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1149 9th St
B+ Composite 77.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$79,900

1149 9th St · Stowe, PA 15136
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,312 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1910 3,354 sqft lot Est $129k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTORS-ready to rent. FIRST TIME HOME BUYERS-why rent? Move right in to this 2BR stone home. Large fenced yard. Oversized 2 car detached garage with work area or extra storage. Furnace and AC replaced 7 years ago. Hot water tank 2 replaced 2 years ago. Full basement with partial bath. Screened Sun Room located off of kitchen, Close to shopping, restaurants, public transportation. DON'T MISS THIS ONE!

Key facts

  • Newer furnace
  • Large kitchen
  • Convenient location

Tags

LARGE KITCHENFENCED-IN YARDNEWER FURNACECONVENIENT LOCATIONQUICK ACCESS TO ROUTE 51QUICK ACCESS TO ROUTE 65

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: 2-story residence; Resale property
  • Construction: Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Public transportation access

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Stove; Some gas appliances
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas); Wall/window cooling units
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; Carpet flooring; Vinyl flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 6.4% in Stowe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#441 in PA, #4,019 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Sto-Rox SD (suburban): math 4% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #532 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.1%/yr); 125 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,996 units permitted in Allegheny County in 2024 (1,588 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $80k implies a 166% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.57%
Cap rate
12.28%
Cash-on-cash
21.38%
DSCR
1.95
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$128,576
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
915 Liberty St 0.10mi 2/1.0 1,262 (-4%) 0mo $85,100 $67 87
202 Jane St 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,280 (-2%) 4mo $90,000 $70 71
813 13th St 0.31mi 2/2.0 1,404 (+7%) 4mo $143,000 $102 69
1128 9th St 0.05mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,160 (-12%) 5mo $60,000 $52 67
214 Sarah St 0.32mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,240 (-6%) 7mo $70,000 $56 63
425 Macarthur St 0.46mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,220 (-7%) 6mo $170,000 $139 55
117 Owen St 0.28mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,137 (-13%) 3mo $144,750 $127 55
400 Broadway Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,179 (-10%) 3mo $115,000 $98 50
841 Railroad St 0.74mi 2/1.5 1,226 (-7%) 6mo $141,500 $115 50
1109 Progress St 0.52mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,477 (+13%) 3mo $77,000 $52 46
47 May Ave 0.51mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,120 (-15%) 0mo $140,000 $125 44
27 Highland Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,488 (+13%) 5mo $66,000 $44 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.7%
Equity multiple
1.85×
Total profit
$19,125
Equity at exit
$11,913
10-year hold
IRR
31.3%
Equity multiple
4.56×
Total profit
$79,755
Equity at exit
$6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 15136

Home prices YoY
-30.4%
Rents YoY
13.1%
Active inventory
125
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,257 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$419
Tax from tax record
$142 /mo · $1,704/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$264
Net cashflow
$399

Break-even live

Break-even rent $752
Max offer price $79,900
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$19,975
Closing costs
$2,397
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1126 Dohrman St Unit MC McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,250 $1.04 43d 1 0.08mi
1124a Dohrman St McKees Rocks, PA 3.0 1.0 1150 $1,250 $1.09 23d 1 0.08mi
27 Rudolph St Mc Kees Rocks, PA 3.0 1.0 1084 $1,100 $1.01 1d 1 0.11mi
915 Woodward Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA 3.0 1.0 1224 $1,399 $1.14 43d 1 0.15mi
933 Woodward Ave Unit NA McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 20d 1 0.17mi
933 Woodward Ave Unit MC McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,400 $1.27 23d 1 0.17mi
214 Wright St Unit Na McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 954 $1,175 $1.23 14d 1 0.27mi
802 13th St Unit 2 McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $920 $0.84 43d 1 0.31mi
614 Woodward Ave McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 7d 1 0.31mi
207 Singer Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA 3.0 2.0 1728 $1,700 $0.98 43d 1 0.34mi
135 Dunn St Mc Kees Rocks, PA 3.0 2.0 1600 $1,599 $1.00 19d 1 0.42mi
71 McKinnie Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1176 $1,100 $0.94 23d 1 0.45mi
27 Highland Ave Mc Kees Rocks, PA 3.0 1.0 1488 $1,425 $0.96 23d 1 0.56mi
214 Erwin Pl Mc Kees Rocks, PA 3.0 1.0 1026 $1,685 $1.64 43d 1 0.60mi
907 Chartiers Ave Unit 2 McKees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 23d 1 0.73mi
10 Highland Dr Mc Kees Rocks, PA 2.0 1.0 1188 $1,300 $1.09 43d 1 0.88mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $79,900 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $79,900 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $79,900 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $79,900 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $79,900 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $79,900 Active 4 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $79,900 Active 3 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-07
    listed $79,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,704 · $142/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,704 · $142/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,082
− Mortgage interest
−$4,476
− Property taxes
−$1,704
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,207
− Management
−$1,207
− Depreciation
−$2,324
Taxable income
$3,765
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$904
After-tax cash flow
$3,879/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sto-Rox SD
NCES district ID
4222830
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$30,268
Composite
8.51/100
National rank
#9904
State rank
#532 of 539 in PA

Livability — Stowe

Score
75/100
State rank
#441
US rank
#4019

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Allegheny County · 1,022,028 people
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
Population (ZIP)
22,623
Household income
$69,099
Rent vs Own
35.5% rent · 64.5% own
Severe rent burden
768.0

Population outlook (Allegheny County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,250,282 people
By 2030
1,256,482 · +0.5%
By 2040
1,256,318 · +0.5%
By 2050
1,244,169 · -0.5%
By 2075
1,197,693 · -4.2%
By 2100
1,093,187 · -12.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 18% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Subsaharan African 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegheny

2024 margin
Strong D (+20.3) · D 59.7% · R 39.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.8pp toward D · 2008: 15.5pp · 2024: 20.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+20.3 2020: D+20.4 2016: D+16.4 2012: D+14.4 2008: D+15.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.07%
Current HPI
244.6934
Rent YoY
▲ 13.12%
Metro
Pittsburgh, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+166.3% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $79,900 West Penn MLS
  • 2014-09-05 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records
  • 2014-08-29 Sold (MLS) $30,000 West Penn MLS
  • 2014-06-19 Listed $30,000 West Penn MLS

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,704 · +4.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…