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2305 State Road 33 Hwy
F Composite 33.57
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +4.8/10.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.6/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$319,900

2305 State Road 33 Hwy · Four Corners, FL 34714
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,090 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 84 Days on market
Built 1959 1.25 ac lot Est $232k · 38% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PRICE REDUCED TO SELL! Great country home. Over one acre fenced with barn, side pasture, shed with outdoor grill, and large oak trees. Home remodled, new ceramic tiled floors, new kitchen and appliances, new septic system, new electrial, new paint inside and outside. The fenced in pasture on side of property is all part of this 1.25 acre lot. Small deck on back of home. New blinds. Makes a great place to live or a great rental property. 220 Feet of property has full exposure on busy Hwy 33 in South Lake County just 1/2 mile north of CR 474. Easy access to HWY 27 near grocery stores, Walmart, Walgreens, gas stations, etc.

Key facts

  • 1.25 acre lot
  • Built 1959
  • Listed 84 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Homestead exemption indicated; Property zoned RES; Other structures include shed(s), storage and workshop; Lot is level and paved with oak trees; Approximately 1.25 acres
  • HOA & community: No HOA association indicated; Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved access
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Broadband/high-speed internet available; Cable available; Electricity available; Phone available
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story; East-facing
  • Construction: Block, brick and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built on one level
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Porch; Exterior lighting; Storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Open floorplan; Solid wood cabinets; Walk-in closet(s)
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $320k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-109 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $301k (6.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $229k (28.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $229k (28.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.2% in Four Corners — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#453 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: amenities F, health & safety F.
  • Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Pine Ridge Elementary School (math 61% / reading 61%, grade B, #653 of 2,144 statewide, top 31%, 773 students, 37% FRL); South Lake High School (math 36% / reading 39%, grade F, #336 of 667 statewide, top 51%, 2,169 students, 40% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 716 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-1k appreciation (-0.3% local appreciation)).
  • Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($301k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $67k; list at $320k implies a 377% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $228,584 (28.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 29% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
5.89%
Cash-on-cash
-1.46%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
11.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$232,170
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2323 State Road 33 0.04mi 3/1.0 1,104 (+1%) 2mo $235,000 $213 94

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.33% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.0%
Equity multiple
0.69×
Total profit
$-28,055
Equity at exit
$87,645
10-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.74×
Total profit
$-23,348
Equity at exit
$101,256

Cash invested: $89,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34714

Home prices YoY
-0.1%
Rents YoY
-3.5%
Active inventory
716
Price-to-rent
11.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,286 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,678
Tax from tax record
$104 /mo · $1,243/yr
Insurance
$133
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$480
Net cashflow
$-109

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,423
Max offer price $300,702
Occupancy floor 100%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$79,975
Closing costs
$9,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $319,900 Active 84 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $319,900 Active 83 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $319,900 Active 82 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $319,900 Active 81 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $319,900 Active 79 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $319,900 Active 75 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $319,900 Active 74 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $319,900 Active 73 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $319,900 Active 70 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $319,900 Active 69 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $319,900 Active 68 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $319,900 Active 67 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $319,900 Active 66 DOM
  14. 2026-05-04
    price $319,900
  15. 2026-03-26
    listed $329,900 Active
  16. 2025-05-28
    historical
  17. 2025-05-03
    status Active
  18. 2025-04-30
    historical
  19. 2025-04-24
    status Active
  20. 2025-04-20
    historical
  21. 2025-03-22
    price $329,000
  22. 2025-03-10
    price $349,000
  23. 2025-02-10
    listed $375,000 Active
  24. 2012-04-09
    soldstatus $67,000
  25. 2012-04-05
    soldstatus $67,000 629-char remark
    Show marketing remark (629 chars)

    PRICE REDUCED TO SELL! Great country home. Over one acre fenced with barn, side pasture, shed with outdoor grill, and large oak trees. Home remodled, new ceramic tiled floors, new kitchen and appliances, new septic system, new electrial, new paint inside and outside. The fenced in pasture on side of property is all part of this 1.25 acre lot. Small deck on back of home. New blinds. Makes a great place to live or a great rental property. 220 Feet of property has full exposure on busy Hwy 33 in South Lake County just 1/2 mile north of CR 474. Easy access to HWY 27 near grocery stores, Walmart, Walgreens, gas stations, etc.

  26. 2011-07-06
    listed $69,900 629-char remark
    Show marketing remark (629 chars)

    PRICE REDUCED TO SELL! Great country home. Over one acre fenced with barn, side pasture, shed with outdoor grill, and large oak trees. Home remodled, new ceramic tiled floors, new kitchen and appliances, new septic system, new electrial, new paint inside and outside. The fenced in pasture on side of property is all part of this 1.25 acre lot. Small deck on back of home. New blinds. Makes a great place to live or a great rental property. 220 Feet of property has full exposure on busy Hwy 33 in South Lake County just 1/2 mile north of CR 474. Easy access to HWY 27 near grocery stores, Walmart, Walgreens, gas stations, etc.

  27. 2010-02-25
    soldstatus $32,000
  28. 2009-12-22
    listed $32,900
  29. 2007-04-16
    soldstatus $220,000
  30. 2006-10-23
    historical
  31. 2006-09-07
    listed $249,900
  32. 1975-01-01
    soldstatus $17,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,243 · $104/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,655 · $221/mo
Expected delta
+$1,412/yr (+$118/mo · 113.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,430
− Mortgage interest
−$17,919
− Property taxes
−$1,243
− Insurance
−$1,600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,194
− Management
−$2,194
− Depreciation
−$9,306
Taxable loss
−$7,027
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,686
After-tax cash flow
$382/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake
NCES district ID
1201050
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,632
Composite
42.05/100
National rank
#3327
State rank
#37 of 73 in FL

Livability — Four Corners

Score
69/100
State rank
#453
US rank
#8218

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C+ Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Lake County · 364,602 people
City population
27,422
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
28,200
Household income
$75,392
Rent vs Own
49.3% rent · 50.7% own
Severe rent burden
953.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
386,640 people
By 2030
417,107 · +7.9%
By 2040
476,676 · +23.3%
By 2050
531,296 · +37.4%
By 2075
648,303 · +67.7%
By 2100
698,530 · +80.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 25% Black 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 17% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -0.33%
Current HPI
256.1331
Rent YoY
▼ -3.46%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1781.8% since first listed
19 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Price Changed $319,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-26 Listed $329,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-28 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-05-03 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-30 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-24 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-04-20 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-22 Price Changed $329,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-10 Price Changed $349,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-10 Listed $375,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-04-09 Sold (Public Records) $67,000 Public Records
  • 2012-04-05 Sold (MLS) $67,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2011-07-06 Listed $69,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-02-25 Sold (MLS) $32,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-12-22 Listed $32,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-04-16 Sold (Public Records) $220,000 Public Records
  • 2006-10-23 Listing Removed Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2006-09-07 Listed $249,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1975-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,243 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…