (16 x 9); Bedroom on main level (8 x 9)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Recently remodeled
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $190k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-134 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $166k (12.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $141k (26.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $141k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 2.8% in Vandalia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#463 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Zoned schools: Northridge Elementary School (math 14% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,323 of 1,584 statewide, top 84%, 734 students, 0% FRL); Northridge Middle School (math 9% / reading 18%, grade F, #639 of 654 statewide, top 98%, 354 students, 0% FRL); Northridge High School (math 8% / reading 27%, grade F, #689 of 781 statewide, top 90%, 422 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.4%/yr); 52 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($184k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $125k; list at $190k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1929 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1929 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.02%
- DSCR
- 0.87
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $120,782
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2211 Martin Ave | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (+7%) | 2mo | $131,400 | $133 | 85 |
| 2213 Martin Ave | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (+7%) | 3mo | $127,000 | $129 | 84 |
| 2234 Gipsy Dr | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 | 910 (-1%) | 8mo | $119,000 | $131 | 83 |
| 2020 Wilding Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 872 (-5%) | 1mo | $41,910 | $48 | 79 |
| 2234 Nomad Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (+4%) | 11mo | $111,000 | $116 | 78 |
| 2203 Arthur Ave | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 | 957 (+4%) | 7mo | $130,000 | $136 | 74 |
| 5586 Wadsworth Rd | 0.32mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 936 (+2%) | 7mo | $38,610 | $41 | 72 |
| 2108 Gipsy Dr | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,053 (+14%) | 4mo | $54,670 | $52 | 62 |
| 2017 Kildare Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 | 832 (-10%) | 11mo | $155,000 | $186 | 62 |
| 2127 Marker Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 989 (+7%) | 7mo | $100,000 | $101 | 53 |
| 2203 Rector Ave | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (+9%) | 4mo | $152,000 | $151 | 48 |
| 2216 Rector Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 | 850 (-8%) | 7mo | $200,000 | $235 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.41% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-32,811
- Equity at exit
- $28,330
- IRR
- -2.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-10,324
- Equity at exit
- $16,428
Cash invested: $53,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45414
- Rents YoY
- 7.4%
- Active inventory
- 52
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,407 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$996
- Tax from tax record
- −$170 /mo · $2,034/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$295
- Net cashflow
- $-134
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-26 | -5% $-80 | +0% $-134 | +5% $-188 | +10% $-241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-245 | -5% $-189 | +0% $-134 | +5% $-78 | +10% $-23 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-38 | -0.5pp $-85 | base $-134 | +0.5pp $-183 | +1.0pp $-233 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,500
- Closing costs
- $5,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2109 Harding Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $950 | $1.27 | 4d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2022 Arthur Ave Unit NA Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,500 | $1.44 | 13d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 5900 Erica Ct Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $975 | $1.22 | 4d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 4911 Northcutt Pl Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $825 | $0.97 | 4d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 2991 Benchwood Rd Unit 2993 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1063 | $1,295 | $1.22 | 4d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3097 Silver Rock Ave Unit 3103 Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1035 | $1,295 | $1.25 | 16d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 30 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $190,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $190,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $190,000 Active 48 DOM
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2026-06-16pricedays on market $190,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $200,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $200,000 Active 41 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 40 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-07statusdays on market $200,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $200,000 ActiveUnderContract 34 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $200,000 ActiveUnderContract 33 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $200,000 ActiveUnderContract 32 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $200,000 ActiveUnderContract 31 DOM
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2026-05-13historical ActiveUnderContract
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2026-04-30$200,000 Active
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2021-04-01historical 468-char remark
Show marketing remark (468 chars)
This beautiful updated 3 bedroom 1 bath home is looking for its new owner with the opportunity to become a landlord. This 2 story home features a large living room open to the dining room. Kitchen is fully furnished with appliances. The additional one-bedroom apartment with living room, kitchen and full bath above the 2 1/2 car garage can be rented for additional income. This home sits on three large lots and is suitable for 2 families. Call for a private showing.
-
2021-03-31soldstatus $125,000 Closed 468-char remark
Show marketing remark (468 chars)
This beautiful updated 3 bedroom 1 bath home is looking for its new owner with the opportunity to become a landlord. This 2 story home features a large living room open to the dining room. Kitchen is fully furnished with appliances. The additional one-bedroom apartment with living room, kitchen and full bath above the 2 1/2 car garage can be rented for additional income. This home sits on three large lots and is suitable for 2 families. Call for a private showing.
