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754 S Oakland Ave
B- Composite 65.85
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$58,500

754 S Oakland Ave · Decatur, IL 62522
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,259 sqft · Other public records · 27 Days on market
Built 1950 7,405 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look initiative through 10/25/2011. Great investment opportunity. Property sold ""as-is"". POF or pre approval for all offers.

Key facts

  • Functional layout
  • Convenient location
  • Basement space

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYFIXER-UPPERFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTBASEMENT SPACEDETACHED GARAGECONVENIENT LOCATION

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property is not currently leased; Not rebuilt or rehabbed; Built before 1978
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (garage owned); Concrete driveway; 1 garage parking space (1 total parking space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story; Fee simple ownership; Built approximately 71–80 years ago; Living area reported from assessor
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Total finished + unfinished area includes finished and basement space
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions approximately 65 x 113 x 65 x 115; Lot size less than 0.25 acre

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on the main level with tile flooring
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Tile flooring in dining room, kitchen and living room
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Unfinished full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $58k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $351 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $58k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 7.0% in Decatur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,076 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Decatur SD 61 (urban): math 3% / reading 6% proficiency, ranked #605 of 620 in IL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 63 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $404 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macon County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $57,622 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.81%
Cap rate
13.50%
Cash-on-cash
25.74%
DSCR
2.15
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$12,964
Equity at exit
$8,723
10-year hold
IRR
27.8%
Equity multiple
3.46×
Total profit
$40,371
Equity at exit
$5,058

Cash invested: $16,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62522

Home prices YoY
-16.9%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,059 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$307
Tax from tax record
$154 /mo · $1,848/yr
Insurance
$24
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$222
Net cashflow
$351

Break-even live

Break-even rent $614
Max offer price $58,500
Occupancy floor 62%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,625
Closing costs
$1,755
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
520 S Church St Decatur, IL 3.0 1.5 1250 $1,199 $0.96 13d 1 0.86mi
853 N College St Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 936 $925 $0.99 43d 1 1.18mi
1045 N Monroe St Decatur, IL 3.0 2.0 1094 $1,000 $0.91 43d 1 1.30mi
759 E Lawrence St Decatur, IL 3.0 1.0 1080 $695 $0.64 43d 1 1.36mi
803 E Whitmer St Decatur, IL 3.0 1.0 900 $935 $1.04 43d 1 1.38mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $58,500 Active 27 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $58,500 Active 26 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $58,500 Active 25 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $58,500 Active 24 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $58,500 Active 23 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $58,500 Active 21 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $58,500 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $58,500 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $58,500 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $58,500 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $58,500 Active 15 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $58,500 Active 12 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $58,500 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $58,500 Active 9 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $58,500 Active 8 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $58,500 Active 7 DOM
  17. 2026-05-22
    listed $58,500 Active
  18. 2015-07-22
    soldstatus $300,000
  19. 2011-11-23
    soldstatus $10,500 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look initiative through 10/25/2011. Great investment opportunity. Property sold ""as-is"". POF or pre approval for all offers.

  20. 2011-10-10
    listed $12,500 203-char remark
    Show marketing remark (203 chars)

    This property is eligible under the Freddie Mac First Look initiative through 10/25/2011. Great investment opportunity. Property sold ""as-is"". POF or pre approval for all offers.

  21. 2005-06-30
    soldstatus $39,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,848 · $154/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,848 · $154/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,706
− Mortgage interest
−$3,277
− Property taxes
−$1,848
− Insurance
−$292
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,017
− Management
−$1,017
− Depreciation
−$1,702
Taxable income
$3,554
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$853
After-tax cash flow
$3,363/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Decatur SD 61
NCES district ID
1711850
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,864
Composite
3.99/100
National rank
#10059
State rank
#605 of 620 in IL

Livability — Decatur

Score
59/100
State rank
#1076
US rank
#20533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Decatur, IL
County
Macon County · 78,333 people
City population
78,333
Metro
Decatur, IL
Population (ZIP)
15,185
Household income
$50,669
Rent vs Own
38.5% rent · 61.5% own
Severe rent burden
321.0

Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,568 people
By 2030
94,973 · -4.6%
By 2040
85,250 · -14.4%
By 2050
75,920 · -23.8%
By 2075
55,962 · -43.8%
By 2100
36,468 · -63.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (62%)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 28% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Macon

2024 margin
R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -18.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.9 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+18.1 2012: R+5.2 2008: D+1.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -36.64%
Current HPI
180.7847
Rent YoY
Metro
Decatur, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+50.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $58,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $300,000 Public Records
  • 2011-11-23 Sold (MLS) $10,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-10-10 Listed $12,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2005-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,848 · +49.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…