Duplex
423 Highland Ave · East Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$319,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Exceptional opportunity for a turn key investment or owner occupant. This well-maintained 2-unit multi-family property is located in the heart of desirable East Syracuse, offering walkability and convenience. Both units feature 3 spacious bedrooms and 1 full bath, with an additional half bath in the lower unit. Both units have been updated with modern finishes while preserving much of the original wood trim and hardwood floors. Each unit has its own private entrance and separate utilities, providing added privacy. . The property includes a 2-car garage and an additional 4 off-street parking spaces, offering convenience and ample parking. Market rent value is nearly $3,500 monthly for the en
Key facts
- Original wood trim
- Separate utilities
- Turn key investment
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.8-bath units multifamily listed at $320k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive. Per door: $550/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $320k).
- Recommended offer: $315k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 6.9% in East Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 90/100 on livability (#4 in NY, #81 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+.
- East Syracuse Minoa Central School District (rural): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #379 of 590 in NY (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,708/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($81k/yr) (locally 250% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $90k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($315k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $245k; 31% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.47% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.75%
- DSCR
- 1.66
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $18,606
- Equity at exit
- $47,698
- IRR
- 14.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $107,801
- Equity at exit
- $27,659
Cash invested: $89,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13057
- Home prices YoY
- -11.1%
- Active inventory
- 58
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,708 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,678
- Tax from tax record
- −$807 /mo · $9,690/yr
- Insurance
- −$133
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$989
- Net cashflow
- $1,101
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,282 | -5% $1,192 | +0% $1,101 | +5% $1,010 | +10% $920 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $729 | -5% $915 | +0% $1,101 | +5% $1,287 | +10% $1,473 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,262 | -0.5pp $1,182 | base $1,101 | +0.5pp $1,018 | +1.0pp $934 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1.8 | $4,708 |
| #1 | 3 | 1.8 | $2,354 |
| #2 | 3 | 1.8 | $2,354 |
| Total (2 units) | $4,708 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $79,975
- Closing costs
- $9,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-03-17status Pending
-
2026-02-27$319,900 Active
-
2025-12-09status Active
-
2025-11-28historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-10-24$329,900 Active
-
2025-10-16historical
-
2025-10-02price $349,900
-
2025-07-12$359,900 Active
-
2022-02-17soldstatus $245,000
-
2022-02-04soldstatus $245,000 Closed Sale or Rented
-
2021-12-29status Pending Sale
-
2021-11-30status Under Contract- Do Not Show
-
2021-11-22historical Continue to Show- Under Contract
-
2021-09-10$259,900 Active
-
2018-11-02soldstatus $90,000
-
2018-11-01soldstatus $90,000 Closed Sale or Rented
-
2018-06-22status Under Contract- Do Not Show
-
2018-05-21historical Continue to Show- Under Contract
-
2018-05-11$85,000 Active
-
2017-11-04status Pending Sale
-
2017-11-03historical
-
2017-10-20price $94,900
-
2017-09-07$109,900 Active
-
2012-11-17$118,900
-
2006-05-22soldstatus $118,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $9,690 · $807/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,690 · $807/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $56,496
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,919
- − Property taxes
- −$9,690
- − Insurance
- −$1,600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,520
- − Management
- −$4,520
- − Depreciation
- −$9,306
- Taxable income
- $8,942
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,146
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,066/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Syracuse Minoa Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3609990
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,801
- Composite
- 42.9/100
- National rank
- #3122
- State rank
- #379 of 590 in NY
Livability — East Syracuse
- Score
- 90/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #81
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Syracuse, NY
- County
- Onondaga County · 247,257 people
- City population
- 14,253
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,253
- Household income
- $80,900
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 250.0
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 4% American 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.50%
- Current HPI
- 316.8595
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Syracuse, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+169.0% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-17 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-02-27 Listed $319,900 CNYIS
- 2025-12-09 Relisted — CNYIS
- 2025-11-28 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2025-10-24 Listed $329,900 CNYIS
- 2025-10-16 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2025-10-02 Price Changed $349,900 CNYIS
- 2025-07-12 Listed $359,900 CNYIS
- 2022-02-17 Sold (Public Records) $245,000 Public Records
- 2022-02-04 Sold (MLS) $245,000 CNYIS
- 2021-12-29 Pending — CNYIS
- 2021-11-30 Pending — CNYIS
- 2021-11-22 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2021-09-10 Listed $259,900 CNYIS
- 2018-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 2018-11-01 Sold (MLS) $90,000 CNYIS
- 2018-06-22 Pending — CNYIS
- 2018-05-21 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2018-05-11 Listed $85,000 CNYIS
- 2017-11-04 Pending — CNYIS
- 2017-11-03 Listing Removed — CNYIS
- 2017-10-20 Price Changed $94,900 CNYIS
- 2017-09-07 Listed $109,900 CNYIS
- 2012-11-17 Listed $118,900 CNYIS
- 2006-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $118,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $9,690 · +15.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…