1149 9th St · Stowe, PA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$79,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTORS-ready to rent. FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS-why rent? Move right in to this 2BR stone home. Large fenced yard. Oversized 2 car detached garage with work area or extra storage. Furnace and AC replaced 7 years ago. Hot water tank 2 replaced 2 years ago. Full basement with partial bath. Screened Sun Room located off of kitchen, Close to shopping, restaurants, public transportation. DON'T MISS THIS ONE!
Key facts
- Newer furnace
- Large kitchen
- Convenient location
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: 2-story residence; Resale property
- Construction: Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Public transportation access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Stove; Some gas appliances
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Wall/window cooling units
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Carpet flooring; Vinyl flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 6.4% in Stowe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#441 in PA, #4,019 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Sto-Rox SD (suburban): math 4% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #532 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.1%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $30k; list at $80k implies a 166% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.57% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.38%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $128,576
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 915 Liberty St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 1,262 (-4%) | 0mo | $85,100 | $67 | 87 |
| 202 Jane St | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,280 (-2%) | 4mo | $90,000 | $70 | 71 |
| 813 13th St | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,404 (+7%) | 4mo | $143,000 | $102 | 69 |
| 1128 9th St | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,160 (-12%) | 5mo | $60,000 | $52 | 67 |
| 214 Sarah St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,240 (-6%) | 7mo | $70,000 | $56 | 63 |
| 425 Macarthur St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,220 (-7%) | 6mo | $170,000 | $139 | 55 |
| 117 Owen St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,137 (-13%) | 3mo | $144,750 | $127 | 55 |
| 400 Broadway Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,179 (-10%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $98 | 50 |
| 841 Railroad St | 0.74mi | 2/1.5 | 1,226 (-7%) | 6mo | $141,500 | $115 | 50 |
| 1109 Progress St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,477 (+13%) | 3mo | $77,000 | $52 | 46 |
| 47 May Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,120 (-15%) | 0mo | $140,000 | $125 | 44 |
| 27 Highland Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,488 (+13%) | 5mo | $66,000 | $44 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.85×
- Total profit
- $19,125
- Equity at exit
- $11,913
- IRR
- 31.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.56×
- Total profit
- $79,755
- Equity at exit
- $6,908
Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15136
- Home prices YoY
- -30.4%
- Rents YoY
- 13.1%
- Active inventory
- 125
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,257 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$419
- Tax from tax record
- −$142 /mo · $1,704/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $399
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,975
- Closing costs
- $2,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 16 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1126 Dohrman St Unit MC McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,250 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 1124a Dohrman St McKees Rocks, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,250 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 27 Rudolph St Mc Kees Rocks, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1084 | $1,100 | $1.01 | 1d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 915 Woodward Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1224 | $1,399 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 933 Woodward Ave Unit NA McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 20d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 933 Woodward Ave Unit MC McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 214 Wright St Unit Na McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $1,175 | $1.23 | 14d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 802 13th St Unit 2 McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $920 | $0.84 | 43d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 614 Woodward Ave McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 7d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 207 Singer Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1728 | $1,700 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 135 Dunn St Mc Kees Rocks, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,599 | $1.00 | 19d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 71 McKinnie Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,100 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 27 Highland Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1488 | $1,425 | $0.96 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 214 Erwin Pl Mc Kees Rocks, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1026 | $1,685 | $1.64 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 907 Chartiers Ave Unit 2 McKees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 10 Highland Dr Mc Kees Rocks, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1188 | $1,300 | $1.09 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $79,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $79,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $79,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $79,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $79,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $79,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$79,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,704 · $142/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,704 · $142/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,082
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,476
- − Property taxes
- −$1,704
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,207
- − Management
- −$1,207
- − Depreciation
- −$2,324
- Taxable income
- $3,765
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$904
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,879/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sto-Rox SD
- NCES district ID
- 4222830
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,268
- Composite
- 8.51/100
- National rank
- #9904
- State rank
- #532 of 539 in PA
Livability — Stowe
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #441
- US rank
- #4019
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,623
- Household income
- $69,099
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 768.0
Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,250,282 people
- By 2030
- 1,256,482 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 1,256,318 · +0.5%
- By 2050
- 1,244,169 · -0.5%
- By 2075
- 1,197,693 · -4.2%
- By 2100
- 1,093,187 · -12.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 18% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Subsaharan African 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -107.07%
- Current HPI
- 244.6934
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 13.12%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+166.3% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $79,900 West Penn MLS
- 2014-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
- 2014-08-29 Sold (MLS) $30,000 West Penn MLS
- 2014-06-19 Listed $30,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+6.6%/yrLatest (2026): $1,704 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…