CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
229 Chestnut St
B Composite 73.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$129,900

229 Chestnut St · Mount Holly Springs, PA 17065
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,302 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1880 0.30 ac lot Est $241k · 46% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to 229 Chestnut Street, Mount Holly Springs, PA—a charming home offering small-town living with convenience, comfort, and flexibility. Situated on a spacious 0.30-acre lot within the Carlisle Area School District, this 3-bedroom, 1-bath property provides an excellent opportunity for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone seeking the ease of one-floor living. One of the home's standout features is the practical main-level layout, which includes a bedroom, full bathroom, and laundry room, making daily living convenient and minimizing the need for stairs. The walk-up attic offers valuable storage space. Outside, you'll enjoy a fully fenced rear yard perfect for pets, play, gard

Key facts

  • Storage shed
  • Nearby parks
  • Main-level layout

Tags

MAIN-LEVEL LAYOUTWALK-UP ATTICFULLY FENCED REAR YARDDETACHED GARAGESTORAGE SHEDNEARBY PARKS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Ownership is fee simple; Ground rent paid annually

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 2 spaces; On-street parking available; Covered parking with additional storage area
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service available; Cable TV available; Municipal trash service
  • Home design: Detached structure; Stick-built frame with vinyl siding
  • Construction: Stone foundation; Building winterized
  • Exterior features: Outbuilding(s) and a shed; Sidewalks; Board fencing; Not in a federal flood zone

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One bedroom on the main level; Two bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (oil); Electric hot water; 100 amp electric service with circuit breakers
  • Interior features: Full basement with interior access; 7 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main floor

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $341 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $130k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#1,143 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Carlisle Area SD (urban): math 33% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #277 of 539 in PA (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Carlisle Area Hs (math 70% / reading 75%, grade B+, #37 of 437 statewide, top 8%, 1,578 students, 39% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 72% at this address vs 44% district-wide (+28 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Carlisle Area SD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 28 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,052 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (310 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cumberland County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $66k; list at $130k implies a 97% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 8→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $129,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.06%
Cash-on-cash
13.44%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$240,870
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
212 Chestnut St 0.05mi 2/1.0 1,184 (-9%) 1mo $198,000 $167 81
319 N Walnut St 0.13mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,374 (+6%) 24mo $260,000 $189 58
28 E Pine St 0.37mi 2/1.0 1,175 (-10%) 20mo $200,000 $170 50
644 Highland Ave 0.67mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (-8%) 1mo $256,000 $213 50
604 Sandbank Rd 0.69mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,276 (-2%) 13mo $290,000 $227 48
8 Franklin St 0.62mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,296 (-0%) 21mo $84,500 $65 44
607 Woodland Ave 0.70mi 2/1.0 1,483 (+14%) 1mo $274,900 $185 44
610 Woodland Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,470 (+13%) 5mo $370,000 $252 33
14 Larken Ln 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,215 (-7%) 24mo $75,000 $62 33

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.5%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$759
Equity at exit
$19,369
10-year hold
IRR
10.2%
Equity multiple
1.80×
Total profit
$28,985
Equity at exit
$11,231

Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17065

Home prices YoY
-10.5%
Active inventory
28
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,695 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$681
Tax from tax record
$196 /mo · $2,355/yr
Insurance
$54
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$356
Net cashflow
$341

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,263
Max offer price $129,900
Occupancy floor 75%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,475
Closing costs
$3,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
309 Mill St Mount Holly Springs, PA 2.0 1.0 1344 $1,695 $1.26 43d 1 1.19mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $129,900 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $129,900 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $129,900 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $129,900 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $129,900 Active 4 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    remarks 693-char remark
  7. 2026-06-09
    listed $129,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,355 · $196/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,355 · $196/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 8 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 3/10 Moderate 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,340
− Mortgage interest
−$7,276
− Property taxes
−$2,355
− Insurance
−$1,447
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,627
− Management
−$1,627
− Depreciation
−$3,779
Taxable income
$2,229
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$535
After-tax cash flow
$3,558/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Carlisle Area SD
NCES district ID
4205010
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$55,334
Composite
38.23/100
National rank
#4247
State rank
#277 of 539 in PA

Livability — Mount Holly Springs

Score
65/100
State rank
#1143
US rank
#13131

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C- Housing B Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Mount Holly Springs, PA
Population (ZIP)
4,043

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
267,950 people
By 2030
278,105 · +3.8%
By 2040
296,552 · +10.7%
By 2050
312,937 · +16.8%
By 2075
349,233 · +30.3%
By 2100
361,875 · +35.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 2% Polish 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, India, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.6% · R 54.1% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+18.6 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -30.81%
Current HPI
262.0582
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+319.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-09 Listed $129,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1990-06-04 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
  • 1985-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $31,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,355 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…