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486 Randolph St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 77.57
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,500

486 Randolph St · Meadville, PA 16335
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,000 sqft · SingleFamily · 70 Days on market
Built 1900 3,502 sqft lot $32/sqft · 35% below area Est $100k · 35% under ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent investment opportunity in Meadville! This multi-unit property features two distinct living spaces: one side is currently tenant-occupied, providing immediate cash flow, while the other offers a blank canvas for your personal touch. Key features include an unfinished basement, natural gas heating, and electric cooling. The home is connected to city water and sewer with no HOA fees. Essential appliances like a fridge and stove are included. Plus, new windows are already on-site and ready for installation.

Key facts

  • 3,502 sq ft lot
  • Built 1900
  • Listed 69 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $64,500 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$99,698) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $64k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $577 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $64k).
  • Recommended offer: $61k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 4.9% in Meadville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 85/100 on livability (#72 in PA, #502 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment F.
  • Crawford Central SD (town): math 28% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #367 of 539 in PA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 133 active listings in the ZIP; 83 units permitted in Crawford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $446 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Crawford County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 70 days — a 6% lower offer ($61k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $60,630 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 70 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.02%
Cap rate
17.03%
Cash-on-cash
38.34%
DSCR
2.71
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$99,698
List price
$64,500
Delta
-35.30%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
791-795 Sidler Aly 0.23mi 4/2.0 1,928 (-4%) 4mo $45,000 $23 80
676 Cullum St 0.07mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,834 (-8%) 2mo $150,000 $82 76
566 Walnut St 0.36mi 4/2.0 2,094 (+5%) 8mo $243,000 $116 69
570 Park Ave 0.47mi 4/2.5 1,926 (-4%) 2mo $185,000 $96 68
1003 Catherine St 0.60mi 4/2.5 1,976 (-1%) 2mo $140,000 $71 66
667 Davenport St 0.39mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,048 (+2%) 8mo $152,000 $74 64
449 Pine St 0.60mi 4/2.0 1,860 (-7%) 3mo $40,000 $22 58
733 Davenport St 0.52mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,896 (-5%) 9mo $189,900 $100 54
586 Walnut St 0.38mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,770 (-12%) 6mo $37,500 $21 53
1079 Liberty St 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,069 (+4%) 11mo $128,900 $62 46
738 Maple St 0.64mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,136 (+7%) 8mo $173,000 $81 45
725 Maple St 0.61mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,704 (-15%) 1mo $247,500 $145 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.5%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$26,321
Equity at exit
$9,617
10-year hold
IRR
41.3%
Equity multiple
4.89×
Total profit
$70,340
Equity at exit
$5,577

Cash invested: $18,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16335

Home prices YoY
-9.0%
Active inventory
133
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,305 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$338
Tax from tax record
$89 /mo · $1,066/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$274
Net cashflow
$577

Break-even live

Break-even rent $575
Max offer price $64,500
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $613 -5% $595 +0% $577 +5% $559 +10% $540
Rent -10% $474 -5% $525 +0% $577 +5% $629 +10% $680
Rate -1.0pp $609 -0.5pp $593 base $577 +0.5pp $560 +1.0pp $543

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,125
Closing costs
$1,935
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $64,500 Active 70 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,500 Active 69 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,500 Active 68 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,500 Active 67 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,500 Active 66 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $64,500 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $64,500 Active 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,500 Active 60 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,500 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,500 Active 58 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,500 Active 57 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,500 Active 53 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,500 Active 52 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,500 Active 51 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $64,500 Active 50 DOM
  16. 2026-04-25
    price $74,500 518-char remark
    Show marketing remark (518 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity in Meadville! This multi-unit property features two distinct living spaces: one side is currently tenant-occupied, providing immediate cash flow, while the other offers a blank canvas for your personal touch. Key features include an unfinished basement, natural gas heating, and electric cooling. The home is connected to city water and sewer with no HOA fees. Essential appliances like a fridge and stove are included. Plus, new windows are already on-site and ready for installation.

  17. 2026-04-10
    listed $84,500 Active 518-char remark
    Show marketing remark (518 chars)

    Excellent investment opportunity in Meadville! This multi-unit property features two distinct living spaces: one side is currently tenant-occupied, providing immediate cash flow, while the other offers a blank canvas for your personal touch. Key features include an unfinished basement, natural gas heating, and electric cooling. The home is connected to city water and sewer with no HOA fees. Essential appliances like a fridge and stove are included. Plus, new windows are already on-site and ready for installation.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,066 · $89/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,066 · $89/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,660
− Mortgage interest
−$3,613
− Property taxes
−$1,066
− Insurance
−$322
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,253
− Management
−$1,253
− Depreciation
−$1,876
Taxable income
$6,276
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,506
After-tax cash flow
$5,417/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Crawford Central SD
NCES district ID
4207080
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$41,837
Composite
33.21/100
National rank
#5530
State rank
#367 of 539 in PA

Livability — Meadville

Score
85/100
State rank
#72
US rank
#502

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Meadville, PA
County
Crawford County · 27,175 people
City population
27,175
Metro
Meadville, PA
Population (ZIP)
27,175
Household income
$57,591
Rent vs Own
37.1% rent · 62.9% own
Severe rent burden
953.0

Population outlook (Crawford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
81,399 people
By 2030
77,977 · -4.2%
By 2040
70,659 · -13.2%
By 2050
63,841 · -21.6%
By 2075
50,198 · -38.3%
By 2100
37,898 · -53.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Crawford

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.2) · D 30.0% · R 69.2%
2008→2024 swing
-28.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -39.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.2 2020: R+37.2 2016: R+38.5 2012: R+19.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -26.80%
Current HPI
272.4095
Rent YoY
Metro
Meadville, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Price Changed $74,500 West Penn MLS
  • 2026-04-10 Listed $84,500 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

-4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,066 · -2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…