-
2021-03-31soldstatus $125,000 Sold 468-char remark
Show marketing remark (468 chars)
This beautiful updated 3 bedroom 1 bath home is looking for its new owner with the opportunity to become a landlord. This 2 story home features a large living room open to the dining room. Kitchen is fully furnished with appliances. The additional one-bedroom apartment with living room, kitchen and full bath above the 2 1/2 car garage can be rented for additional income. This home sits on three large lots and is suitable for 2 families. Call for a private showing.
-
2021-02-10historical Active/Pending 468-char remark
Show marketing remark (468 chars)
This beautiful updated 3 bedroom 1 bath home is looking for its new owner with the opportunity to become a landlord. This 2 story home features a large living room open to the dining room. Kitchen is fully furnished with appliances. The additional one-bedroom apartment with living room, kitchen and full bath above the 2 1/2 car garage can be rented for additional income. This home sits on three large lots and is suitable for 2 families. Call for a private showing.
-
2021-01-17$128,000 Active 468-char remark
Show marketing remark (468 chars)
This beautiful updated 3 bedroom 1 bath home is looking for its new owner with the opportunity to become a landlord. This 2 story home features a large living room open to the dining room. Kitchen is fully furnished with appliances. The additional one-bedroom apartment with living room, kitchen and full bath above the 2 1/2 car garage can be rented for additional income. This home sits on three large lots and is suitable for 2 families. Call for a private showing.
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2020-03-12soldstatus $42,000
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2020-02-25soldstatus $42,000 Closed 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
REDUCED for Quick Sale! This 1.5 story home features 3 bedrooms, a large living room open to the dining area. Kitchen with breakfast nook. Full basement. As a bonus, the large 2 car detached garage features a 1 bedroom apartment upstairs with living room, kitchen and full bath.
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2020-02-25soldstatus $42,000 Sold 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
REDUCED for Quick Sale! This 1.5 story home features 3 bedrooms, a large living room open to the dining area. Kitchen with breakfast nook. Full basement. As a bonus, the large 2 car detached garage features a 1 bedroom apartment upstairs with living room, kitchen and full bath.
-
2020-02-03status Pending 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
REDUCED for Quick Sale! This 1.5 story home features 3 bedrooms, a large living room open to the dining area. Kitchen with breakfast nook. Full basement. As a bonus, the large 2 car detached garage features a 1 bedroom apartment upstairs with living room, kitchen and full bath.
-
2020-01-31price $39,900 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
REDUCED for Quick Sale! This 1.5 story home features 3 bedrooms, a large living room open to the dining area. Kitchen with breakfast nook. Full basement. As a bonus, the large 2 car detached garage features a 1 bedroom apartment upstairs with living room, kitchen and full bath.
-
2019-12-15$65,000 Active 278-char remark
Show marketing remark (278 chars)
REDUCED for Quick Sale! This 1.5 story home features 3 bedrooms, a large living room open to the dining area. Kitchen with breakfast nook. Full basement. As a bonus, the large 2 car detached garage features a 1 bedroom apartment upstairs with living room, kitchen and full bath.
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2019-02-21soldstatus $25,000
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2008-12-10soldstatus $95,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,034 · $170/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,499 · $208/mo
- Expected delta
- +$465/yr (+$39/mo · 22.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,880
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,643
- − Property taxes
- −$2,034
- − Insurance
- −$950
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,350
- − Management
- −$1,350
- − Depreciation
- −$5,527
- Taxable loss
- −$4,975
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,194
- After-tax cash flow
- $-411/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Vandalia
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #463
- US rank
- #7669
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 14,888
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,167
- Household income
- $54,485
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 801.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 15% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.46%
- Current HPI
- 183.1124
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.41%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+110.5% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $200,000 Dayton MLS
- 2021-04-01 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2021-03-31 Sold (MLS) $125,000 Dayton MLS
- 2021-03-31 Sold (MLS) $125,000 Dayton MLS
- 2021-02-10 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2021-01-17 Listed $128,000 Dayton MLS
- 2020-03-12 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
- 2020-02-25 Sold (MLS) $42,000 Dayton MLS
- 2020-02-25 Sold (MLS) $42,000 Dayton MLS
- 2020-02-03 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2020-01-31 Price Changed $39,900 Dayton MLS
- 2019-12-15 Listed $65,000 Dayton MLS
- 2019-02-21 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
- 2008-12-10 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,034 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…