206 Mississippi Ave · Elliott, MS
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.6/30.0
- ARV discount +13.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 206 Mississippi Ave, Grenada — a hidden gem full of potential in an established neighborhood that's seeing renewed growth and revitalization. This 3-bedroom home offers approximately 1,100+ square feet of living space, providing a solid foundation for homeowners or investors ready to add their personal touch. With a classic layout, carport, and spacious lot, this property is ideal for a renovation project or rental investment. The surrounding area features a mix of long-standing homes and properties that are being updated, making this a great opportunity to get in early and build equity as the neighborhood continues to improve. While the home does need some TLC, the upside
Key facts
- 0.42 acre lot
- 2 parking spots
- Listed 49 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2-space carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available
- Home design: Single-family residence (house); One level
- Construction: Brick construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built area reported as 1,309 (public records)
- Exterior features: Private yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Range hood
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 1
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heating provided by fireplace(s); Wall/window cooling units
- Interior features: Family room on the main level; Living room fireplace
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $94 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (7.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $111k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#192 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, health & safety D+, schools F.
- Grenada School District (town): math 53% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #19 of 130 in MS (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 128 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Grenada County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grenada County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.90%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.73%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 9.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $136,520
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- -12.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219 Mississippi Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 | 1,111 (-6%) | 10mo | $135,000 | $122 | 74 |
| 214 Mississippi Ave | 0.07mi | 3/1.5 | 1,156 (-2%) | 23mo | $26,686 | $23 | 72 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-13,459
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- -1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-4,070
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 38901
- Home prices YoY
- -27.9%
- Active inventory
- 128
- Price-to-rent
- 9.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,106 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $413/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$232
- Net cashflow
- $94
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $119,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01price $119,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $129,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $129,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-04-30$129,900 Active 1210-char remark
-
2003-12-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $413 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $947 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- +$535/yr (+$45/mo · 129.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,269
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$413
- − Insurance
- −$1,397
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,061
- − Management
- −$1,061
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable loss
- −$868
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$208
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,336/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grenada School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801680
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,936
- Composite
- 39.64/100
- National rank
- #3917
- State rank
- #19 of 130 in MS
Livability — Elliott
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #192
- US rank
- #17600
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Elliott, MS
- City population
- 17,887
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,887
Population outlook (Grenada County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,777 people
- By 2030
- 20,169 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 18,782 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 17,415 · -16.2%
- By 2075
- 14,218 · -31.6%
- By 2100
- 11,114 · -46.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Black 48% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Grenada
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.3) · D 41.6% · R 57.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.6pp toward R · 2008: -10.7pp · 2024: -16.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.3 2020: R+12.3 2016: R+14.9 2012: R+6.2 2008: R+10.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.82%
- Current HPI
- 144.3743
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-7.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $119,900 MLSU
- 2026-04-30 Listed $129,900 MLSU
- 2003-12-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $413 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…