814 E Yoakum · Kingsville, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$30,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This 2-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 640 sq ft of potential. It needs to be completely gutted and renovated, making it a perfect project for an investor. Whether you're looking to create a new home in Kingsville, an Airbnb, or a rental for college students - with Texas A & M just down the street, the possibilities are endless. Don't miss out on this prime opportunity to invest in a location with great upside! Please verify all school districts Please verify City water, garbage, electricity please verify all measurements
Key facts
- Renovated
- Electricity
- Completely gutted
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Down payment resources may be available
Exterior
- Utilities: City water; Gas/electric/sewer/garbage suppliers to be verified
- Home design: Pre-owned property; 3-sided masonry and wood exterior
- Construction: Approximately 80 years old; Slab foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Street paved; Sidewalks; Streetlights; Alley access; Asphalt and gravel surfaces
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen (approximately 21 x 16)
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom about 16 x 11; Second bedroom about 16 x 11
- Flooring: Unstained concrete floors
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heat; Window unit heating; One window air conditioner
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Living and dining room combination; Eat-in kitchen; All window coverings remain
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $516 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($915 rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 26.9% vs local median 5.4% in Kingsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#364 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, amenities F.
- Kingsville ISD (town): math 13% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #800 of 826 in TX (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 216 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 24 units permitted in Kleberg County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $900 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kleberg County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 388 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $46k (61%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 388 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 26.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 73.69%
- DSCR
- 4.28
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $64,000
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 906 E Lee Ave | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 654 (+2%) | 4mo | $65,000 | $99 | 86 |
| 916 E Henrietta Ave | 0.12mi | 2/1.0 | 664 (+4%) | 7mo | $45,000 | $68 | 82 |
| 1208 E Kenedy Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 648 (+1%) | 5mo | $69,000 | $106 | 75 |
| 624 E Kenedy Ave | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 660 (+3%) | 16mo | $50,000 | $76 | 69 |
| 508-510 E Richard Ave | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 686 (+7%) | 17mo | $80,000 | $117 | 47 |
| 813 E B Ave | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+12%) | 6mo | $72,000 | $100 | 46 |
| 1025 E Fordyce Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 720 (+12%) | 8mo | $80,000 | $111 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 78.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.81×
- Total profit
- $32,016
- Equity at exit
- $4,473
- IRR
- 82.8%
- Equity multiple
- 11.50×
- Total profit
- $88,171
- Equity at exit
- $2,594
Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78363
- Rents YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 216
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $915 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $443/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$192
- Net cashflow
- $516
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,500
- Closing costs
- $900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 510 E Richard Ave Kingsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 504 | $775 | $1.54 | 21d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 910 E Doddridge Ave Unit 1 Kingsville, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 585 | $650 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 200 W Yoakum Ave Kingsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $563 | $0.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 704 W Corral Ave Unit 301 Kingsville, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 693 | $775 | $1.12 | 43d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 704 W Corral Ave Kingsville, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $995 | $1.22 | 2d | 7 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $30,000 Active 388 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $30,000 Active 387 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $30,000 Active 386 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $30,000 Active 385 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $30,000 Active 384 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $30,000 Active 382 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $30,000 Active 381 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $30,000 Active 378 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $30,000 Active 377 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $30,000 Active 376 DOM
-
2026-06-05statusdays on market $30,000 Active 373 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $30,000 Back on Market 372 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $30,000 Back on Market 371 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $30,000 Back on Market 370 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $30,000 Back on Market 369 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $30,000 Back on Market 368 DOM
-
2026-05-25price $30,000
-
2026-05-24status Back on Market
-
2026-04-24historical
-
2025-04-27$76,000 New
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $443 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $549 · $46/mo
- Expected delta
- +$106/yr (+$9/mo · 23.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,976
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,680
- − Property taxes
- −$443
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$878
- − Management
- −$878
- − Depreciation
- −$873
- Taxable income
- $6,074
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,458
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,733/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kingsville ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4825680
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,308
- Composite
- 14.5/100
- National rank
- #9425
- State rank
- #800 of 826 in TX
Livability — Kingsville
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #364
- US rank
- #7787
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kingsville, TX
- County
- Kleberg County · 28,920 people
- City population
- 28,920
- Metro
- Kingsville, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,920
- Household income
- $60,574
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1663.0
Population outlook (Kleberg County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,615 people
- By 2030
- 32,054 · +1.4%
- By 2040
- 33,008 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 34,536 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 40,931 · +29.5%
- By 2100
- 46,001 · +45.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 36% White 20% Black 3% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 67%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 65% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kleberg
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.7) · D 43.3% · R 56.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: 7.2pp · 2024: -12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.7 2020: R+1.7 2016: D+3.7 2012: D+7.8 2008: D+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.12%
- Current HPI
- 147.6473
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.18%
- Metro
- Kingsville, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-60.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Price Changed $30,000 LERA
- 2026-05-24 Relisted — LERA
- 2026-04-24 Listing Removed — LERA
- 2025-04-27 Listed $76,000 LERA
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $443 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…