2607 Universal Dr · Ruskin, FL 33570

$150,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,144 sqft · Manufactured public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1990 7,560 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +27.2/30.0
• DSCR +9.5/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +7.0/10.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.7/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

TURN-KEY & MOVE-IN READY! Come tour this 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom, 1,144 sq. ft. 1990 double-wide mobile home. It offers a nicely stocked kitchen with various appliances remaining for buyer's convenience, a gas stove, eat-in island, and convenient walk-thru to dining area. The INDOOR washer/dryer is right off the kitchen, and the primary suite is quite spacious and equipped with an en-suite bath walk and walk-in shower. The second bedroom is currently being utilized as an office, and the guest bath has a bathtub. Enjoy additional living space in the 13x15 Florida Room, or head outside to the backyard patio slab, perfect for outdoor seating. The property is fenced on three sides, making i

Key facts

• Eat-in island
• Gas stove
• En-suite bath

Tags

• NICELY STOCKED KITCHEN
• GAS STOVE
• EAT-IN ISLAND
• INDOOR WASHER DRYER
• EN-SUITE BATH
• WALK-IN SHOWER

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Turnkey furnished; Lot about 0.17 acres (approx. 60 x 126)
• Financial info: Homestead exemption applied
• HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

• Parking: Carport (1 space); Garage space approximately 40 x 13
• Utilities: Well water; Sewer: Other; Cable available; High-speed/BB Internet available; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Solar energy generation
• Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story (one level); South-facing
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Redman make
• Exterior features: Awning(s); Workshop on property; Asphalt road access

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric water heater
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Living room / dining room combo; Walk-in closets; Blinds and drapes
• Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer and dryer included; Inside utility room

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $150k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $430 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
• Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 4.7% in Ruskin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#392 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, commute B+; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
• Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Lennard High School (math 30% / reading 46%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 2,404 students, 47% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 489 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $52k; list at $150k implies a 188% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.20% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.73%
• Cash-on-cash: 12.29%
• DSCR: 1.55
• GRM: 7.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -0.4%
• Equity multiple: 0.99×
• Total profit: $-625
• Equity at exit: $22,365

10-year hold

• IRR: 7.0%
• Equity multiple: 1.48×
• Total profit: $20,116
• Equity at exit: $12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 33570

• Home prices YoY: -28.8%
• Rents YoY: 0.9%
• Active inventory: 489
• Price-to-rent: 7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,794 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$787
• Tax from tax record: −$138 /mo · $1,651/yr
• Insurance: −$62
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$377
• Net cashflow: $430

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,249

Max offer price $150,000

Occupancy floor 71%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $515	-5% $473	+0% $430	+5% $388	+10% $345
Rent	-10% $288	-5% $359	+0% $430	+5% $501	+10% $572
Rate	-1.0pp $506	-0.5pp $468	base $430	+0.5pp $391	+1.0pp $352

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $37,500
• Closing costs: $4,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
419 Frances Cir Ruskin, FL	2.0	2.0	1421	$1,300	$0.91	25d	1	1.49mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-17
   remarks 695-char remark
2. 2026-06-17
   listed $150,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,651 · $138/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,651 · $138/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $21,522
• − Mortgage interest: −$8,402
• − Property taxes: −$1,651
• − Insurance: −$750
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,722
• − Management: −$1,722
• − Depreciation: −$4,364
• Taxable income: $2,911
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$699
• After-tax cash flow: $4,463/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Hillsborough
• NCES district ID: 1200870
• Math proficiency: 47% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $50,622
• Composite: 41.6/100
• National rank: #3435
• State rank: #41 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ruskin

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #392
• US rank: #6879

Category grades

Amenities F Commute B+ Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Hillsborough County · 1,540,968 people
• City population: 33,319
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• Population (ZIP): 33,319
• Household income: $72,172
• Rent vs Own: 23.0% rent · 77.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 611.0

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,607,022 people
• By 2030: 1,733,968 · +7.9%
• By 2040: 1,979,565 · +23.2%
• By 2050: 2,203,427 · +37.1%
• By 2075: 2,667,893 · +66.0%
• By 2100: 2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
• Race & ethnicity: White 40% Hispanic / Latino 32% Black 23% Two or more races 13% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 16% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 1% Dominican 4%
• Common ancestry: Italian 2% Romanian 2% Hispanic 2%
• Foreign-born: 13% · Canada, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 72% English-only · Spanish 23% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

• 2024 margin: Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -112.10%
• Current HPI: 277.8257
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.90%
• Metro: Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+1775.0% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-17 Listed $150,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 1996-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
• 1990-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $8,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+9.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,651 · +9.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.