500 W North St · Mount Sterling, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +8.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this lovely home situated on a spacious corner lot with a patio area and detached garage. The main level offers a large laundry/mudroom that leads into an expansive kitchen with ample cabinet storage. Adjacent to the kitchen is a sizable living/dining room featuring hardwood flooring and built-in shelving. Two bedrooms and a full bathroom complete the main level. The upper level includes two additional generously sized bedrooms, with one offering a convenient half bath. This is a HomePath property. Please verify all details independently, including room sizes, taxes, etc.
Key facts
- Expansive kitchen
- Patio area
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; 2 stories
- Exterior features: Shingle roof
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced-air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Partial basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $90k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#521 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, schools D, amenities F.
- Brown County CUSD 1 (town): math 24% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #306 of 620 in IL (top 49%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 55 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Brown County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Brown County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($90k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 12 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.30% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.98%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 6.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $177,478
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415 Camden Rd | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 | 1,800 (-1%) | 1mo | $55,000 | $31 | 83 |
| 603 W North St | 0.10mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,816 (+0%) | 11mo | $348,000 | $192 | 76 |
| 206 W Main St | 0.32mi | 4/1.5 | 1,900 (+5%) | 16mo | $150,000 | $79 | 64 |
| 618 W North St | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,615 (-11%) | 14mo | $316,000 | $196 | 54 |
| 307 S Capitol Ave | 0.52mi | 4/1.0 | 1,734 (-4%) | 16mo | $40,000 | $23 | 54 |
| 518 NW Cross St | 0.42mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,634 (-10%) | 6mo | $159,500 | $98 | 50 |
| 623 N North St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,542 (-15%) | 12mo | $336,500 | $218 | 46 |
| 217 W Main St | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,600 (-12%) | 22mo | $145,000 | $91 | 46 |
| 104 E South | 0.52mi | 4/1.5 | 2,080 (+15%) | 17mo | $115,000 | $55 | 37 |
| 302 N Capitol St | 0.51mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,600 (-12%) | 20mo | $199,500 | $125 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.53×
- Total profit
- $70,135
- Equity at exit
- $89,187
- IRR
- 27.9%
- Equity multiple
- 8.00×
- Total profit
- $193,973
- Equity at exit
- $192,335
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62353
- Home prices YoY
- 8.6%
- Active inventory
- 55
- Price-to-rent
- 6.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,288 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$204 /mo · $2,445/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$271
- Net cashflow
- $254
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2026-04-07price $99,000
-
2026-04-05historical
-
2026-02-26price $105,000
-
2026-01-28price $114,000
-
2026-01-04$118,900 Active
-
2026-01-04Active
-
2025-04-29status Active
-
2025-04-29historical
-
2025-04-26historical
-
2025-04-03price
-
2025-03-26historical
-
2025-03-25status Temporarily No Showings
-
2025-03-01historical
-
2025-03-01status Temporarily No Showings
-
2025-02-28historical
-
2025-02-10price $124,500
-
2025-02-10price
-
2024-11-26price $128,000
-
2024-10-23Active
-
2024-10-23Active
-
2024-10-23$135,000 Active
-
2022-09-27historical
-
2022-09-27historical
-
2019-05-02soldstatus $108,500
-
2019-05-02soldstatus $108,500
-
2019-05-02soldstatus $108,500
-
2018-10-23$115,000
-
2018-10-23$115,000
-
2018-10-23$115,000
-
2016-01-09historical
-
2013-01-14historical
-
2005-08-05soldstatus $45,000
-
2005-07-14$54,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,445 · $204/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,445 · $204/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,459
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$2,445
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,237
- − Management
- −$1,237
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $1,620
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$389
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,654/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brown County CUSD 1
- NCES district ID
- 1727300
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,421
- Composite
- 22.54/100
- National rank
- #8086
- State rank
- #306 of 620 in IL
Livability — Mount Sterling
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #521
- US rank
- #10759
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mount Sterling, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,012
Population outlook (Brown County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,790 people
- By 2030
- 6,900 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 7,195 · +6.0%
- By 2050
- 7,299 · +7.5%
- By 2075
- 6,469 · -4.7%
- By 2100
- 5,194 · -23.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brown
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.9) · D 19.0% · R 78.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.2pp toward R · 2008: -21.7pp · 2024: -59.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.9 2020: R+57.2 2016: R+55.7 2012: R+30.6 2008: R+21.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.18%
- Current HPI
- 166.29
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+83.3% since first listed34 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — NWIAR
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $99,000 NWIAR
- 2026-04-05 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $105,000 NWIAR
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $114,000 NWIAR
- 2026-01-04 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-04 Listed $118,900 NWIAR
- 2025-04-29 Relisted — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-29 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-26 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-04-03 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-26 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-25 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-01 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-03-01 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-28 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-02-10 Price Changed $124,500 Quincy AOR
- 2025-02-10 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-11-26 Price Changed $128,000 Quincy AOR
- 2024-10-23 Listed $135,000 Quincy AOR
- 2024-10-23 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-23 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-27 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-09-27 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-02 Sold (MLS) $108,500 Quincy AOR
- 2019-05-02 Sold (MLS) $108,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-05-02 Sold (MLS) $108,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-10-23 Listed $115,000 Quincy AOR
- 2018-10-23 Listed $115,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-10-23 Listed $115,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-01-09 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-14 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-08-05 Sold (MLS) $45,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-07-14 Listed $54,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+7.1%/yrLatest (2024): $2,445 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…