30 Bay 29th St Unit 1M · New York, NY 11214

$399,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 950 sqft · Condo · 29 Days on market

Good condition

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +21.1/30.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• DSCR +6.7/10.0
• 1% rule +5.6/10.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.0/5.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Condition / age +3.8/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to this bright and spacious 2-bedroom co-op in the desirable Royale building, ideally located in the heart of Bensonhurst. This well-proportioned unit features a large sun-filled living room with beautiful hardwood floors, a functional layout, and a generously sized bedroom offering great natural light. The windowed kitchen provides ample cabinet space, and the apartment is vacant and move-in ready, making it perfect for immediate occupancy or customization to your own style. This well-maintained elevator building offers a renovated lobby, and on-site laundry facilities. Low maintenance includes real estate taxes, Heat, Hot water and cold water and Gas. Residents also enjoy the conv

Key facts

• Windowed kitchen
• Renovated lobby
• Nearby shopping

Tags

• WINDOWED KITCHEN
• RENOVATED LOBBY
• ON-SITE LAUNDRY FACILITIES
• NEARBY SHOPPING

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $399k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $570 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $399k).
• Recommended offer: $393k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $4,212/mo this rent would consume 77% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 6028% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.9% rent growth), your $112k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($393k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $393,015 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.06% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.01%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.12%
• DSCR: 1.27
• GRM: 7.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.87% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -3.7%
• Equity multiple: 0.86×
• Total profit: $-15,793
• Equity at exit: $59,492

10-year hold

• IRR: 9.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.78×
• Total profit: $87,686
• Equity at exit: $34,498

Cash invested: $111,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 11214

• Rents YoY: 5.9%
• Active inventory: 334
• Price-to-rent: 7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $4,212 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,092
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$499 /mo · $5,985/yr
• Insurance: −$166
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$884
• Net cashflow: $570

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,490

Max offer price $399,000

Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $845	-5% $708	+0% $570	+5% $432	+10% $294
Rent	-10% $237	-5% $403	+0% $570	+5% $736	+10% $902
Rate	-1.0pp $771	-0.5pp $671	base $570	+0.5pp $466	+1.0pp $361

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $99,750
• Closing costs: $11,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 10 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
63 Bay 37th St Unit 1R Brooklyn, NY	2.0	1.0	900	$3,100	$3.44	25d	1	0.42mi
2286 Cropsey Ave Unit 18B Brooklyn, NY	2.0	2.0	889	$5,300	$5.96	20d	1	0.48mi
2286 Cropsey Ave Unit 7E Brooklyn, NY	2.0	2.0	948	$5,250	$5.54	20d	1	0.48mi
2286 Cropsey Ave Unit 9A Brooklyn, NY	2.0	2.0	889	$5,200	$5.85	20d	1	0.48mi
2286 Cropsey Ave Unit 8B Brooklyn, NY	2.0	2.0	889	$5,000	$5.62	20d	1	0.48mi
2286 Cropsey Ave Unit 19C Brooklyn, NY	1.0	1.0	544	$3,600	$6.62	20d	1	0.48mi
2286 Cropsey Ave Unit 13E Brooklyn, NY	2.0	2.0	948	$5,550	$5.85	20d	1	0.48mi
2286 Cropsey Ave Unit 6A Brooklyn, NY	2.0	2.0	889	$5,125	$5.76	25d	1	0.48mi
8642 26th Ave Unit 3 Brooklyn, NY	3.0	1.0	1100	$3,100	$2.82	16d	1	0.63mi
2483 W 16th St Brooklyn, NY	1.0	1.0	800	$1,800	$2.25	21d	1	1.17mi

HOA detail condo

• Monthly dues: $0 · $0/yr
• Likely covers: watergas
• Assessments: None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-04-17
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-19
   listed $399,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $50,539
• − Mortgage interest: −$22,350
• − Property taxes: −$5,985
• − Insurance: −$1,995
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$4,043
• − Management: −$4,043
• − Depreciation: −$11,607
• Taxable income: $515
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$124
• After-tax cash flow: $6,713/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained and move-in ready 2-bedroom co-op in the Royale building is in good condition with minimal repairs needed. Painting and minor cleaning can further enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

• Both painting — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics
• Both minor cleaning — A thorough cleaning can make the home look more inviting and well-maintained

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

• Both painting — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
• Both minor cleaning — A thorough cleaning can make the home look more inviting and well-maintained ↑

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• County: Kings County · 2,614,986 people
• City population: 7,731,280
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• Population (ZIP): 89,397
• Household income: $65,895
• Rent vs Own: 65.4% rent · 34.6% own
• Severe rent burden: 6028.0

Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,847,441 people
• By 2030: 2,937,006 · +3.1%
• By 2040: 3,095,491 · +8.7%
• By 2050: 3,228,968 · +13.4%
• By 2075: 3,321,723 · +16.7%
• By 2100: 3,111,387 · +9.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
• Race & ethnicity: White 40% Asian 38% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 6% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Scotch-Irish 4% Subsaharan African 3% Romanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 56% · China, Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 26% English-only · Chinese 28% Russian/Polish/Slavic 15% Spanish 13%

Political lean MEDSL · Kings

• 2024 margin: Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
• 2008→2024 swing: -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -184.55%
• Current HPI: 276.0804
• Rent YoY: ▲ 5.87%
• Metro: New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-17 Pending — BNYMLS
• 2026-03-19 Listed $399,000 BNYMLS